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TradeFort
  • Posts: 793
  • Joined: 14/05/2014
"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

27.02.2017


Euro

General overview

The currency pair EUR/USD grew taking advantage of the weak US dollar. The dollar was under pressure since the middle of the trading week amid the FOMC minutes and the new Finance Minister Steven Mnuchin's statements on tax reform.

Current situation

Despite the recent growth the EUR/USD pair remained in a downward channel. Buyers just managed to lead the price to its upper limit. The overnight’s recovery attempt stalled just under 1.0600 barrier in the early European hours. The pair’s upside lost some vigour finding fresh offers around the level. Buyers tried to break above 1.0600 ahead of the NY opening. The price broke the 50-EMA in the 4 hours chart and stayed above the moving average. 100-EMA crossed 200-EMA downwards. The 50 and 100 EMAs pointed lower while 200-EMA was neutral in the mentioned timeframe. The resistance is at 1.0650, the support comes in at 1.0600.

MACD grew which indicates the sellers’ positions weakening. RSI was neutral.

Trading recommendations

A move above 1.0600 will support buyers sending the market to 1.0630 – 1.0650. A return to 1.0550 may open the way for a move to 1.0500.

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Pound

General overview

The British pound maintained its bid tone flirting with its recent highs. The British pound was able to strengthen amid positive BBA Mortgage Approvals and the US dollar retracement.

Current situation

GBP/USD did not have enough momentum to reach the 1.2600 resistance. Bulls stopped at the mark 1.2565 being unable to push the spot higher. The pair stayed in a tight range of 50 pips during the European session. A bout of fresh selling interest emerged in the European morning. The Cable declined against the dollar heading towards 1.2500. The pair rebounded from 200-EMA and broke 50 and 100-EMA upwards in the 4 hours chart. The British pound continued developing well above the moving averages. The 50 and 200 EMAs pointed higher while the 100-EMA maintained its bearish slope in the same chart. The resistance lies at 1.2600, the support comes in at 1.2500.

The MACD histogram grew which indicates buyers’ strength. The RSI indicator lost upward strength and moved downwards.

Trading recommendations

The bullish tone is likely to remain intact. A move above 1.2550 would revive bullishness towards 1.2600 – 1.2650.

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Yen

General overview

USD/JPY continued its smooth slide on Friday. The current situation on the currency market is not good for the US dollar, as the Fed recent minutes indicated small chances of rate hike in March.

Current situation

The USD/JPY pair maintained its offered tone on Friday. Buyers reversed a minor portion of their losses in the night. Traders pushed the price to 113.00 but failed to break above the hurdle. Sellers returned control in the late Asian session, pushed the US dollar lower and erased all buyers' gains in the early European session. The 4 hours chart showed that the price broke the 100-EMA downwards and moved lower. The 100 and 200 EMAs maintained their bearish slope while 100-EMA turned neutral. The price continued developing well below the moving averages in the mentioned timeframe. The resistance is highlighted at 113.00, the support comes in at 112.00.

The MACD histogram decreased which indicates the sellers’ strength. The RSI indicator was holding near oversold levels, favoring a new move lower.

Trading recommendations

As the most probable scenario, we consider further moving downwards towards the level at 112.00.

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AUD/USD

General overview

The Australian dollar fell after the Governor of the RBA Phillip Lowe made it clear that the Central Bank did not intend to raise interest rates in the nearest time.

Current situation

Despite the overall positive trend bulls seem have no desire to move higher. After posting recent highs at 0.7739 the price softened and returned to 0.7700 where remained in a consolidation stance during the night session. The rise in the dollar demand made the AUD break below 0.7700 pushing the Australian currency towards 0.7650. According to 4 hours chart the price tested the 50-EMA. All the moving averages pointed higher. The resistance is highlighted at 0.7700, the support comes in at 0.7650.

The histogram declined which is a sell signal. RSI was neutral.

Trading recommendations

In order to recover some strength, AUD/USD needs to rise back and hold above 0.7700. The current decline we consider corrective. It is a good opportunity to buy on dips. Only a break below 0.7650 will ease the upward pressure. A move below 0.7550 will be able to neutralize the buying pressure and open the way to further weakness.

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XAU/USD

General overview

Gold reached three-month highs on Friday amid the dollar in the light of the latest FOMC minutes analysis. The world political instability increased the demand for risk-free assets as well.

Current situation

Spot gold remained on strong bullish footing on Friday. After an Asian flat the price got an upward impetus in the European morning. Strong bullish interest helped the price to break 1250 and drove the price towards 1260 afterwards. The 4 hours chart showed that the price continues developing well above the moving averages. The moving averages maintained their bullish slope in the same timeframe. The resistance exists at 1260, the support stands at 1250 dollars per ounce.

The MACD histogram grew which indicates buyers’ strength. RSI went upwards which confirms the strength of buyers.

Trading recommendations

If the bullish tone persists we expect a breakout of the level 1260 dollars per ounce.

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Brent

General Overview

Black gold slightly declined amid the crude inventories report. According to the Kuwait business paper research, OPEC and non-OPEC countries kept their promise to reduce oil production only by 86% instead of promised 94%.

Current situation

The tone was negative in the oil market on Friday. The price reversed some losses in the night. Buyers returned the benchmark to 56.66 dollars per barrel where Brent caught fresh offers and moved lower. Sellers returned the price to 56.50 on European open and continued driving black gold lower during the day. Oil prices reached 56.00 ahead of the NY opening. According to 4 hours chart the price tested the 50 and 100 EMAs. The 50-EMA bounced off the 100-EMA upwards. The 50 and 100 EMAs pointed higher while 100-EMA turned neutral. The price was above the moving averages in the same chart. The resistance lies at 56.50, the support comes in at 55.50 dollars per barrel.

MACD decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. RSI remained within neutral territory.

Trading recommendations


A downtrend will start as soon, as the price drops below the support level 55.50 dollars per barrel.

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DAX

General overview

European stocks dropped on Friday. Investors stayed focused on the earnings reports and political instability in Europe and the United States.

Current situation

The index gapped lower at the open on Friday. Sellers maintained control after the gap and pushed DAX lower. The index broke 11900 and 11800 in the mid-European session. The benchmark continued its slide afterwards and reached 11735 ahead of the NY opening. The price broke the 50-EMA and tested the 100-EMA in the 4 hours chart. The 50, 100 and 200 EMAs pointed higher in the same timeframe. The resistance exists at 11900, the support stands at 11800.

MACD decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. RSI remained within neutral territory.

Trading recommendations

After a daily close below the support at 11800 we could see the index extending its declines down to 11700.

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NASDAQ

Current situation

NASDAQ turned bearish on Friday. The index was slowly declining in the night and accelerated its slide with European markets opening. Sellers drove the index to 5300 in the mid-European session. The benchmark tested the 50-EMA. The moving averages pointed higher in the in the 4 hours chart. The resistance is at 5340, the support comes in at 5300.

MACD decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. The RSI indicator lost upward strength and moved downwards.

Trading recommendations

The price eyes support at 5300 loss of which would trigger further weakness towards 5260.

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*Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

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TradeFort
  • Posts: 793
  • Joined: 14/05/2014
"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

28.02.2017

Euro

General overview

According to the European commission research held on Monday, investors became more confident about the Eurozone, as it was expected in February. Industry confidence grew, while manufacturing expectations posted losses.

Current situation

After a sharp sell-off on Friday the euro seems to have found a strong support in the 1.0550 region. The level rejected the spot which managed to reverse a half of Friday's losses. European buyers continued pushing the price higher approaching the 1.0600 level in the first part of the day. The pair tested the 50-EMA in the 4 hours chart and stayed below the moving average. The 50-EMA turned upwards, 100-EMA kept heading lower, while 200-EMA was neutral in the same timeframe. The resistance is at 1.0600, the support comes in at 1.0550.

MACD indicator was at the centerline. If the histogram enters the positive territory, that will indicate buyers’ growing strength. If MACD returns into the negative area the sellers will take control over the market. RSI remained within neutral territory.

Trading recommendations

EUR/USD awaits for the US data for fresh impetus. Meanwhile, any recovery is likely to be considered a good selling opportunity. A move below 1.0550 would revive bearishness towards 1.0500.

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Pound

General overview

The pound dropped versus the majors following the news that the UK Government plans to hold a potential Scotland independence referendum. None of the officials commented on it, but even the rumor made the cable to drop down.

Current situation

Sellers lost strength on Friday after testing the 1.2400 level which rescued buyers once again. After touching the handle the price remained within its region in the night. European traders started to push the price higher in the early trades but did not advance much and returned to the support in the mid European session The price broke all the moving averages downwards and continued trading below them in the 4 hours chart. The 100 and the 50 EMAs were neutral while the 200-EMA maintained its bullish slope in the same chart. The resistance lies at 1.2500, the support comes in at 1.2400.

MACD indicator was at the centerline. If the histogram enters the negative territory, that will indicate sellers’ growing strength. If MACD returns into the positive area the buyers will take control over the market. The RSI indicator was holding near oversold levels, favoring a new move lower.

Trading recommendations

After a daily close below 1.2400, GBP/USD will likely target the 1.2370 mark.

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Yen

General overview

The dollar slightly recovered from two-week lows in Asian session on Monday. However, the US dollar lacked an upward impulse awaiting for Donald Trump's speech regarding his tax reform.

Current situation

After meeting a barrier at 112.00 the price bounced off the level. Buyers failed to advance far from the handle and stayed around it the fist part of the day. According to 4 hours chart the price continued developing well below the moving averages. The 50 and 200 EMAs maintained their bearish slope, while 100-EMA was neutral in the mentioned timeframe. The resistance is highlighted at 113.00, the support comes in at 112.00.

MACD remained at the same level which confirms the strength of sellers. RSI indicator was near undervalued territory, favoring a move higher.

Trading recommendations

The USD/JPY pair needs to regain at least the 113.00 zone to ease the immediate bearish pressure. Meanwhile we will sell until the spot is below the mentioned level.

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NZD/USD

Current situation

After a sell-off on Friday the kiwi remained neutral on Monday morning. Sellers met a barrier at 0.7200 and were struggling hard to break it during the European hours. The price was sandwiched between 200-EMA and 50-EMA in the 4 hours chart. The 100-EMA kept heading lower and touched the 200-EMA which kept pointed higher while 50-EMA turned neutral in the same timeframe. The resistance is highlighted at 0.7200, the support comes in at 0.7150.

MACD decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. RSI was neutral.

Trading recommendations

As the most probable scenario, we consider further moving downwards towards the level at 0.7150.

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XAU/USD

Current situation

Gold opened the week inside of a consolidation zone after Friday’s rally. The upward impetus lost strength around 1260 dollars per ounce. Buyers gave up their recent gains and had to retreat on the back of profit-taking. Sellers drove the price lower and reached 1255 in the mid European session. According to 4 hours chart the price was above the moving averages which were all pointing higher. The resistance exists at 1260, the support stands at 1250 dollars per ounce.

MACD decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. The RSI indicator was near overvalued territory, favoring a move lower.

Trading recommendations

A close below the support at 1250 could see XAU/USD extend its declines down to 1240. Nevertheless, the upward structure remained in place. The lower limit of the upward channel lies around 1240. Buyers may find fresh bids around the level.
The 1260 is a big psychological level which means that we are bound to see some thick action around it.

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Brent

General Overview

Oil prices recovered back to the eight week highs on Monday as investors are still confident that OPEC's output cuts would outweigh an increase in the United States crude inventories. Moreover, OPEC's efforts to hold the oil prices from falling were supported by the reports from China.

Current situation

Oil prices rebounded from the oversold zone in the Asian session. Sellers failed to regain 55.50 and gave the way to buyers. Buyers took a chance and had reversed all Friday' losses by the Monday's noon. Traders pushed the price higher and pierced 56.50 in the mid-European session. After touching the level the upward trajectory lost its strength, the price bounced from the level and edged lower. The price tested the 200-EMA, rebounded upwards in the 4 hours chart. Brent broke 100-EMA and 50-EMA upwards afterwards. The 50-EMA and 200-EMA turned upwards, while 100-EMA was neutral in the same timeframe. The resistance lies at 56.50, the support comes in at 55.50 dollars per barrel.

MACD indicator is at the centerline. If the histogram enters the negative territory, that will indicate sellers’ growing strength. If MACD returns into the positive area the buyers will take control over the market. RSI remained within neutral territory.

Trading recommendations

When we break the level 56.50 the support 55.50 comes back into play.

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DAX

General overview

European stocks opened mixed on Monday following the inspiring reports of some companies and Intesa Sanpaolo rally. However, a sharp fall of London and Deutsche Stock Exchange limited stocks advance.

Current situation

DAX gapped higher at the open on Monday. Buyers failed to advance beyond the level and after posting the daily high at 11867 the price reversed its direction. Sellers retuned the price to 11800 filling the gap in the mid European session. The index rebounded from 100-EMA upward and tested 50-EMA in the 4 hours chart. The moving averages turned neutral in the mentioned timeframe. The resistance exists at 11900, the support stands at 11800.
s
The MACD histogram decreased which is a sell signal. RSI remained within neutral territory.

Trading recommendations

A sharp breakout above 11800 could spark a further incline towards 11700 in the coming sessions.

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S&P500

General overview

Wall Street opened lower on Monday as investors waited for President Donald Trump’s speech to Congress. The president had to reveal his plans regarding taxes, trade and public investment.

Current situation

S&P500 posted fresh all-times high in the Asian session on Monday. Buyers managed to lead the price to 2370 where the upward momentum lost its legs. Bulls gave up their gains and stepped away. Sellers led the benchmark lower and erased all buyers’ gains. The 4 hours chart showed that the benchmark bounced off the 50-EMA upwards. The price remained above the moving averages which were all pointing higher in the same timeframe. The resistance is at 2380, the support comes in at 2360.

MACD decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. RSI oscillator stayed near overbought levels.

Trading recommendations

We maintain our positive outlook for the index. The ongoing decline is just a correction. The index may weaken to 2350 where the lower limit of the upward channel lies. A break lower will ease the upward pressure towards 2340. A failure here will return rally towards 2370, en route 2380.

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*Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

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TradeFort
  • Posts: 793
  • Joined: 14/05/2014
"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

06.03.2017

Euro

General overview

Retail sales in the Eurozone fell for the third month in a row as inflation rate slowed down both consumer demand and economic growth. The Eurozone non-manufacturing PMI dropped, although no one expected any changes.

Current situation

The pair remained in a downward channel on Friday. After finding barrier at 1.0500 the spot pulled back. Buyers reversed some losses overnight and pushed the euro to the upper limit of the downward channel. The major was unmoved in the morning. A fresh buying impetus emerged in the late European session when the price rallied to 1.0550. The moving averages pointed lower in the 4 hours chart. The price continued developing well below the moving averages in the mentioned timeframe. The resistance is at 1.0550, the support comes in at 1.0500.

MACD grew which indicates the sellers’ positions weakening. RSI indicator was near undervalued territory, favoring a move higher.

Trading recommendations

After a close below the support at 1.0500 we could see EUR/USD extending its declines down to 1.0450. Meanwhile we expect some recovery based on profit-taking. The price may reach he upper limit of the downward channel in the coming sessions.

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Pound

General overview

The pound refreshed its six-week lows against the dollar amid negative UK non-manufacturing PMI and increasing expectations of March interest rate hike in the USA.

Current situation

The pound extended its consolidation phase in the Asia session on Friday. The price traded range-bound-to lower in a narrow range of 50 pips. Sellers became more active in the European morning and moved the pound to 1.2200. According to the 4 hours timeframe the price continued developing well below the moving averages. 50 and 100-EMAs crossed the 200-EMA downwards. The moving averages pointed lower in the same chart. The resistance lies at 1.2300, the support comes in at 1.2200.

MACD decreased which confirms the strength of sellers. The RSI indicator held within oversold readings, and headed now south.

Trading recommendations

In the 4 hours chart, the technical picture favors a downward extension towards the level of 1.2200. The break of the last will open doors for more weakness towards 1.2150. Meanwhile we do not rule out a minor correction as the spot is heavily oversold. Buyers may lead the price to 1.2300 to ease some downward pressure.

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Yen

General overview

Japanese inflation rate and labor market supported the yen. The dollar declined on Friday amid profit taking after the recent rally.

Current situation

The pair remained in an uptrend on Friday. The US dollar traded around its recent highs. Buyers obviously took a pause allowing sellers to reverse some losses. The major slightly eased during the night trades. Sellers returned the currency pair to 114.00 where the major opened the European session. A fresh buying interest lifted the price to 114.50 in the noon. The 4 hours chart showed that the price continued developing well above the moving averages. The 50 and 100 EMAs maintained their bullish slope while the 200-EMA was neutral in the mentioned timeframe. The resistance is highlighted at 115.00, the support comes in at 114.00.

MACD decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. RSI indicator was near overvalued territory.

Trading recommendations

The nearest target remains the resistance level of 115.00. Inability to post fresh highs may cause some profit taking towards 114.00.

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USD/CAD

General overview

The dollar slightly changed on Friday staying near seven-week highs against other majors. The increasing probability of the U.S. rate hike this month supported the dollar. The Janet Yellen’s testimony came into focus.

Current situation

The US dollar extended its winning steak on Friday. The major opened green and was able to post fresh highs at the European opening. After an Asian flat buyers became more active in the morning. They pushed the price higher and broke 1.3400. The USD/CAD pair maintained its bid tone afterwards conquering fresh highs. The price continued developing well above the moving averages in the 4 hours chart. The 50 and 100-EMAs crossed the 200-EMA upwards. The moving averages maintained their bullish slope in the same timeframe. The resistance is highlighted 1.3470, the support comes in at 1.3400.

The MACD histogram grew which is a buy signal. RSI consolidated within positive territory.

Trading recommendations

If buyers remain in the driver’s seat the next level to focus on is 1.3470. Conversely, the US dollar may retreat to the 1.3330 region.

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XAU/USD

General overview

Gold prices continued falling amid the growing expectation of the US rate hike and the dollar's growth.

Current situation

The technical picture presented a slightly bearish ton on Friday. Gold opened in red and continued losing ground afterwards. Sellers tested 1230 in the late Asian session. The handle shortly slowed down sellers. However, the spot accelerated its losses during European morning trade. Sellers broke the level and reached 1225 dollars per ounce afterwards. According to 4 hours chart the price crossed the 50 and 100-EMAs downwards and touched the 200-EMA. The 50 and 100-EMA s turned lower while the 200-EMA was neutral in the same chart. The resistance exists at 1230, the support stands at 1220 dollars per ounce.

The MACD histogram decreased which indicates the sellers’ strength. The RSI indicator was holding near oversold levels, favoring a new move lower.

Trading recommendations

Should the gold recover ground and advance beyond the 1230 level, the rally can extend in the short term up to 1240 dollars per ounce.

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Brent

General Overview

Oil prices slightly rose on Friday morning due to the dollar's retreatment. However, Brent further growth was limited on the news that Russian oil production for February did change comparing to January.

Current situation

Brent found a solid support after two day decline. The mark 55.00 stopped sellers rejecting prices upwards in the night session. The ongoing recovery could be attributed to some profit taking from bears following recent sell-off. The price was slowly recovering in the night and accelerated its growth in the morning. According to 4 hours chart the price continued developing well below the moving averages. The 50-EMA maintained its bearish slope while the 100 and 200 EMAs turned neutral in the same chart. The resistance lies at 55.50, the support comes in at 54.50 dollars per barrel.

MACD entered the negative area. If MACD remains in the negative territory, sellers’ positions will strengthen. The RSI indicator was near undervalued territory.

Trading recommendations

A recovery above the level of 55.50 will favor an advance up to the 56.50 region.

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DAX

General overview

European stocks opened in red amid the weak earnings reports including the one of the world's largest advertising holding WPP and a protective clothing manufacturer Berendsen.

Current situation

DAX gapped lower at the open. The price jumped to 12000 where it stayed in the morning. An upward impetus sent the price upward filling the gap in the late European session. According to 4 hours chart the price continued developing well above the moving averages. The moving averages pointed higher in the mentioned timeframe. The resistance exists at 12100, the support stands at 12000.

MACD decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. RSI remained within neutral territory.

Trading recommendations

A sharp breakout below 12000 could spark a further decline towards 11950.

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S&P500

General overview

Wall Street was down at the open on Friday ahead of Fed Chair Janet Yellen's speech.

Current situation

S&P500 had a negative start to the day. The price opened around 2380 and headed lower. Sellers were driving the price lower the night and finally stopped at 2375 where the index stayed the first part of the day. The 4 hours chart showed that the index was above the moving averages which were all pointing higher. The resistance is at 2380, the support comes in at 2360.

The MACD histogram decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. RSI remained within neutral territory.

Trading recommendations

A move below 2380 would revive bearishness towards 2360. However, we do not believe much in this scenario. The upward channel structure is still intact. The price was close to its lower boundary. That’s why we expect a rebound here and a return to 2400.

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*Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

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TradeFort
  • Posts: 793
  • Joined: 14/05/2014
"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

07.03.2017

Euro

General overview

The euro rose amid the US dollar retracement as investors were taking profit after last week rally. The US dollar strengthened amid the expectations of the rate hike on the Fed meeting on the 14-15 March. The presidential elections in France are still in focus.

Current situation

The pair remained in a descending channel on Monday. Inability to break below 1.0500 returned some buying interest pushing the spot higher. Moreover, a soft tone around the US dollar opened the doors for the current euro recovery. The single European currency rallied through several levels until it reached the upper limit of the range around 1.0650. The hurdle stopped bulls for now who seem to have started a consolidation phase. A wave of fresh selling pressure emerged in the late European session driving the major below 1.0600 to 1.0580. According to 4 hours chart the euro tested the 100-EMA in the first part of the day. The 50-EMA kept heading higher, the 100-EMA turned downwards while the 200-EMA remained mild bearish in the same timeframe. The resistance is at 1.0600, the support comes in at 1.0550.

The histogram declined which is a sell signal. RSI oscillator stayed near overbought levels, favoring a move lower.

Trading recommendations

When we stay below the level 1.0600 the support 1.0550 will come back into play.

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Pound

General overview

The market was low volatile on Monday amid an empty macroeconomic calendar. However, the pound remained weak against the dollar following the investors' optimism of the rate hike at the March meeting.

Current situation

The pair presented a modest bearish tone on Monday. The pound was able to recover up to 1.2300 last week which appeared to be a tough nut to break. The level stopped bulls and after a night flat the cable came under renewed selling pressure during the European morning trade. Bears tightened their grip and pushed the price lower away from the 1.2300 resistance. The spot had reached 1.2250 by the NY opening. The 4 hours chart showed that the price continued developing well below its moving averages. The 50 and 100 EMAs maintained their bearish slope while the 200-EMA was neutral in the same chart. The resistance lies at 1.2300, the support comes in at 1.2200.

MACD grew which indicates the sellers’ positions weakening. RSI indicator was near undervalued territory, favoring a new move lower.

Trading recommendations

We believe the pair will remain in red figures. All eyes are right now at the support level 1.2200.

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Yen

General overview

North Korea had set up rockets to the Japan’s Exclusive Economic Zone. This action hiked anxiety level in geopolitical environment making investors buy yen to escape the risk.

Current situation

The USD/JPY opened bearish on Monday. The pair headed lower in the Asian session and continued losing ground in the European morning. Sellers reached 113.80 first and after a brief pause continued moving the major lower and reached 113.60 in the late European session. The price remained above the moving averages in the 4 hours chart. The 100-EMA touched the 200-EMA and turned neutral. The 200-EMA also was neutral while the 50-EMA turned upwards in the mentioned timeframe. The resistance is highlighted at 114.00, the support comes in at 113.00.

MACD decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. The RSI oscillator moved downwards.

Trading recommendations

The USD/JPY pair is likely to maintain its sell tone in the short term. The 113.50 area stopped sellers to move lower for now. A cut through the mark will turn attention to the 113.00 level.

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AUD/USD


General overview

According to the Australian Bureau of statistics, retail sales for January slightly grew. However, household spending growth increased concerns of the RBA. The Reserve Bank of Australia meeting minutes will be released on Tuesday. Analysts are expecting the regulator to leave the interest rate unchanged at 1.5%.

Current situation

After a sharp sell-off on Friday buyers found fresh strength to recover some gains on Monday. The 0.7550 handle stopped sellers' advance rejecting the spot afterwards. The AUD was recovering the whole night and extended its recovery in the European session. Buyers accelerated their advance in the morning and tested 0.7600 in the late European session. The pair lacked upward momentum in the noon
and had to pause choosing the right direction. According to 4 hours chart the major stayed below the moving averages. The 50-EMA kept pointed lower, the 100-EMA and 200-EMAs turned neutral in the same timeframe. The resistance is highlighted 0.7600, the support comes in at 0.7550.

MACD grew which indicates the sellers’ positions weakening. RSI moved north which confirms the current upward momentum.

Trading recommendations

The AUD is likely to extend its weakness in the short-term. If the spot stays below 0.7600 the AUD/USD pair may extend its bearishness to 0.7550. Alternatively, the 0.7600 resistance will need to be retested for support before a price can rally towards 0.7650.

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XAU/USD

General overview

Gold prices traded in green on Monday amid the increased demand for risky assets following the news about the launch of four North Korean ballistic missiles.

Current situation


The gold recovery stalled around 1235 dollars per ounce on Monday. Buyers did not find any reason to move the price further. The precious metal was slowly declining the night and the morning and reached 1230 in the noon. The 4 hours chart showed that the price bounced off the 200-EMA upwards and then was sandwiched between this moving average and the 100-EMA. The moving averages were neutral in the same timeframe. The resistance exists at 1240, the support stands at 1230 dollars per ounce.

MACD grew which indicates the sellers’ positions weakening. RSI remained within neutral territory.

Trading recommendations

A break below 1230 would open the way to 1220 dollars per ounce.

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Brent

General Overview

Investors' concerns about the economic growth in China weighed on crude oil futures on Monday. Traders are waiting for the Fed's rate hike next week, which pressuring oil futures amid the dollar growth. Traders are also awaiting weekly reports on US crude inventories on Tuesday and Wednesday.

Current situation

Brent opened red on Monday. Sellers were leading the benchmark downwards and managed to pierce 55.50 in the late Asian session. However, bears failed to reclaim the level and the price returned above the tested handle. The pressure remained intact afterwards holding the spot around the support level. The price tested the 200-EMA and bounced off downwards in the 4 hours timeframe. The 50-EMA touched the 100-EMA. The 50-EMA kept pointed lower while the 100-EMA and the 200-EMA were neutral in the same chart. The resistance lies at 56.50, the support comes in at 55.50 dollars per barrel.

MACD formed signal to rise. The RSI oscillator consolidated within neutral area.

Trading recommendations

We expect to see renewed bullish pressure in the upcoming sessions. The main buyers’ goal is the level at 56.50 dollars per barrel.

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DAX

General overview

European stocks fell on Monday following mining shares decline amid concerns on the China's economic growth weakening and the possible Fed rate hike.

Current situation

DAX gapped lower at the weekly open. The index jumped over 12000 and reached 11922 in the late European trades. The benchmark found fresh bids around the level lately the day and bounced off it. DAX returned to the opening prices afterwards and remained there the first part of the day. The 4 hours chart showed that the index tested the 50-EMA. The price was above the moving averages which were all pointing higher. The resistance exists at 12000, the support stands at 11900.

MACD decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. The RSI oscillator moved downwards.

Trading recommendations

A move below 11900 will confirm the presence of sellers. DAX may ease further and reach 11850 afterwards.

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NASDAQ

Current situation

The overall picture remained unchanged on Monday. The benchmark stayed in a sideways channel trading in a tight range the first part of the day. The index gapped downwards and reached the lower limit of the range at the daily open. Sellers failed to extend their gains after the gap being only able to reach the mark 5347. The mark rejected NASDAQ upwards which returned to the opening prices in the European morning. According to 4 hours chart the benchmark tested the 50-EMA downwards and remained above the moving averages. The 50-EMA was neutral while the 100 and 200 EMAs maintained their bullish slope in the same timeframe. The resistance is at 5380, the support comes in at 5340.

The MACD histogram decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. RSI remained within neutral territory.

Trading recommendations

A break below the level of 5340 might force the index to resume its downward trajectory towards 5300.

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*Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

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TradeFort
  • Posts: 793
  • Joined: 14/05/2014
"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

08.03.2017

Euro

General overview

The euro did not react to weak Factory Orders in Germany. Meanwhile, the single European currency remained under pressure amid uncertainty around the Presidential elections in France. The possible Fed rate hike weighed on the euro as well.

Current situation

The undertone for Euro was clearly negative on Tuesday. The price was slowly growing in the night session and accelerated its recovery in the morning. Buyers tested 1.0600 in the European morning and were struggling with the level afterwards. However, the upward impetus lost its strength in the late European session. The price pushed away from the level 1.0600 and headed lower erasing buyers’ night gains. The pair broke the 100-EMA downwards and tested the 50-EMA afterwards in the 4 hours chart. The 50 and 100 EMAs were neutral while the 200-EMA kept heading lower in the same timeframe. The resistance is at 1.0600, the support comes in at 1.0550.

The MACD histogram declined which indicates buyers’ strength weakening. RSI moved south which confirms the current downward momentum.

Trading recommendations

We believe the EUR/USD pair will continue moving lower. A daily close below 1.0550 would risk 1.0500.

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Pound

General overview

The pound remained under pressure as the market was rather concerned about the USA plans to react to North Korean latest actions. Besides, traders waited for House of Lords final decision on Article 50.

Current situation

The pound remained under pressure due to the bid sentiment around the dollar. The overnight’s recovery attempt stalled around the 1.2250 mark. Bears regained control in the late Asian session and drove the major lower. European sellers continued to grind the spot towards 1.2200 and touched the level post London open. According to 4 hours chart the major was below the moving averages which were all pointing lower. The resistance lies at 1.2300, the support comes in at 1.2200.

The MACD histogram decreased which is a sell signal. RSI indicator was near undervalued territory, favoring a new move lower.

Trading recommendations

The short term picture favors the downside. A close below 1.2200 will trigger losses towards 1.2100.

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Yen

General overview

The US dollar grew on strong hopes that the Fed will hike its rate this month. All eyes are on BoJ's GDP report which is expected with upbeat figures.

Current situation

The USD/JPY maintained its consolidation phase in the early trades on Tuesday. The major preserved its neutral-to-bearish stance and traded in a tight range fluctuating between 114.00 and 113.80. About of fresh buying interest emerged in the late European session. Buyers moved the price upwards and struggled with 114.00 level. The 4 hours chart showed that the spot remained above the moving averages. The 100-EMA crossed the 200-EMA upwards. The 50-EMA maintained its bullish slope while the 100 and 200 EMAs were neutral in the mentioned chart. The resistance is highlighted at 114.00, the support comes in at 113.00.

The MACD histogram grew which is a buy signal. RSI was neutral to bullish.

Trading recommendations

Once we break above the 114.00 level, we think that the 115.00 level will be next.

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NZD/USD

General overview

Investors’ attention now turns to Global Dairy Trade (GDT) in London. Milk price is likely might decrease by 7%-9% which might affect the NZD as the national currency highly depend on the milk production.

Current situation

The market sentiment remained negative on Tuesday. The NZD opened on a stronger note around 0.6980. Buyers managed to lift the major to 0.7015 where the upward trajectory stalled. Sellers seized control and returned the Kiwi to the opening prices erasing all its early trades. The pair maintained its gloomy trend afterwards heading towards 0.6950. According to 4 hours chart the currency pair continued developing well below the moving averages which were all pointing lower. The resistance is highlighted 0.7000, the support comes in at 0.6950.

MACD decreased which confirms the strength of sellers. RSI indicator was near undervalued territory, favoring a new move lower.

Trading recommendations

The NZD is likely to remain well offered in the short-term. A further extension to 0.6950 is not ruled out.

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XAU/USD

General overview

Growing confidence around Fed rate hike action kept weighing on the yellow metal holding the spot around three week lows.

Current situation

Gold maintained the ask tone on Tuesday. After a sharp sell-off on Monday sellers stepped away giving the way to buyers in the night session. However, the last did not hurry to take control preferring to wait for fresh market movers. Thus, the price was trading in a directionless mode around 1225 the first part of the day. Sellers returned in the noon and drove the precious metal towards 1220 dollars per ounce. The price broke the 200-EMA in the 4 hours chart. The 100 and 200 EMAs were neutral while the 50-EMA turned lower in the mentioned timeframe. The resistance exists at 1230, the support stands at 1220 dollars per ounce.

MACD traded to the downside. The RSI indicator was holding near oversold levels.

Trading recommendations

After a daily close below 1220 dollars per ounce we could see the XAU/USD pair extending down to the 1210 region during the next sessions.

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Brent

General Overview

Brent traded flat on Tuesday as investors were assessing prospect of production cuts against the US drilling activity growth.

Current situation

Brent traded mixed the first part of the day. The bearish momentum persisted in the night. The price slightly eased during the Asian session. Bulls regained control in the morning and pushed the price higher. After posting a daily low at 55.74 the benchmark erased all its losses in the morning and reached 56.20 in the noon. The 4 hours chart showed that the black gold bounced off the 200-EMA upwards and tested the 50 and 100 EMAs. The 50-EMA crossed the 100-EMA downwards. The 50 and 100 EMAs were neutral while the 200-EMA turned upwards in the same chart. The resistance lies at 56.50, the support comes in at 55.50 dollars per barrel.

MACD indicator was at the centerline. If the histogram enters the positive territory, that will indicate buyers’ growing strength. If MACD returns into the negative area the sellers will take control over the market. The RSI oscillator moved upwards.

Trading recommendations

A close above 56.50 will generate fresh bullish signal for further advance, which could extend to the level of 57.00 dollars per barrel.

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DAX

General overview

European stocks were mostly unchanged on Tuesday. The main point of focus this week is the ECB meeting on Thursday.

Current situation

DAX remained in an upward channel on Tuesday. Sellers led the price to its lower limit but failed to continue its advance afterwards. The price bounced off 11900 and reversed almost all early losses. The benchmark tried to extend the recovery in the morning on Tuesday but did not succeed staying around the opening prices the first part of the day. According to 4 hours chart the price tested the 50-EMA and hovered above it afterwards. The price continued developing well above the moving averages. The moving averages maintained their bullish slope in the mentioned timeframe. The resistance exists at 12000, the support stands at 11900.

MACD decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. RSI remained within neutral territory.

Trading recommendations

After breaking 11950 the level of 11900 will come back to the radar.

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S&P500

Current situation

After a night sharp drop the index traded sideways during the European hours. The price was going up and down in a tight range fluctuating between 2370 and 2375. The price tested the 50-EMA but could not move lower in the 4 hours chart. S&P500 was above the moving averages which were all pointing higher in the same chart. The resistance is at 2380, the support comes in at 2360.

MACD indicator was at the centerline. If the histogram enters the negative territory, that will indicate sellers’ growing strength. If MACD returns into the positive area the buyers will take control over the market. RSI remained within neutral territory.

Trading recommendations

A cut below the 2380 mark will aim sellers at the 2360 level.

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*Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

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TradeFort
  • Posts: 793
  • Joined: 14/05/2014
"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

10.03.2017

Euro

General overview

The euro was attracting everyone’s attention on Thursday in light of the ECB meeting. Investors expected the regulator to leave the rate unchanged. Investors believe the ECB won't risk ahead of important elections in Europe.

Current situation

Sellers managed to lead the price a bit lower in the night. However, after posting a daily low at 1.0524 the pair reversed its direction. A minor dollar retracement triggered some profit taking move following the pair's recent sell-off. Buyers pushed the price to 1.0550 in the morning and broke the level in the late European session. The price was below the moving averages in the 4 hours chart. The 50, 100 and 200 EMAs pointed lower in the same chart. The resistance is at 1.0600, the support comes in at 1.0550.

MACD entered the negative area. If MACD remains in the negative territory, sellers’ positions will strengthen. RSI indicator was near undervalued territory, favoring a move higher.

Trading recommendations

The major is still in a downward channel and the single currency is still under pressure. After a close below the level of 1.0550 we could see EUR/USD extending its declines down to 1.0500.

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Pound

General overview

The British pound extended its weakness in the light of a stronger dollar and uncertainty around Brexit.

Current situation

After the night flat the price continued moving downwards on Thursday. The spot stayed in a tight range 1.2160-1.2150 in the night. Sellers became more active in the morning and led the major out of the sideways channel. According to the 4 hours chart the price continued developing well below the moving averages. The moving averages maintained their bearish slope in the same chart. The resistance lies at 1.2200, the support comes in at 1.2100.

MACD remained at the same level which confirms the strength of sellers. The RSI indicator held near oversold readings.

Trading recommendations

The pair remains in red figures. The nearest sellers’ target is the support level 1.2100.

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Yen

General overview

The upbeat Chinese Consumer Price Index supported the US dollar on Thursday. Moreover, the greenback is well supported by a possible Fed rate hike action in March. However, this Friday's NFP report still matters.

Current situation

The undertone for USD is clearly positive. The pair extended its near-term upward trajectory on Thursday. After Wednesday's rally the price pulled back a bit. Buyers allowed sellers to reverse some losses. However, a fresh buying interest emerged at the daily open. Buyers began returning the lost ground slowly and steady and had reversed all the recent losses by the European morning. Bulls continued advancing north and reached 115.00 in the noon. According to 4 hours chart the price continued developing well above the moving averages. The 50-EMA crossed the 100 and 200 EMAs upwards. The 50-EMA kept pointed higher while the 100 and 200 EMAs were neutral in the mentioned timeframe. The resistance is highlighted at 115.00, the support comes in at 114.00.

The MACD histogram grew which is a buy signal. The RSI indicator was near overvalued territory, favoring a new move higher.

Trading recommendations

We believe the US will extend its upward impulse in the short term. A further extension beyond 115.00 is not ruled out. 115.50 is the next profit target.

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AUD/USD


General overview

The AUD weakened amid a stronger dollar and disappointing Chinese inflation data.

Current situation

Sentiment remained negative on Thursday. Sellers maintained control and pushed the price lower. They moved slowly in the Asian session and accelerated in the morning. The AUD reached 0.7500 post European open. The major continued developing well below the moving averages which were all pointing lower in the 4 hours chart. The 50-EMA was below the 100-EMA and crossed the 200-EMA downwards in the same timeframe. The resistance is highlighted 0.7550, the support comes in at 0.7500.

The MACD histogram decreased which indicates the sellers’ strength. The RSI indicator is near undervalued territory, favoring a new move lower.

Trading recommendations

A firm break below 0.7500 handle would open 0.7450.

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XAU/USD

General overview

Gold prices kept losing ground trading around 8 week lows in the light of speculations that the Fed will hike the rate next week.

Current situation

Gold opened on a weaker note on Thursday. Sellers remained in driver's seat and pushed the price lower in the night session. The XAU/USD pair extended its weakness in the European session and reached 1205 in the mid-European session. According to 4 hours chart the yellow metal continued developing well below the moving averages. The 50-EMA crossed the 100-EMA downwards. The 50 and 100 EMAs pointed lower while the 200-EMA was neutral in the same chart. The resistance exists at 1210, the support stands at 1200 dollars per ounce.

MACD traded to the downside. RSI headed downwards which confirms the strength of sellers.

Trading recommendations

We assume that a daily close below 1200 would risk 1190 dollars per ounce.

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Brent

General Overview

Oil prices dropped on Thursday amid the U.S. crude inventories growth which returned investors' concerns regarding a global glut despite supply cut agreement.

Current situation

Brent pulled back a bit during the Asian hours and reversed a minor portion of its Wednesday's losses. Buyers were able to return the price to the 53.50 region where the benchmark ran through fresh offers. Brent oil prices continued with a decline in the morning. Sellers returned the price below 53.50 and continued pushing the benchmark lower afterwards. Brent sharply fell in the noon and tested 52.50 dollars per barrel. The 4 hours chart showed that the black gold continued developing well below the moving averages which were all pointing lower. The 50-EMA crossed the 100 and 200 EMAs downwards and in the mentioned chart. The resistance lies at 52.50, the support comes in at 51.50 dollars per barrel.

MACD decreased which confirms the strength of sellers. The RSI indicator remains within oversold readings.

Trading recommendations

A pullback is expected in the market in the near term. The price may recover a bit on profit-taking. The possible target is 53.50 dollars per barrel. If the downward pressure persists the price will reach 51.50 in the coming sessions.

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DAX

General overview

European stocks traded lower ahead of the ECB meeting results. Energy sector shares decline and disappointing corporate readings reported weighed on stocks as well.

Current situation

DAX gapped lower at the open. However the benchmark failed to extend its downside direction. Buyers filled the gap post European open. The index continued trading in a familiar range afterwards. The price stayed around the 50-EMA in the 4 hours timeframe. The 100 and the 200 EMAs pointed higher while the 50-EMA was neutral in the mentioned chart. The resistance exists at 12000, the support stands at 11900.

MACD indicator was at the centerline. If the histogram enters the negative territory, that will indicate sellers’ growing strength. If MACD returns into the positive area the buyers will take control over the market. RSI consolidated within neutral territory.

Trading recommendations

The index now has the potential to post more gains. The main goal is the level at 12000. However, DAX needs to retake 11950 first.

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NASDAQ

General overview

Wall Street traded flat in pre-market ahead of the ECB meeting and Non-Farm payroll report on Friday.

Current situation

NASDAQ remained flat on Thursday hovering above 5340 in the 5360 region. According to 4 hours chart the price broke the 50-EMA upwards. The moving averages maintained their bullish slope in the same chart. The resistance is at 5380, the support comes in at 5340.

MACD indicator was at the centerline. If the histogram enters the positive territory, that will indicate buyers’ growing strength. If MACD returns into the negative area the sellers will take control over the market. RSI remained within neutral territory.

Trading recommendations

An uptrend will start as soon, as the price rises above the resistance level 5380.

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*Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

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TradeFort
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"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

15.03.2017

Euro

General overview

Consumer Price Index in Germany came in a line with forecasts. However, despite positive inflation data in Germany and other EU countries the ECB is unlikely to change its policy in the nearest future.

Current situation

The night recovery stalled above 1.0650. Sellers regained control in the morning. The major weakened and broke the level post London open. The pair extended its weakness afterwards heading towards 1.0630. According to 4 hours chart the price tested the 200-EMA. The 50-EMA crossed the 100-EMA upwards. The 50-EMA kept pointed higher while the 100-EMA and the 200-EMA were neutral in the same timeframe. The resistance is at 1.0650, the support comes in at 1.0600.

MACD traded to the downside. RSI advanced south which confirms the current downward movement.

Trading recommendations

If the bearish tone persists we expect a breakout of the level 1.0600.

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Pound

General overview

The pound weakened after the Parliament decision to allow the UK PM Theresa May to trigger article 50. Some analytics expect Theresa May will officially announce about leaving the union on Wednesday during the Prime Minister question time in the House of Commons. Others believe she will wait for the EU Summit later this month.

Current situation

The GBPUSD opened in red on Tuesday. The pound started the day above 1.2200. Sellers returned the price to the level in the Asian session. A bout of fresh bearishness emerged in the morning. The spot broke the level and sharply dropped to 1.2100. Sellers failed to break the level at once and pulled back to gather some steam. The price broke the 50-EMA downwards and continued developing well below the moving averages in the 4 hours chart. The moving averages maintained their bearish slope in the mentioned timeframe. The resistance lies at 1.2200, the support comes in at 1.2100.

The MACD histogram decreased which is a sell signal. RSI advanced south which confirms the current downward movement.

Trading recommendations

The technical picture will remain bearish in the nearest time. A daily close below 1.2100 would risk 1.2000.

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Yen

Current situation

The USDJPY opened bullish on Tuesday. The pair started the day at 114.70. Buyers pushed the price upwards in the night. The price broke the hurdle post European open. However, the major failed to extend its bullishness afterwards. The 115.00 level appeared to be well protected by sellers. The US dollar found fresh offers around 115.00 and dropped to 114.80 ahead of NY opening. The price was above the moving averages which were all pointing higher in the 4 hours timeframe. The resistance is highlighted at 115.00, the support comes in at 114.00.

The histogram grew which is a buy signal. The RSI oscillator moved upwards.

Trading recommendations

The overall outlook remains bullish, for a rise towards 116.00 resistance area.

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AUD/USD

General overview

The Aussie softened on Tuesday following National Australia Bank's Business Confidence survey. The survey disappointed investors and weighed on the national currency despite upbeat Chinese Industrial Production.

Current situation


Sellers continued to dominate on Tuesday. Bears pushed the AUD lower in the night. The currency pair touched 0.7550 post Asian open. The pair failed to retake the level in the Asian session and had to retreat. Sellers had another chance in the morning. They pushed the price lower and pierced the level in the early European trades. Sellers failed to break the level again and stayed around it till the NY opening. The spot remained under pressure due to the bid sentiment around the dollar during the NY session. The resistance is highlighted 0.7600, the support comes in at 0.7550.

MACD indicator was at the centerline. If the histogram enters the positive territory, that will indicate buyers’ growing strength. If MACD returns into the negative area the sellers will take control over the market. RSI remained within neutral territory.

Trading recommendations

A close below 0.7550 will trigger losses towards 0.7500.

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XAU/USD

Current situation

Gold prices were neutral on Tuesday flirting with the 1200 handle in the early trades. The yellow metal was moving back and forth in a tight range between 1205 and 1200 the first part of the day. A fresh buying interest emerged in the late European session. The spot pushed away from 1200 and rallied towards 1205. The price was below the moving averages in the 4 hours timeframe. The 50 and 100 EMAs pointed lower while the 200-EMA was neutral in the mentioned chart. The resistance is highlighted 1210, the support comes in at 1200 dollars per ounce.

MACD grew which indicates the sellers’ positions weakening. The RSI indicator was holding near oversold levels.

Trading recommendations

After breaking 1205 the level 1210 will come back to the radar.

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Brent

Current situation

Brent oil prices tried to develop a correction on Tuesday. Buyers managed to lead the price to 51.50 over the night. The benchmark broke the level in the European session. However, oil prices failed to maintain their ask tone and turned bearish right after the level break. As the result the benchmark dropped to 50.50 dollars per barrel. According to 4 hours chart the benchmark continued developing well below the moving averages. The 50, 100 and 200 EMAs maintained their bearish slope. The resistance lies at 51.50, the support comes in at 50.50 dollars per barrel.

MACD grew which indicates the sellers’ positions weakening. The oscillator RSI remained within the oversold territory.

Trading recommendations

If the benchmark manages to stay around 50.50 the next target for the price is the support level of 49.50 dollars per barrel.

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DAX

General overview


European stocks moved lower on Tuesday amid the uncertainty around the Presidential elections in Netherlands. The upcoming Fed decision over the rate hike weighed on stocks as well.

Current situation


DAX turned bearish at open. The price pushed away from 12000 and edged lower towards 11900 in the late European session. The 4 hours chart showed that the price returned below the 50-EMA. The moving averages pointed higher in the mentioned timeframe. The resistance exists at 12000, the support stands at 11900.

MACD indicator was at the centerline. If the histogram enters the negative territory, that will indicate sellers’ growing strength. If MACD returns into the positive area the buyers will take control over
the market. RSI advanced south which confirms the current downward movement.

Trading recommendations

If the price succeeds and fixes below the level of 12000, the market may fall towards 11900 and 11850.

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S&P500

General overview


Wall Street edged lower on Tuesday in the light of the FOMC two-day policy meeting.

Current situation

S&P500 was neutral during the night and morning trades. The benchmark was trading in a tight range of 30 pips around 2370. The index sharply dropped in the late European session and reached 2360. The price was sandwiched between the 50 and 100 EMAs in the 4 hours timeframe. The 50-EMA turned downwards while the 100 and 200 EMA maintained their bullish slope in the same chart. The resistance is at 2380, the support comes in at 2360.

MACD indicator was at the centerline. If the histogram enters the positive territory, that will indicate buyers’ growing strength. If MACD returns into the negative area the sellers will take control over the market. RSI remained within neutral territory.

Trading recommendations

A clear break below 2360 would indicate that the bearish phase has resumed.

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*Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

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TradeFort
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"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

16.03.2017

Euro

General overview

The euro weakened on Wednesday as investors the focus moved from the ECB and his plans to cut the QE program towards the election in Netherlands.

Current situation

Sellers found an obstacle at 1.0600. Buyers seem to have protected the level with fresh bids. The euro bounced off the support level in the Asian session. The rebound was still in force during the European hours. Buyers lifted the price to 1.0640 where the upward impetus slowed down. The 4 hours chart showed that the major broke the 200-EMA downwards and bounced off the 50-EMA afterwards. The 200 and 100 EMAs pointed lower while the 50-EMA moved upwards in the same timeframe. The resistance is at 1.0650, the support comes in at 1.0600.

MACD decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. RSI remained within neutral territory.

Trading recommendations

We see two scenarios for today. Should the Fed hike the rate the market may start a new decline. Sellers will lead the single European currency to 1.0550 in this case. A break above the level 1.0650 my trigger another leg higher towards 1.0700.

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Pound

General overview

Sellers seemed to have been exhausted and allowed a brief phase of upside consolidation in GBP/USD. The pound found strength to recover after a long period of weakness amid ‘Hard Brexit’ concerns. The upbeat Unemployment Rate supported the national currency. However, the recovery was limited as the Average Earnings came in below expectations.

Current situation

The bullish views were popular the first part of the day. The pound was in the green zone the night and the morning. The price bounced from 1.2150 in the Asian session and rallied towards 1.2200. The spot pierced the level in the European morning but failed to regain the hurdle. Sellers regained control and returned the Cable to 1.2200. According to 4 hours chart the price tested the 50-EMA in the noon. The moving averages kept heading lower in the same chart. The resistance lies at 1.2300, the support comes in at 1.2200.

MACD grew which indicates the sellers’ positions weakening. The RSI oscillator moved upwards.

Trading recommendations

A sustained break above the 1.2300 region is seen as minimum requirement needed to confirm bullish resumption. Should sellers remain in a driver’s seat the GBP/USD will likely target the 1.2100 support level.

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Yen

General overview

The USD/JPY pair consolidated on Wednesday as investors awaited the outcome of FOMC meeting. Traders expected 25 bp rate hike. Traders also looked forward to the BoJ meeting results and its decision regarding the rate. However, no one expected any surprise from this part.

Current situation

The overnight’s recovery attempt stalled just under the 115.00 barrier. Buyers’ inability to move higher returned control over the market to sellers. As a result the US dollar eased and erased all its recent gains in the European session. However, the overall picture remained unchanged. The USD/JPY pair was in a flat between 115.00 and 114.50. The spot continued developing above the moving averages in the 4 hours timeframe. The 50 and 100 EMAs pointed higher while the 200-EMA was neutral in the same timeframe. The resistance is highlighted at 115.00, the support comes in at 114.00.

MACD decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. RSI remained within neutral territory.

Trading recommendations

Markets eagerly awaited the Fed meeting results due later in the American morning. If the regulator changes the rates the US dollar will revive with its bullishness sending the market upwards. A close above 115.00 will generate fresh bullish signal for further advance, which could extend to the 116.00 mark. On the other hand, unchanged rates will disappoint investors who may push the greenback to 113.00.

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NZD/USD

General overview

Current Account data supported the NZD on Wednesday. Besides, the US dollar retracement ahead of the Fed rate announcement gave additional upward impetus to the kiwi.

Current situation


The NZD/USD pair traded in a sideways on Wednesday morning. The price has been moving back and forth between the channel bands since last week. The currency pair remained sandwiched between 0.6950 and 0.6900 during the day. The major bounced off the lower limit of the band in the Asian session and moved higher during the course of the night trades. The spot remained below the moving averages which were all pointing lower in the mentioned chart. The resistance is highlighted 0.6950, the support comes in at 0.6900.

MACD formed a signal to rise. The RSI oscillator consolidated within neutral territory.

Trading recommendations

The immediate focus now remains on the Fed rate decision. In order to recover some strength, NZD/USD needs to rise back and hold above 0.6950. Conversely, a clear break below 0.6900 would indicate that the bearish phase has resumed.

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XAU/USD


General overview

The yellow metal received a minor support from a weaker US dollar on Wednesday.

Current situation

The night recovery stalled around 1205 dollars per ounce. After reaching the mentioned mark gold futures turned around and slightly eased in the morning. The metal weakened more during the European hours and touched 1200 ahead of the NY opening. According to 4 hours chart the price continued developing well below the moving averages. The 50 and 100 EMAs maintained their bearish slope while the 200-EMA was neutral in the same chart. The resistance is highlighted 1210, the support comes in at 1200 dollars per ounce.

MACD grew which indicates the sellers’ positions weakening. RSI was neutral.

Trading recommendations

If bulls retain control the price may recover above the 1210 area. The 1200 level loss is needed daily bears for extension towards next strong support at 1190 dollars per ounce.

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Brent

General Overview

The unexpected draw in the US oil stocks saved buyers from further losses. OPEC compliance with agreed production cuts supported crude oil as well.

Current situation

Brent oil prices were calm on Wednesday after Tuesday’s rally. The price stayed in a tight range between 51.50 and 51.70 the first part of the day. The benchmark remained below the moving averages which were all pointing lower in the 4 hours timeframe. The resistance lies at 52.50, the support comes in at 51.50 dollars per barrel.

MACD grew which indicates the sellers’ positions weakening. RSI consolidated within neutral territory.

Trading recommendations

We cannot rule out the chance that the price would not try to get to the level at 52.50. A move below 51.50 would revive bearishness towards 50.50 dollars per barrel.

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DAX

General overview

European stocks were neutral on Wednesday as traders preferred wait-and-see mode ahead of the Fed meeting.

Current situation

DAX opened on a positive note. Buyers tried to break above 12000 but failed. A fresh selling interest returned the index below the level to the opening prices. The price bounced off the 50-EMA upwards in the 4 hours chart. The 50, 100 and 200 EMAs kept heading higher in the same timeframe. The resistance exists at 12100, the support stands at 12000.

MACD indicator was at the centerline. If the histogram enters the negative territory, that will indicate sellers’ growing strength. If MACD returns into the positive area the buyers will take control over the market. The RSI oscillator moved upwards.

Trading recommendations

Should buyers break above the current resistance our profit target will become 12100.

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NASDAQ

General overview

The US futures opened in the green as traders were positive about the Fed decision regarding the rates.

Current situation

NASDAQ managed to reverse its recent losses in the night and grew to 5395 where an upward momentum lost its strength. The index slightly softened during the European hours. The price tested the 50-EMA and bounced of upwards in the 4 hours timeframe. The moving averages kept heading higher in the mentioned chart. The resistance is at 5420, the support comes in at 5380.

The MACD histogram grew which is a buy signal. The RSI indicator was near overvalued territory, favoring a new move higher.

Trading recommendations

We maintain our positive outlook. The main goal remains the level 5420.

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*Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

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TradeFort
  • Posts: 793
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"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

20.03.2017

Euro

General overview

Trade Balance in Italy in the Euroland came in negative on Friday. Meanwhile, the sentiment around the US dollar continued to play a major driver across the markets. The greenback remained around its lows after less hawkish than expected Yellen's remarks.

Current situation

The euro spiked on Thursday in the late NY session. Buyers pushed the price upwards and broke 1.0750 in the night. Bulls advanced up to 1.0770 later the night where they stopped. The spot spent the night and the morning in a tight range hovering above 1.0750. The neutral stance remained unchanged during the day trades. The 4 hours chart showed that the price continued developing well above the moving averages. The 50-EMA crossed the 200-EMA upwards. The 50 and 100 EMAs kept heading higher while the 200-EMA was neutral in the mentioned timeframe. The resistance is at 1.0800, the support comes in at 1.0750.

The MACD histogram grew which is a buy signal. RSI consolidated within positive territory.

Trading recommendations


The overall outlook remains bullish, for rise towards 1.0800 resistance area. However, we do not exclude a recovery pull back to 1.0720-1.0700.

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Pound

Current situation

The upside bias persisted on Friday. Buyers took a pause in the night. The night correction was just a profit taking action from buyers who loosened their grip for a while. Bulls returned in the morning and pushed the major to the 1.2400 level which stopped their advance. The price crossed the 100-EMA upwards and stayed below the 200-EMA in the 4 hours chart. The 100 and 200 EMAs maintained their bearish slope while the 50-EMA turned upwards in the mentioned chart. The resistance lies at 1.2400, the support comes in at 1.2300.

The MACD histogram grew which is a buy signal. RSI consolidated within positive territory.

Trading recommendations

If the currency pair manages to make a breakout of the 1.2400 level the next target for this spot is the resistance level of 1.2500. However, in view of the overbought conditions a move above 1.2400 seems unlikely. In this potential scenario the GBP/USD pair may return to 1.2300.

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Yen

Current situation

The US dollar struggled to build on overnight recovery. Buyers tried hard to push the price higher but failed. The pair remained in a consolidation hovering above 113.00. Selling interest emerged in the morning. Traders pushed the price lower and erased all buyers' night gains. The major tested the 200-EMA in the 4 hours timeframe. The 100 and 200 EMAs were neutral while the 50-EMA pointed lower in the same chart. The resistance is highlighted at 114.00, the support comes in at 113.00.

MACD remained at the same level which confirms the strength of sellers. The RSI indicator remained within oversold readings.

Trading recommendations

The USD/JPY pair may face further downside pressure in the short-term. When we break the level 113.00 the support 112.00 may come back into play.

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AUD/USD

General overview

The Australian calendar was empty on Friday. Investors eagerly await for RBA minutes on Tuesday.

Current situation

The offered tone around the US dollar helped the AUD to strengthen. Buyers met a barrier at 0.7700 and had to give up their gains. The major bounced off and stopped above 0.7660. A bout of fresh buying pressure emerged in the Asian session on Friday. Buyers returned the AUD/USD pair to 0.7700 erasing all recent losses. According to 4 hours chart the price continued developing well above the moving averages. The 50 and 200 EMAs pointed higher while the 100-EMA was neutral in the same timeframe. The resistance is highlighted 0.7700, the support comes in at 0.7650.

MACD remained at the same level which confirms the strength of buyers. The RSI indicator is near overvalued territory, favoring a new move lower.

Trading recommendations

Once we break above the 0.7700 level, we think that the 0.7750 level will be next. Inability to post fresh gains may lead to some profit taking. The Aussie may weaken to 0.7600-0.7620.

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XAU/USD

General overview

Gold prices remained in the green. The precious metal is in demand in the light of political risks such as Trump’s presidency, Brexit and elections in Europe.

Current situation

Gold prices were neutral staying in a flat on Friday. After the recent rally buyers preferred to consolidate their gains. The 4 hours chart showed that the price was trading around the 100 and 200 EMAs. The 100-EMA crossed the 200-EMA downwards. The 50 and 100 EMAs were neutral while the 200-EMA kept pointed higher in the same chart. The resistance is highlighted 1230, the support comes in at 1220 dollars per ounce.

The MACD histogram grew which indicates buyers’ strength. RSI consolidated within positive territory.

Trading recommendations

We still hold the view that gold prices will struggle to climb north to 1230 dollars per ounce.

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Brent

General Overview

Oil prices were stable ahead of rig count number report on Friday.

Current situation

After a sharp less-off on Thursday Brent was trying to build a recovery on Friday. The price spent the night around 51.50 and pushed away from the handle in the European morning. Buyers kept pushing the benchmark upwards during the morning and reached 52.00 in the noon. The price continued developing well below the moving averages which were all pointing lower in the 4 hours chart. The resistance lies at 52.50, the support comes in at 51.50 dollars per barrel.

MACD remained at the same level which confirms the strength of sellers. The RSI oscillator moved downwards.

Trading recommendations

A move above 52.50 dollars per barrel would indicate that immediate downward pressure eased. Should Brent oil prices recover ground and advance beyond the mentioned 52.50 level, the rally can extend in the short term up to 53.50.

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DAX

General overview

European stocks traded mixed on Friday as investors were focused on G-20 meeting. Meanwhile, the financial stocks while mining sector was on the downside.

Current situation

DAX gapped lower at the open. The index maintained its ask tone a few hours after the gap. DAX almost reached 12000 when the benchmark reversed its direction. The index rallied and reached 12100 in the late European session. The price was above the moving averages in the 4 hours chart. The 100 and 200 EMAs kept heading higher while the 50-EMA was neutral in the mentioned timeframe. The resistance exists at 12100, the support stands at 12000.

MACD decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. RSI rebounded from the overbought readings.

Trading recommendations

The index now has the potential to post more gains. Our profit targets will be 12100 and 12200.

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NASDAQ

Current situation

NASDAQ opened on a positive note on Friday. The buyers managed to lead the price from 5420 to 5440 where the upward impetus lost strength. The benchmark eased a bit and returned to 5420 ahead of the NY session opening. According to 4 hours chart the price continued developing well above the moving averages which were all pointing higher. The resistance is at 5460, the support comes in at 5420.

The MACD histogram grew which is a buy signal. The RSI oscillator moved downwards.

Trading recommendations

Bulls keep focus at the resistance level of 5460.

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*Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

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TradeFort
  • Posts: 793
  • Joined: 14/05/2014
"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

21.03.2017

Euro

General overview

The euro ignored positive Producer Price Index in Germany. The single currency weakened amid the US dollar recovery on Monday. The market is focused on the Presidential debates in France. Weidmann's speech (German Bundesbank President) will attract investors’ attention as well.

Current situation

The EUR/USD remained in bulls' hands on Monday. Buyers broke the level 1.0750 in the night and stopped after reaching 1.0777. The majors stayed neutral to negative flirting with 1.0750 during the European hours. The euro slightly weakened ahead of NY opening. The price was above the moving averages in the 4 hours timeframe. The 50 and 100 EMAs kept heading higher while the 200-EMA was neutral in the same chart. The resistance is at 1.0800, the support comes in at 1.0750.

MACD remained at the same level which confirms the strength of buyers. RSI oscillator stayed near overbought levels, favoring a move lower.

Trading recommendations

The EUR/USD pair stays in a short-term upward channel. Buyers pushed the price to its upper limit the other day. In view of the overbought conditions a move towards the lower limit at 1.0700 is a possible scenario now.

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Pound

General overview

The pound took advantage of a broad based US dollar weakness and extended its winning steak on Monday. Investors waited for Haldane’s speech later the day on Monday and UK’s Consumer Price Index on Tuesday hoping to get some fresh drivers.

Current situation


The GBP/USD pair maintained its bid tone on Monday. Buyers pushed the price higher in the night session and hit fresh monthly highs above 1.2400. The major gave up its fresh gains in the noon. The currency pair weakened and returned below 1.2400 ahead of the NY opening. The pair bounced off the 200-EMA upwards in the 4 hours chart. The 100 and 200 EMAs maintained their bearish slope while the 50-EMA pointed higher in the mentioned timeframe. The resistance lies at 1.2400, the support comes in at 1.2300.

The MACD indicator continued consolidating within overbought levels. RSI consolidated within positive territory.

Trading recommendations

The overall picture is bullish. However, the major is overbought. As the most probable scenario, we consider a move downwards towards 1.2350. The spot will continue moving higher if the cable remains above 1.2400.

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Yen

General overview

Japanese markets were closed amid a public holiday - Vernal Equinox Day.

Current situation

The pair preserved its undertone on Monday. The currency pair remained in a downward channel. The spot found some support close to its lower limit in the Asian session. The pair bounced off 112.50 and reversed some losses in the morning. The major maintained its bid tone afterwards and approached 113.00 ahead of the NA opening. According to 4 hours chart the price continued developing well below the moving averages. The 50-EMA kept heading lower while the 100 and 200 EMAs were neutral in the same timeframe. The resistance is highlighted at 113.00, the support comes in at 112.00.

MACD grew which indicates the sellers’ positions weakening. The RSI indicator held within oversold readings, and headed now north.

Trading recommendations

In order to recover some strength, USD/JPY needs to rise back and hold above 113.00. However, we see little potential for a USD/JPY rally and expect a fresh selling pressure in the short term.

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NZD/USD

General overview

The NZD/USD pair extended its gains on Monday following Westpac consumer survey. Even though the index came in a bit lower than expected investors remained positive.

Current situation

The kiwi opened on a stronger note on Monday. The price was growing the whole night and pierced the level 0.7050 in the morning. However, a further upside appeared to lack momentum. The major reversed its direction and returned below 0.7050 in the noon. The NZD extended its weakness afterwards advancing towards 0.7000. The 4 hours chart showed that the NZD/USD pair broke the 100-EMA upwards. The 100 and 200 EMAs kept heading lower while the 50-EMA turned neutral in the same timeframe. The resistance is highlighted 0.7050, the support comes in at 0.7000.

The MACD histogram grew which indicates buyers’ strength. The RSI indicator lost upward strength and moved downwards.

Trading recommendations

A move below 0.7000 would revive bearishness towards 0.6950.

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XAU/USD

General overview

Gold prices remained strong vs. the US dollar after less hawkish than expected Yellen’s remarks. Trump’s speech came in the first place on Monday afternoon.

Current situation

Gold prices remained in the green zone on Monday. Bulls broke 1230 in the Asian session and climbed to 1235 where they lost steam in the European morning. The pair hovered above the level till the NY session opening. According to 4 hours chart the spot bounced off the 100 and 200-EMAs upwards. The 100-EMA crossed the 200-EMA downwards. The 50 and 200 EMAs pointed higher while the 100-EMA turned downwards in the same chart. The resistance is highlighted 1240, the support comes in at 1230 dollars per ounce.

The MACD indicator continued consolidating within overbought levels. The RSI indicator remained within positive territory.

Trading recommendations

A pullback or consolidation is expected in the market in the near term. Below 1230, XAU/USD will likely target 1220 support.

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Brent

General Overview

A growing US drilling activity kept on weighing on oil prices. The growing activity reduces impact of the OPEC and non-OPEC countries agreement to cut production.

Current situation

Brent oil prices gapped downwards at the daily open. The price jumped from 51.58 to 51.50 dollars per barrel. Brent remained neutral the whole night staying around the tested handle. Black gold extended its weakness in the European session when sellers pushed the price to 51.00. The benchmark was below the moving averages which were all pointing lower in the 4 hours chart. The resistance lies at 51.50, the support comes in at 50.50 dollars per barrel.

The MACD histogram decreased which is a sell signal. RSI remained within neutral territory.

Trading recommendations

Brent may continue to trade in negative ground in the short-term. A breakout of 50.50 would aim sellers for 49.50 dollars per barrel.

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DAX

General overview

European stocks moved lower on Monday following oil prices decline and downbeat data from banking stocks.

Current situation

DAX opened lower on Monday. The price pushed away from 12100 at the open and posted a session low at 12030. The downward momentum faded right after that, bulls regained control and erased all bears' gains. The benchmark returned to the opening prices in the noon on Monday. The 4 hours chart showed that DAX remained above the moving averages which were all pointing higher. The resistance exists at 12100, the support stands at 12000.

MACD was at the same level which confirms the strength of buyers. RSI oscillator stayed near overbought levels, favoring a new move higher.

Trading recommendations

DAX is still in an upward channel. The upward trend line is around 12000. A break below the handle will soften an upward pressure. Sellers may reach 11900 in this case. A rebound here will return bullishness in its place. Buyers might want to reverse losses pushing the price to 12200.

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S&P500

Current situation

Bears had a ball on Monday. The offered tone around S&P500 pushed the index lower. Traders moved away from 2380 and reached 2370 in the night. After reaching 2370 the index stopped and spent European trades in a narrow range around the mentioned mark. The price stayed around the 50 and 100 EMAs in the 4 hours timeframe. 50-EMA crossed the 100-EMA downwards. 50, 100 and 200 EMAs maintained their bullish slope in the mentioned chart. The resistance is at 2380, the support comes in at 2360.

MACD decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. RSI remained within neutral territory.

Trading recommendations

We await a break below 2370 to trigger another leg lower towards 2360.

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*Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

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TradeFort
  • Posts: 793
  • Joined: 14/05/2014
"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

22.03.2017

Euro

General overview

The euro strengthened on Tuesday as tensions around the French election calmed down.

Current situation

The growing selling pressure around the US dollar allowed the euro to extend its gains. Buyers reversed their recent losses in the night and managed to break above 1.0750. Bulls kept pushing the price higher afterwards and reached 1.0800 in the European morning. The level did not stop the upward momentum and the single European currency extended its bullishness till the NY session opening. The 4 hours chart showed that the major continued developing well above the moving averages. The 50 and 100 EMAs maintained their bullish slope while the 200-EMA stayed neutral. The 100-EMA tested the 200-EMA in the same chart. The resistance is at 1.0800, the support comes in at 1.0750.

The MACD histogram grew which is a buy signal. The RSI indicator was near overvalued territory, favoring a new move higher.

Trading recommendations

We believe that this is essentially a “buy only” market at the moment. A sharp breakout above 1.0800 could spark a further incline towards 1.0850.

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Pound

General overview

The pound grew when UK February CPI jumped beyond expectations. Mark Carney’s speech was in focus on Tuesday as well.

Current situation

After a directionless stance during the Asian session the pound became active in the morning. The price spiked in the European morning. Buyers broke 1.2400 and advanced further afterwards. The upward momentum lost steam a few pips below 1.2500. The major crossed the 200-EMA upwards in the 4 hours timeframe. The 100 and 200 EMAs kept heading lower while the 50-EMA maintained its bullish slope in the mentioned chart. The resistance lies at 1.2400, the support comes in at 1.2300.

MACD decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. The RSI oscillator moved upwards.

Trading recommendations

A further extension to 1.2500 is not ruled out. If buyers gather enough steam they can reach 1.2550 in the coming days.

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Yen

Current situation

The US dollar managed to recover some ground during the night session on Tuesday. However, the recovery was short-lived, a selling pressure around the greenback emerged in the morning and returned the major to a downside. The spot edged lower and erased all its night gains during the European session. The pair reached opening prices ahead of the NY opening. The major continued developing well below the moving averages in the 4 hours chart. The 100 and 200 EMAs were neutral while the 50-EMA kept heading lower in the same chart. The resistance is highlighted at 113.00, the support comes in at 112.00.

MACD declined which indicates the sellers’ positions strength. RSI returned to the oversold readings.

Trading recommendations

In the 4 hours chart, the technical picture favors a downward extension. The nearest target remains the support level 112.00.

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USD/CAD

General overview

The Canadian dollar strengthened ahead of Canadian Retail Sales report. Moreover, the overall US dollar weakness supported the major. Meanwhile, traders are looking forwards to Fed representative speeches on Thursday.

Current situation

The USD/CAD left its consolidation phase and edged lower on Tuesday. Sellers broke 1.3330 in the morning and continued pushing the spot lower afterwards. The major preserved its ask tone in the second part of the day. According to 4 hours chart the price was below the 100-EMA. The 100 and 200 EMAs kept pointed higher while the 50-EMA maintained its bearish slope in the same timeframe. The resistance is highlighted 1.3330, the support comes in at 1.3260.

MACD declined which indicates the sellers’ positions strengthening. RSI headed south.

Trading recommendations

A firm break below 1.3330 handle could trigger fresh weakness for attack at 1.3260.

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XAU/USD

General overview

Gold remained bullish on Tuesday amid a broad based US dollar weakness. The precious metal received support from the uncertainty around French elections.

Current situation

Gold retained a neutral, short-term undertone on Tuesday. The precious metal was sandwiched between 1228 and 1235 during the night and day trades. The metal reversed some Monday's losses during the Asian hours. However, bulls just had enough strength to break 1230. The spot stayed around the level afterwards. The XAU/USD pair bounced off 200-EMA upwards in the 4 hours timeframe. The 100-EMA crossed the 200-EMA downwards. The 50-EMA and the 200-EMA pointed higher while the 100-EMA kept heading lower in the mentioned chart. The resistance is highlighted 1230, the support comes in at 1220 dollars per ounce.

MACD decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. RSI oscillator stayed near overbought levels, favoring a new move higher.

Trading recommendations

Should the gold recover ground and advance beyond the 1230 level, the rally can extend in the short term up to 1240 first.

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Brent

General Overview

Oil prices remained positive on the news that OPEC may extend its supply cut. Investors waited for U.S. crude stocks figures late in the session to get fresh guidelines.

Current situation

Monday’s recovery stalled at 51.80 dollars per barrel in the night. Brent oil futures remained rather unchanged during the night trades. The European morning brought some buying interest. The benchmark left the Asian flat and climbed to 52.25 where the upward impetus lost its momentum. According to 4 hours chart black gold tested the 50-EMA upwards. The moving averages kept heading lower in the same timeframe. The resistance lies at 52.50, the support comes in at 51.50 dollars per barrel.

MACD grew which indicates the sellers’ positions weakening. RSI remained within neutral territory.

Trading recommendations

Buyers do not have enough strength to move Brent higher. Failure to hold above the 51.50 mark risks a slide to the support level of 50.50 dollars per barrel.

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DAX

General overview

DAX remained positive on Tuesday following the growth of financial and Oil & Gas sectors.

Current situation

DAX remained flat on Tuesday. The index was confined to a well limited range between 12100 and 12050. The benchmark gapped higher at the open, however, the upward trajectory stalled at the upper limit of the range. The price pulled back afterwards but remained around 12100. The index continued developing well above its moving averages in the 4 hours timeframe. The 50, 100 and 200 EMAs maintained their bullish slope in the mentioned chart. The resistance exists at 12100, the support stands at 12000.

MACD decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. RSI remained within neutral territory.

Trading recommendations

If the price succeeds and fixes below the level of 12000, the market may start a new descending correction towards 11900 area. If the level stands DAX will aim at 12200.

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NASDAQ

General overview

Wall Street maintained its positive mode on Tuesday awaiting for Fed speakers late in the American session.

Current situation

NASDAQ remained around its fresh highs on Tuesday. The index reversed its recent losses in the Asian session. Traders broke the 5420 level in the night and hovered above the handle in the morning and the first part of the day. According to 4 hours chart the benchmark remained above the moving averages which were all pointing higher. The resistance is at 5460, the support comes in at 5420.

The MACD histogram grew which indicates buyers’ strength. RSI oscillator stayed near overbought levels.

Trading recommendations

We expect a limited pull back to 5380 where the upward trend line lies. If the support level of 5420 breaks, the index may fall further that should send this market looking for the 5380 level. If the line stands the index will refresh its highs testing 5460.

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*Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

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TradeFort
  • Posts: 793
  • Joined: 14/05/2014

"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

24.03.2017

Euro

General overview

Consumer Confidence Survey in Germany came in below expectations weighing on the euro. The US dollar weakened as well ahead of Trumpcare bill vote scheduled later in the NA session. Besides, traders waited for J.Yellen’s speech alongside with other Fed officials. Investors hoped to get fresh hints regarding the next Fed rate hike action.

Current situation

The EUR/USD remained unchanged on Thursday morning. The spot remained in an upward channel approaching its lower limit. The euro bounced from 1.0800 and headed lower in the European morning. The 4 hours chart showed that the spot continued developing well above the moving averages. The 50 and 100 EMAs kept heading higher while the 200-EMA remained neutral in the mentioned timeframe. The resistance is at 1.0800, the support comes in at 1.0750.

MACD decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. RSI was neutral.

Trading recommendations

The ongoing pull back could be attributed to some profit taking from bulls. The euro may decline to 1.0750 where the upward trend line lies. The line may reject the major upwards. If bulls retain control the 1.0800 and 1.0850 levels could become an attractive price for investors.

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Pound

General overview

The pound strengthened on Thursday in the light of a strong Retail Sales report.

Current situation

The pound extended its gains on Thursday. Traders held the cable around 1.2500 the whole night flirting with the level. Bulls made another attempt to break through post London open. This attempt like the previous ones was unsuccessful. The price continued developing well above the moving averages in the 4 hours chart. The 50 and 100 EMAs pointed higher while the 200-EMA was neutral in the same chart. The resistance lies at 1.2500, the support comes in at 1.2400.

MACD remained at the same level which confirms the strength of buyers. RSI oscillator stayed near overbought levels.

Trading recommendations

If the cable manages to consolidate above the 1.2500 mark the next target for this pair is the resistance level of 1.2600.

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Yen

General overview

The US dollar weakened vs. the yen amid growing uncertainty over Trump's ability to deliver his Health Care promises.

Current situation

The Wednesday’s recovery stalled at 111.60. After posting the session high the major reversed its direction. Sellers regained control and pushed the US dollar lower in the night. The major was declining the whole night and the morning reaching 111.00 in the mid-European session. According to 4 hours chart the pair USD/JPY continued developing well below the moving averages. The 50-EMA crossed the 100 and 200 EMAs downwards. The moving averages pointed lower in the mentioned chart. The resistance is highlighted at 112.00, the support comes in at 111.00.

MACD declined which indicates the sellers’ positions strength. The RSI oscillator moved downwards.

Trading recommendations

USD/JPY is having difficulties to go higher. We still hold the view that the pair will likely to extend its losses. A downtrend will be continued as soon, as the USD/JPY pair drops below the support level 111.00.

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NZD/USD

General overview

The kiwi stayed unchanged after the RBNZ left its rates unchanged at a record low of 1.75%.

Current situation

The NZD/USD pair remained in a narrow sideways channel on Thursday. The price stayed between 0.7050 and 0.7025 going up and down between levels. The 4 hours chart showed that the spot stayed above the 100 and 50 EMAs and remained below the 200-EMA. 50-EMA crossed the 100-EMA upwards. The 100 and 200 EMAs maintained their bearish slope while the 50-EMA kept heading higher. The resistance is highlighted 0.7050, the support comes in at 0.7000.

MACD slightly decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. RSI remained within neutral territory.

Trading recommendations

We cannot rule out the chance that the pair would try to get to the level at 0.7100 in the nearest future.

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XAU/USD

General overview

Gold prices retreated from three week high awaiting for vote on the American Health Care Act in the US Congress.

Current situation

Buyers attempt to reclaim 1250 dollars per ounce on Wednesday failed. The price just touched the level and immediately pulled back. The precious metal reached the 1245 in the night and stayed around the mark the first part of the day. According to 4 hours chart the gold price continued developing well above the moving averages. The 50-EMA crossed the 100-EMA upwards. The 50 and 200 EMAs maintained their bullish slope while the 100-EMA kept heading lower in the mentioned chart. The resistance is highlighted 1250, the support comes in at 1240 dollars per ounce.

MACD decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. The RSI indicator was near overvalued territory, favoring a new move higher.

Trading recommendations

All eyes are right now at the support level 1240 dollars per ounce. If buyers failed to break above the current resistance sellers will regain control. If buyers succeed to retake the hurdle out next level to focus on is 1250.

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Brent

General Overview

Oil prices ignored the U.S. inventories growth awaiting for the US oil rig count numbers on Friday.

Current situation

Brent gapped upwards in the early Asians session and jumped to 51.00 where the benchmark remained the first part of the day. Oil prices stayed below the moving averages which were all pointing lower in the 4 hours chart. The resistance lies at 51.50, the support comes in at 50.50 dollars per barrel.

MACD grew which indicates the sellers’ positions weakening. The RSI indicator lost upward momentum and moved downwards.

Trading recommendations

We believe the bearish momentum will persist. A firm break below 50.50 handle could trigger fresh weakness for attack at 49.50 dollars per barrel.

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DAX

General overview

European stocks carried more cautious trade on Thursday as markets were concerned whether Trump would be able to gather enough support for his healthcare bill.

Current situation

DAX traded flat on Thursday staying in a tight range above 11900. Any buyers' attempt to push the benchmark higher faced selling pressure. The 4 hours chart showed that the index was sandwiched between the 100-EMA and the 200-EMA. The 50 and 100 EMAs pointed lower while the 200-EMA maintained its bullish slope in the same timeframe. The resistance exists at 12000, the support stands at 11900.

MACD remained at the same level which confirms the strength of sellers. RSI headed downwards which confirms the strength of sellers.

Trading recommendations

The level 11900 is an important defense line for buyers. A break below the level will open the way to 11800. If the level stands the DAX index will reverse its recent losses growing to 12000 – 12050.

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NASDAQ

General overview

Wall Street held still ahead of Congress’ vote on Trump’s healthcare bill later the day.

Current situation

The index extended its recovery in the Asian session. Bulls reached 5380 where they lost steam. NASDAQ turned around and started to lose ground in the morning. The benchmark eased a bit in the first part of the day. The price tried to grow above the 100-EMA but failed and returned below it in the 4 hours chart. The 50 and 100 EMA were neutral while the 200-EMA kept heading higher in the same chart. The resistance is at 5380, the support comes in at 5340.

MACD grew which indicates the sellers’ positions weakening. The RSI indicator lost upward strength and moved downwards.

Trading recommendations

In the 4 hours chart, the technical picture favors a downward extension towards the support level of 5340.

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*Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

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TradeFort
  • Posts: 793
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"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

27.03.2017

Euro

General overview

The Euro strengthened amid upbeat Manufacturing and Composite PMIs in Germany, France and Eurozone. The mentioned index in Germany reached the strongest levels in nearly six years. The US dollar weakened following the decline in the treasury yields which became another supportive factor for the single currency.

Current situation

The EUR/USD remained in bulls' hands on Friday. The euro touched the lower limit of the upward channel in the night and bounced upwards. The price spiked from 1.0760 to 1.0800 in the European morning and stayed there till the NY session. According to 4 hours chart the pair EUR/USD continued developing well above the moving averages. The 50 and 100 EMAs maintained their bullish slope while the 200-EMA was neutral in the same timeframe. The resistance is at 1.0800, the support comes in at 1.0750.

The MACD histogram grew which is a buy signal. The RSI oscillator moved upwards.

Trading recommendations

Once we break above the 1.0800 level, we think that the 1.0850 level will be next.

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Pound

General overview

The US dollar recovery in tandem with weak UK' BBA Mortgage Approvals weighed on the pound on Friday.

Current situation

The GBP/USD pair maintained its bullish structure intact on Friday. The spot moved away from the upper limit of the channel during the night and stopped around its lower limit in the European morning. The pair remained unmoved during the day preserving its positions around 1.2500. The 4 hours chart showed that the major remained above the moving averages. The 50 and 100 EMAs pointed higher while the 200-EMA was neutral in the mentioned timeframe. The resistance lies at 1.2500, the support comes in at 1.2400.

MACD decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. RSI oscillator stayed near overbought levels, favoring a new move higher.

Trading recommendations

A move above the level of 1.2500 will favor an advance up to the 1.2600 region.

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Yen

General overview

The yen slightly weakened vs. the US dollar after disappointing Japanese Manufacturing PMI.

Current situation

The night recovery lost legs after touching 111.50. The mark rejected the major which fell to the opening prices at once. The US dollar preserved its negative bias during the day advancing to 111.00. The spot was below the moving averages in the 4 hours chart. The 50 and 100 EMAs kept heading lower while the 200-EMA was neutral in the same chart. The resistance is highlighted at 112.00, the support comes in at 111.00.

MACD declined which indicates the sellers’ positions strengthening. The RSI indicator was holding near oversold levels, favoring a new move lower.

Trading recommendations

We believe the US dollar will maintain its bearish tone in the short-term. A firm break below 111.00 handle would open 110.00.

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USD/CAD

General overview

The Canadian dollar lost its upside momentum suffering the persistent weakness amid weak crude oil prices.

Current situation

The US dollar bounced off 1.3330 and recovered up to 1.3375 where the buying momentum faded. The price turned around in the mid-Asian session and started losing ground afterwards. USD/CAD continued its slide during the European morning and the day. The pair tried to break the 50-EMA upwards but failed and returned below the moving. The 50-EMA kept heading lower, the 100-EMA was neutral while the 200-EMA pointed higher in the mentioned timeframe. The resistance is highlighted 1.3400, the support comes in at 1.3330.

MACD indicator was at the centerline. If the histogram enters the positive territory, that will indicate buyers’ growing strength. If MACD returns into the negative area the sellers will take control over the market. RSI remained within neutral territory.

Trading recommendations


A break below the 1.3330 mark may suggest further weakness to the support level of 1.3260.

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XAU/USD

Current situation

Gold prices remained in a near-term upward channel. The price reached the lower limit of the channel where the spot found some support. The yellow metal bounced off the trend line and reversed the half of its night losses ahead of the NY opening. The 4 hours chart showed that the spot continued developing well above the moving averages. The 50 and 200 EMAs pointed higher while the 100-EMA was neutral in the same timeframe. The resistance is highlighted 1250, the support comes in at 1240 dollars per ounce.

MACD decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. The RSI indicator lost upward strength and moved downwards.

Trading recommendations

If gold prices fail to find strength to recover the spot may turn bearish. A sharp breakout below 1250 could spark a further incline towards 1240 dollars per ounce.

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Brent

General Overview

Oil prices reversed some losses on Friday. However, the benchmark remained under pressure as concerns about global glut still weigh.

Current situation

After a sell-off on Thursday Brent oil prices continued their recovery on Friday. The price pushed away from 50.50 and grew to 51.00 in the mid-European session. According to 4 hours chart the benchmark continued developing well below the moving averages. The 50, 100 and 200 EMAs maintained their bearish slope. The resistance lies at 51.50, the support comes in at 50.50 dollars per barrel.

MACD grew which indicates the sellers’ positions weakening. RSI remained within neutral territory.

Trading recommendations

We still hold the view that oil prices will struggle to climb north towards 51.50 dollars per barrel.

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DAX

General overview

European stocks opened in red on Friday on expectations of a highly-anticipated vote on U.S. President Donald Trump’s healthcare bill.

Current situation

After Thursday’s rally DAX was neutral on Friday. The index returned to the upward channel and was trying hard to reverse further losses during the day. The index broke the 50 and 100 EMAs upwards in the 4 hours chart. The moving averages pointed higher in the mentioned timeframe. The resistance exists at 12100, the support stands at 12000.

MACD grew which indicates the sellers’ positions weakening. RSI oscillator stayed near overbought levels, favoring a new move higher.

Trading recommendations

A failure to hold above the support level of 12000 risks a slide to 11900.

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S&P500

Current situation

S&P500 remained neutral on Friday. The index had been trading sideways around 2340 for three days gathering steam for fresh actions. The price was below the moving averages in the 4 hours timeframe. The 50 and 100 EMAs kept heading lower and the 200-EMA maintained its bullish slope in the same chart. The resistance is at 2360, the support comes in at 2340.

MACD grew which indicates the sellers’ positions weakening. The RSI oscillator moved downwards.

Trading recommendations

If the current weakness persists a further extension towards 2340 and 2320 is not ruled out.

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*Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

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TradeFort
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"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

28.03.2017

Euro

General overview

The upbeat German IFO surveys for March supported the euro on Monday while the US dollar weakened across the board after Donald Trump's defeat with his health-care bill in Congress.

Current situation

The euro extended its vertical rise on Monday. The major gapped upwards at the open and maintained its bid ton afterwards. Buyers were pushing the price upwards the whole night and reached 1.0850 by the morning. The EUR/USD continued growing in the European session as well. The pair EUR/USD stayed well above its moving averages in the 4 hours chart. The 50, 100 and 200 EMAs maintained their bullish slope in the same timeframe. The resistance is at 1.0900, the support comes in at 1.0850.

The MACD histogram grew which indicates buyers’ strength. RSI oscillator stayed near overbought levels, favoring a new move higher.

Trading recommendations

The trend is clearly bullish for now. We believe a further extension to 1.0900 is not ruled out now.

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Pound

General overview

Theresa May visited Scotland to meet the Scottish First Minister. The British PM plans to discuss with her colleague her plans how to reunite the nation ahead of the Brexit.

Current situation

The pound was stronger on Monday. Buyers broke 1.2500 at the daily open. The price was trending upwards the whole night and approached 1.2600 in the European morning. Buyers took a breather after the Asian rally during the European trades allowing a brief phase of consolidation in GBP/USD. According to 4 hours chart the price continued developing well above the moving averages. The 50-EMA crossed the 200-EMA upwards. The moving averages pointed higher in the same chart. The resistance lies at 1.2600, the support comes in at 1.2500.

The MACD histogram grew which is a buy signal. RSI oscillator stayed near overbought levels, favoring a new move higher.

Trading recommendations

The major is likely to regain poise and resume upmove in the coming sessions. All eyes are right now at the resistance level of 1.2600.

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Yen

General overview

The Trump's failure to pass his Healthcare bill through the Congress weighed on the US dollar on Monday. Meanwhile, the yen was supported by fresh strong data.

Current situation

The US dollar opened red on Monday and extended its bearish momentum after that. The spot pushed away from 111.00 in the Asian session and headed towards 110.00. The pair reached the handle post-European open and stayed around the level afterwards. The 4 hours chart showed that the major continued developing well below the moving averages which were all pointing lower. The resistance is highlighted at 111.00, the support comes in at 110.00.

MACD decreased which confirms the strength of sellers. The RSI indicator was holding near oversold levels, favoring a new move lower.

Trading recommendations

We believe the USD/JPY pair will remain under heavy selling pressure in the near-term. A break below 110.00 would open the way for a move to 109.00.

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AUD/USD

Current situation

The AUD/USD pair remained in a flat on Monday. The price stayed in a tight range between 0.7620 - 0.7635 the first part of the day. The spot was sandwiched between the 100 and 200 EMAs in the 4 hours timeframe. The 50 and 100 EMAs kept heading higher while the 200-EMA was neutral in the mentioned chart. The resistance is highlighted 0.7650, the support comes in at 0.7600.

MACD grew which indicates the sellers’ positions weakening. RSI was neutral.

Trading recommendations

A close above the 0.7650 mark will generate a fresh bullish signal for further advance, which could extend to 0.7680.

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XAU/USD

General overview

Gold became more attractive as a safe heaven currency in the light of Trump’s failure to push through the Congress his healthcare reform bill.

Current situation

The precious metal remained in an uptrend on Monday. Gold prices started the day at 1244 with a growth towards 1250 dollars per ounce. The spot broke the mentioned level in the mid-Asian session and extended its rally afterwards. The XAU/USD pair kept on growing the rest of the night and the morning and reached 1260 by the noon. The upmove lost its strength around the hurdle. The spot started a consolidation phase afterwards. According to 4 hours chart the gold prices remained above the moving averages which were all pointing higher. The resistance is highlighted 1260, the support comes in at 1250 dollars per ounce.

The MACD histogram grew which indicates buyers’ strength. RSI moved north which confirms the current upward momentum.

Trading recommendations

If the bullish tone persists we expect a breakout of the level 1260 dollars per ounce in the coming sessions.

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Brent

General Overview

Oil prices remained under pressure as drilling activity in the USA still weighs.

Current situation

Brent opened bearish on Monday. The overall picture remained the same. The benchmark stayed in a flat between 51.00 - 50.50. Sellers led the price from the upper limit of the sideways channel to the lower one through the night. The lower barrier stopped sellers’ advance who continued struggling with the handle afterwards. The price was below the moving averages which were all pointing lower in the 4 hours chart. The resistance lies at 51.50, the support comes in at 50.50 dollars per barrel.

The MACD histogram decreased which is a sell signal. The RSI oscillator moved downwards.

Trading recommendations

After a close below the support at 50.50 we could see the Brent oil price extending its declines down to 49.50 dollars per barrel.

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DAX

General overview

European stocks moved lower on Monday following the decline in mining and banking sectors after Trump’s failure to pass his bill through the Congress. The market was full of worries that a failure here may lead to others, such as tax reform or infrastructure spending.

Current situation

DAX gapped lower at the weekly open. Sellers extended their gains after the gap and broke the level 12000. DAX kept moving lower afterwards and almost reached 11900 where the benchmark found fresh bids and returned to the opening price level in the late European session. The price crossed the 50-EMA and pierced the 100-EMA downwards in the 4 hours timeframe. The moving averages pointed higher in the mentioned chart. The resistance exists at 12000, the support stands at 11900.

MACD decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. The RSI oscillator moved downwards.

Trading recommendations

When DAX breaks the level 12000 the support 11900 will come back into play.

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NASDAQ

General overview

Wall Street edged lower on Monday as investors doubt that Trump will be able to fulfill his campaign promises after a failure with his Health Care bill. Investors believe he will not succeed with tax cuts and spending either.

Current situation

NASDAQ gapped lower at the daily open. The price jumped from 5380 to 5340. The index tried to extend its bearishness in the night and even reached 5316 when the downward impetus lost its legs and the benchmark returned to 5340. The price bounced off the 50-EMA, crossed the 100-EMA and touched the 200-EMA downwards in the 4 hours timeframe. The 50-EMA turned downwards, the 100-EMA was neutral while the 200-EMA kept heading higher in the same chart. The resistance is at 5340, the support comes in at 5300.

The MACD histogram decreased which indicates the sellers’ strength. The RSI indicator was holding near oversold levels, favoring a new move lower.

Trading recommendations

All eyes are right now at the support level of 5300.

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*Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

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TradeFort
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  • Joined: 14/05/2014
"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

30.03.2017

Euro

General overview

The US dollar strengthened after the Fed’s Fischer comments who supported the idea of two more rate hikes. There were no macroeconomic releases in the EU.

Current situation

The euro sharply dropped on Tuesday. The price reached the lower limit of the upward channel around 1.0800 in the NY session. Sellers failed to retake the level and stepped back. The spot hovered above the level the whole night. Sellers started a new attack at the level in the morning. They broke the handle at the beginning of the European session and extended their gains afterwards. The pair EUR/USD broke the 50-EMA downwards in the 4 hours chart. The moving averages pointed higher in the same timeframe. The resistance is at 1.0800, the support comes in at 1.0750.

MACD decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. The RSI indicator held within oversold readings, and headed now south.

Trading recommendations

The US dollar recovery put the pair under renewed downside pressure. Below 1.0800, EUR/USD will likely target 1.0750 support.

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Pound

General overview

The pound weakened ahead of Article 50 launch. All eyes were on UK PM May’s speech later the day.

Current situation

Sellers found a decent support at 1.2400. The pound paused its decline and started a brief phase of consolidation during the Asian trades. Bears loosened their grip in the morning allowing the major to reverse some losses. The pound retreated from its recent lows and reached 1.2450 during the European hours. The spot crossed the 50-EMA downwards and tested the 200-EMA in the 4 hours timeframe. The 50 and 200 EMAs were neutral while the 100-EMA kept heading higher in the mentioned chart. The resistance lies at 1.2500, the support comes in at 1.2400.

MACD entered the negative area. If MACD remains within the negative territory, sellers’ positions will strengthen. The RSI indicator was holding near oversold levels, favoring a new move lower.

Trading recommendations

Even though the pound bounced from oversold readings, the spot was far from an upward continuation. To neutralize the downward pressure buyers need to retake 1.2500 again. Inability to build on a recovery may return sellers to the market. Sellers may drive the cable to 1.2350.

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Yen

General overview

The US dollar recovered across the board getting support from the latest US docket. Investors ignored a weak Japanese Retail Trade release.

Current situation

The US dollar had a positive day on Tuesday. The major pushed away from 110.00 and rallied upwards. Buyers reached 111.00 in the late NY session but failed to reclaim the level. USD/JPY spent the night around the level staying in a consolidation. The major edged lower in the morning amid a profit-taking from buyers after the strong overnight recovery. According to 4 hours chart the price was below the moving averages which were all pointing lower. The resistance is highlighted at 111.00, the support comes in at 110.00.

MACD grew which indicates the sellers’ positions weakening. The RSI oscillator consolidated within neutral territory.

Trading recommendations

A return below 111.00 would generate negative signal and risk further easing. The price may return in the downward channel in this case. In order to recover further the US dollar needs to break above 111.50.

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USD/CAD

Current situation

The USD/CAD pair remained in a familiar range on Wednesday. The price was sandwiched between 1.3400 and 1.3350 during the day. The night recovery stalled in the morning when the spot reached the upper limit of the channel. Morning brought fresh bearishness. The US dollar sharply dropped to the lower limit of the channel erasing all night gains. Sellers failed to advance lower and stayed in the range. The 4 hours chart showed that the spot was in-between 50 and 100 EMAs the first part of the day. The 50-EMA kept pointed higher, the 100-EMA turned downwards while the 200-EMA maintained its bullish slope in the same chart. The resistance is highlighted 1.3400, the support comes in at 1.3330.

MACD remained at the same level which confirms the strength of buyers. The RSI oscillator moved downwards.

Trading recommendations

In the 4 hours chart, the technical picture favors a downward extension towards 1.3330.

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XAU/USD

General overview

Gold weakened on Wednesday as investors waited for formal Brexit procedures start by the U.K. government later in the day.

Current situation

The upward structure remained intact on Wednesday. The price reached the lower limit of the upward channel and stopped its advance in the night. The precious metal spent the Asian session in a narrow range between 1250 and 1247 dollars per ounce. The XAU/USD pair witnessed a fresh buying interest in the European session. The price moved away from its night lows and headed towards 1255. The yellow metal was above the moving averages which were all pointing higher in the 4 hours timeframe. The resistance is highlighted 1260, the support comes in at 1250 dollars per ounce.

MACD decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. The RSI oscillator moved upwards.

Trading recommendations

If sellers manage to lead the price below the upward trend line the spot may extend its weakness to 1240 dollars per ounce. We remain bullish until then awaiting for the price recovery towards 1260.

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Brent

General Overview

Oil strengthened on Wednesday amid disruptions with Libyan crude production. Moreover, investors are expecting news from OPEC regarding output cut extension.

Current situation

Brent extended its bullish trajectory on Wednesday. After spending the night at 51.50 the benchmark continued its growth in the morning. Brent grew and reached 52.00 dollars per barrel in the late European session. The benchmark failed to advance further and slightly eased returning to 51.50. The 4 hours chart showed that Brent oil futures crossed the 50-EMA upwards and tested the 100-EMA. The 50-EMA turned neutral while the 50 and 100 EMAs maintained their bearish slope. The resistance lies at 52.50, the support comes in at 51.50 dollars per barrel.

MACD entered the positive area. If MACD remains in the positive territory, buyers’ positions will strengthen. RSI moved north which confirms the current upward momentum.

Trading recommendations

If bulls remain in control a further extension to 52.50 is not ruled out.

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DAX

General overview

European stocks opened in green when markets recovered from Trump’s failure in Congress. Investors focused on Brexit process on Wednesday. Mining stock grew following the rice in copper price.

Current situation

DAX grew on Wednesday amid a fresh buying interest. Buyers broke 12200 at the open and drove the benchmark to 12250 in the late European session. DAX failed to advance beyond the mark and remained hovering above 12200. According to 4 hours chart the price continued developing well above the moving averages. The 50, 100 and 200 EMAs pointed higher in the mentioned chart. The resistance exists at 12300, the support stands at 12200.

The MACD histogram grew which indicates buyers’ strength. RSI oscillator stayed near overbought levels, favoring a new move higher.

Trading recommendations

We still hold the view that DAX will struggle to climb north towards 12300.

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NASDAQ

Current situation

The upward momentum lost its steam when NASDAQ reached 5420 on Tuesday. Buyers failed to reclaim the hurdle and stayed around the level during the night. The index remained unchanged on Wednesday struggling with the level the whole day. According to 4 hours chart the benchmark was above the moving averages which were all pointing higher. The resistance is at 5420, the support comes in at 5380.

The MACD histogram grew which is a buy signal. The RSI indicator was near overvalued territory, favoring a new move higher.

Trading recommendations

The 5420 resistance will need to be retested for support before a price can rally towards 5460.

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*Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

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TradeFort
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"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

31.03.2017

Euro

General overview

The US dollar reached its 9 day high against its main peers after supportive Fed officials’ remarks. Besides, the single European currency eased after the news that the ECB did not plan to change its policy in the nearest future.

Current situation

After the Asian flat the euro returned under pressure in the morning. Sellers moved the major lower and broke 1.0750 post-European open. After breaking the level the price advanced towards 1.0725 where the major spent the whole day. The spot tested the 100-EMA in the 4 hours chart. The 100 and 200 EMAs kept heading higher while the 50-EMA was neutral in the mentioned timeframe. The resistance is at 1.0750, the support comes in at 1.0700.

MACD entered the negative area. If MACD remains in the negative territory, sellers’ positions will strengthen. RSI indicator was near undervalued territory, favoring a new move lower.

Trading recommendations

As the most probable scenario, we consider further moving downwards towards the level at 1.0700.

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Pound

General overview

The pound stayed apathetic to the official triggering of the Article 50 on Wednesday. The UK calendar was thin and uneventful on Thursday. Traders expected GDP which was expected to remain unchanged.

Current situation

The night recovery lost steam at 1.2450. The pound came under fresh selling pressure during the morning hours. Sellers returned the pair to 1.2400 post London open but failed to reclaim the level. The spot extended its consolidative phase in the second part of the day. The pair GBP/USD was sandwiched between the 50 and 200 EMAs in the 4 hours timeframe. The 50 and 100 EMAs pointed higher while the 200-EMA turned downwards in the same chart. The resistance lies at 1.2500, the support comes in at 1.2400.

The MACD histogram decreased which is a sell signal. The RSI indicator was holding near oversold levels, favoring a new move lower.

Trading recommendations

A move below 1.2400 would revive bearishness towards 1.2300.

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Yen

General overview

The yen weakened after BOJ deputy governor Iwata' comments that the regulator will continue its monetary easing until 2% inflation is reached.

Current situation

The US dollar failed to build a recovery in the Asian session. The buying interest disappeared around 111.40. The mark appeared to be a pivot point where the pair reversed its direction. The major edged lower in the mid-Asian session. The USD/JPY pair accelerated its decline in the morning and tested 111.00. The level appeared to be unbreakable barrier which stopped sellers’ advance. The 4 hours chart showed that the spot tested the 50-EMA and bounced off downwards after that. The price stayed below the moving averages which were all pointing lower in the mentioned timeframe. The resistance is highlighted at 112.00, the support comes in at 111.00.

MACD indicator was at the centerline. If the histogram enters the positive territory, that will indicate buyers’ growing strength. If MACD returns into the negative area the sellers will take control over the market. The RSI indicator lost upward strength and moved downwards.

Trading recommendations

We still hold the view that the USD/JPY will struggle to climb north of 112.00.

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AUD/USD


Current situation

The AUD had a negative start to the day. The major turned bearish from the opening of the night session. The price remained offered during the night trades and reached 0.7650 in the morning. The level stopped sellers who stepped back but remained around the handle. Buyers regained control in the second part of the European session. They pushed the AUD higher and reversed all night losses. According to 4 hours chart the pair broke the 50-EMA upwards. The 50-EMA kept heading lower, the 100-EMA pointed higher while the 200-EMA was neutral in the same chart. The resistance is highlighted 0.7700, the support comes in at 0.7650.

MACD entered the positive area. If MACD remains within the positive territory, buyers’ positions will strengthen. RSI advanced south which confirms the current downward movement.

Trading recommendations

After a close below the support at 0.7650 we could see AUD/USD extending its declines down to 0.7600. Alternatively, the pair will climb to 0.7685.

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XAU/USD

Current situation

Gold prices remained in a consolidation phase on Thursday. Sellers led the spot to 1250 the other day but failed to break below the level. The price remained sandwiched between 1250 - 1255, moving up and down between the bands the whole day. The 4 hours chart showed that the spot was above the moving averages which were all pointing higher. The resistance is highlighted 1260, the support comes in at 1250 dollars per ounce.

MACD decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. RSI remained within neutral territory.

Trading recommendations

The price eyes strong support at 1240 dollars per ounce loss of which would trigger further weakness.

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Brent

General Overview

Oil prices maintained its bid tone amid problems with Libyan output. However, high U.S. crude stocks inventories limit their growth.

Current situation

Brent oil prices extended their winning streak on Wednesday and reached the level 52.50 at the daily open. The bid tone lost its strength afterwards and the benchmark slightly eased on profit-taking. According to 4 hours chart the price broke the 100-EMA upwards. The 50-EMA pointed higher while the 100 and 200 EMAs maintained their bearish slope in the mentioned timeframe. The resistance lies at 52.50, the support comes in at 51.50 dollars per barrel.

The MACD histogram grew which indicates buyers’ strength. The RSI indicator was near overvalued territory, favoring a new move lower.

Trading recommendations

The overall outlook remains bullish, for a rise above the level of 52.50. Buyers aim at 53.50 dollars per barrel.

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DAX

General overview

European stocks were neutral on Thursday as investors were digesting the official Brexit start.

Current situation

After breaking above 12200 buyers failed to advance further. The index remained contained within a 12200 - 12250 range during the day sessions. The 4 hours chart showed that the benchmark was above the moving averages which were all pointing higher. The resistance exists at 12300, the support stands at 12200.

The MACD histogram grew which is a buy signal. RSI oscillator stayed near overbought levels, favoring a new move higher.

Trading recommendations

We await a break above the current range to trigger another leg higher. Our profit target is 12300.

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S&P500

General overview

Wall Street held still at the open awaiting from the Fed more signals regarding its rate hike timing.

Current situation

Buyers met a barrier at 2360 in the Asian session. As a result the price had to pull back. S&P500 moved away from the resistance and stopped its decline at 2353. The benchmark was holding around the 100 and 200 EMAs in the 4 hours timeframe. The 100-EMA tested the 200-EMA. The 50 and 100 EMAs maintained their bearish slope while the 200-EMA kept heading higher in the mentioned chart. The resistance is at 2360, the support comes in at 2340.

The MACD histogram grew which indicates buyers’ strength. The RSI indicator was near overvalued territory, favoring a new move lower.

Trading recommendations

The market may start a new descending correction if buyers fail to retake 2360. Sellers may drive S&P500 to 2340. A move above the level may spark a further growth towards 2370.

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*Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

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TradeFort
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  • Joined: 14/05/2014
"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

05.04.2017

Euro

General overview

The euro got a minor support from strong Producer Price Index in the Eurozone.

Current situation

The overall picture remained negative on Tuesday. The euro maintained its neutral stance in the first part of Tuesday. The major traded in a narrow channel between 1.0650 - 1.0675. The downward pressure intensified at the noon. Sellers made an attempt to break below the handle but failed. The spot tried to break the 200-EMA in the morning but failed and stayed around it in the 4 hours chart. The 50 and 100 EMAs pointed lower while the 200-EMA was neutral in the mentioned timeframe. The resistance is at 1.0700, the support comes in at 1.0650.

The MACD histogram decreased which is a sell signal. RSI headed downwards which confirms the strength of sellers.

Trading recommendations

The EUR/USD has a moderate bearish potential. A move below 1.0650 would revive bearishness towards 1.0600.

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Pound

General overview

The pound weakened following a weaker-than-expected UK's PMI Construction.

Current situation

After Monday’s sell-off the pound made an attempt to recover in the night. Buyers returned the price to 1.2500 where the major ran through fresh offers. The pair got under selling pressure in the mid-Asian session. The spot was weakening the whole night afterwards and approached 1.2400 in the morning. The downward pressure faded around the level and the major was able to reverse some losses. The 4 hours timeframe showed that the spot bounced off the 50-EMA downwards in the Asian session and tested the 100-EMA in the morning. The 100-EMA crossed the 200-EMA and continued upward movement. The 50-EMA turned lower while the 200-EMA was neutral in the same chart. The resistance lies at 1.2500, the support comes in at 1.2400.

MACD decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. RSI advanced south which confirms the current downward movement.

Trading recommendations

As the most probable scenario, we consider further moving downwards towards the level at 1.2400.

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Yen

General overview

The US dollar weakened vs. the yen amid risk-off sentiment in markets. Meanwhile, investors are waiting for the Fed’s minutes to get more hints about the next rate hike action.

Current situation

The bearish momentum persisted on Tuesday. The US dollar remained well offered while the yen was in demand amid risk-off sentiment. The USD kept losing ground the whole night and morning. Sellers stopped only at 100.34 at the noon. According to 4 hours chart the price broke the 50-EMA and continued developing below the moving averages afterwards. The 50, 100 and 200 EMAs kept heading lower in the mentioned chart. The resistance is highlighted at 111.00, the support comes in at 110.00.

MACD entered the negative area. If MACD remains within the negative territory, sellers’ positions will strengthen. RSI indicator was near undervalued territory, favoring a new move higher.

Trading recommendations

A pullback is expected in the market in the short term. While to the upside, the 111.00 resistance will need to be retaken for support before a price can rally towards 112.00. Nevertheless, we are still bearish. The major seems to be heading back to 4-month lows touched last week.

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AUD/USD

General overview

As expected the RBA left its rate unchanged on Tuesday. The Aussie weakened after that amid a weak labor and inflation data.

Current situation

The selling pressure around the Aussie remained intact on Tuesday. As a result, the spot dropped to fresh multi-week lows yesterday. The price pushed away from 0.7600 at the daily open. The AUD continued to trade in negative ground the whole night and reached the 0.7550 region in the morning. The selling pressure eased around the handle and the major tried to develop a consolidation. The pair AUD/USD continued developing well below the moving averages in the 4 hours chart. The 50-EMA crossed the 100 and 200 EMAs downwards while the 100-EMA crossed the 200-EMA upwards. The 100-EMA turned neutral while the 50 and 200 EMAs kept heading lower in the same timeframe. The resistance is highlighted 0.7600, the support comes in at 0.7550.

MACD decreased which confirms the strength of sellers. The RSI indicator was holding near oversold levels, favoring a new move lower.

Trading recommendations

The pair stopped around 0.7550, and seems poised to extend its decline. Below 0.7550, AUD/USD will likely target at the 0.7500 support.

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XAU/USD

General overview

Gold prices strengthened amid risk-off sentiment. The US Trade Balance was in focus on Tuesday. Moreover, investors are waiting for the meeting between Trump and Xi Jinping.

Current situation

The risk-off sentiment allowed gold prices to extend their vertical rise. The XAU/USD pair started the day above 1250 and advanced up to 1260 dollars per ounce during the Asian trades. The spot reached the resistance in the morning. Buyers failed to regain the level and had to take a retreat staying around the level afterwards. According to 4 hours chart the gold prices broke the 50-EMA upwards and continued developing well above the moving averages. The 50, 100 and 200 EMAs pointed higher in the same chart. The resistance is highlighted 1260, the support comes in at 1250 dollars per ounce.

MACD entered the positive area. If MACD remains in the positive territory, buyers’ positions will strengthen. RSI moved north which confirms the current upward momentum.

Trading recommendations

The current hurdle rejected the precious metal several times. That’s why we remain cautious until we see a clear break above the level. After a daily close above 1260 dollars per ounce we could see the spot extending upwards to the 1270 region during the next sessions. Otherwise, we will see a correction back to 1240 dollars per ounce.

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Brent

General Overview

Oil prices weakened in the light of the US dollar strengthening. Besides, the markets are still concerned over a global supply glut amid growing Libyan production and the US drilling activity.

Current situation

The positive mood seems to be over. Buyers met unbreakable barrier at 53.50 dollars per barrel and retreated from it. After a failure to break the level the benchmark moved lower. Brent oil prices spent the night in a flat and eased further towards 52.50 in the morning. However, a fresh bout of buying interest emerged in the late European session. Oil prices spiked upwards and touched 53.50 ahead of the NY opening. The 4 hours chart showed that Brent oil prices tested the 200-EMA and bounced off downwards on Monday. The 50-EMA crossed the 100-EMA upwards. The 50-EMA kept heading higher, the 100-EMA was neutral while the 200-EMA maintained its bearish slope in the same timeframe. The resistance lies at 53.50, the support comes in at 52.50 dollars per barrel.

MACD decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. The RSI indicator was near overvalued territory, favoring a new move lower.

Trading recommendations

The price eyes strong support at 52.50 dollars per barrel loss of which would trigger further weakness towards 51.50.

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DAX

General overview

European stocks traded lower following a decline in oil prices.

Current situation

The price remained in an upward channel. However, DAX turned bearish right after its opening. Sellers pushed the price to the lower limit of the channel at 12200 in the morning. The benchmark failed to advance beyond the line and remained above the level afterwards. According to 4 hours chart the index was above the moving averages which were all pointing higher. The resistance exists at 12300, the support stands at 12200.

MACD decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. The RSI indicator held within overbought readings, and headed now south.

Trading recommendations

DAX seems to be poised to extend its weakness. The main sellers’ goal is the level at 12200.

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NASDAQ

General overview

The US stocks remained under pressure ahead of Trade balance release. Investors keep looking forward to the meeting between Chinese President Xi Jinping and U.S. President Donald Trump.

Current situation

NASDAQ extended its range bound trades on Tuesday. The price stayed between 5420 and 5445 the whole day. There is a fight between buyers and sellers. As we see sellers are winning as the price tends to go lower. We do not believe sellers will return control for a long period. However, we do not rule out a correction in the coming sessions. The price remained above the moving averages which were all pointing higher in the 4 hours timeframe. The 50-EMA bounced off the 100-EMA upwards in the same chart. The resistance is at 5460, the support comes in at 5420.

MACD decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. The RSI oscillator moved upwards.

Trading recommendations

A move below 5420 will signal the presence of sellers who might want to push the benchmark to 5380.

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*Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

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TradeFort
  • Posts: 793
  • Joined: 14/05/2014
"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

06.04.2017

Euro

General overview

Weak PMIs in the Eurozone weighed on the single European currency on Wednesday. The pair focused on ADP release and Fed minutes due to later the day.

Current situation

The euro was neutral the first part of the day. The price traded in a familiar range staying between 1.0650 and 1.0670. Tuesday’s rebound lifted the spot to the upper limit of the range where the upward impetus faded. The pair started the European session flirting with the upper limit of the band and edged lower at noon. The 4 hours timeframe showed that the pair could not fixate above the 200-EMA and rebounded below it. The 100 and 200 EMAs turned upwards while the 50-EMA kept heading lower in the same chart. The resistance is at 1.0700, the support comes in at 1.0650.

MACD grew which indicates the sellers’ positions weakening. RSI moved north which confirms the current upward momentum.

Trading recommendations

We prefer to stay neutral until we get clear signals. A cut through the 1.0650 mark will aim at the 1.0600 level. A rebound here will return buyers in a driver’s seat sending the market to 1.0750.

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Pound

General overview

The UK's Services PMI came in above expectations lending support to the national currency.

Current situation

The pound became positive in the Asian session on Wednesday. The major was growing the whole night. Moreover, the GBP/USD pair witnessed a fresh buying-wave during European morning trade. The price accelerated its growth and spiked to 1.2500. However, the spot met selling interest on approaches to the level and paused its advance. The major tested the 50-EMA in the morning and stayed around it in the 4 hours chart. The 50-EMA kept pointed lower, the 100-EMA maintained its bullish slope while the 200-EMA was neutral in the mentioned timeframe. The resistance lies at 1.2500, the support comes in at 1.2400.

MACD remained at the same level which confirms the strength of sellers. The RSI oscillator moved upwards.

Trading recommendations

Despite the fresh buying interest the pair future is not so bright. Buyers seem not to have enough strength to post more gains. That’s why the pound may turn to the downside. The pair needs to get below 1.2450 to trigger additional downward momentum towards testing 1.2400.

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Yen

General overview

The US dollar managed to recover some ground against its Japanese peer in the Asian session. However, its advance was stopped by risk-off sentiment after North Korea fired ballistic missile.

Current situation

The US dollar struggled to build a recovery on Tuesday. Buyers were driving the major upwards the whole day and stopped at 110.70. The pair remained unchanged in the night amid lack of market movers. The major caught fresh bids in the morning. The pair extended its buying bias and approached 111.00 at noon. According to 4 hours chart the spot remained below the moving averages which were all pointing lower. The resistance is highlighted at 111.00, the support comes in at 110.00.

The MACD indicator continued consolidating within oversold levels. RSI was neutral.

Trading recommendations

Despite the positive tone the major is still in red. The 111.00 hurdle is a strong barrier and buyers need to try hard to break it through. A sharp breakout above 111.00 could spark a further growth towards 111.50, en route to 112.00. On the other hand, a failure here will return sellers in action and risk 110.00.

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NZD/USD

General overview

The New Zealand calendar was light. However, the major was supported by Moody’s upbeat remarks on New Zealand’s AAA rating. The US dollar maintained control ahead of Trump-Xi Summit.

Current situation

The NZD/USD pair remained neutral hovering above 0.6950 during night trades. The spot caught fresh offers in the morning and moved lower afterwards. NZD/USD kept struggling near 3-week lows later the day. The 4 hours timeframe showed that the spot continued developing below the moving averages. The 50 and 200 EMAs pointed lower while the 100-EMA kept heading higher and the 50-EMA touched the 100-EMA in the mentioned chart. The resistance is highlighted 0.7000, the support comes in at 0.6950.

MACD remained at the same level which confirms the strength of sellers. RSI indicator was near undervalued territory, favoring a new move upwards.

Trading recommendations

The pair is likely to extend its negative bias. After a close below the support at 0.6950 we could see NZD/USD extending its declines down to 0.6900.

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XAU/USD

General overview

Investors turned cautious ahead of the Trump-Xi Summit starting tomorrow. However, the risk-off sentiment barely supported gold, but the market turned red anyway.

Current situation


The spot remained in a short-term upward channel on Wednesday. The precious metal found strong resistance at 1260. The level rejected the price which edged lower in the Asian session. Gold sellers kept pushing the price lower during the European session and reached 1250 at noon. Gold prices stayed above the moving averages which were all pointing higher in the 4 hours chart. The 100-EMA crossed the 200-EMA upwards in the mentioned timeframe. The resistance is highlighted 1260, the support comes in at 1250 dollars per ounce.

The MACD histogram grew which is a buy signal. The RSI indicator was near overvalued territory, favoring a new move higher.

Trading recommendations

A recovery above the level of 1260 will favor an advance up to the 1270 region.

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Brent

General Overview

A larger-than-expected drop in U.S. crude supplies coupled with an outage at the Buzzard oil field in the North Sea supported oil prices on Wednesday.

Current situation

Brent held a bullish tone on Wednesday. The benchmark was slowly growing in the night and approached 54.50 in the morning. Brent buyers fueled the market with fresh bids in the European session sending the price to 55.00 dollars per barrel. According to 4 hours chart the benchmark broke the 200-EMA upwards. The 200-EMA kept heading lower while the 50 and 100 EMAs maintained their bullish slope in the same chart. The resistance lies at 55.50, the support comes in at 54.50 dollars per barrel.

The MACD histogram grew which indicates buyers’ strength. The RSI indicator remained within overbought readings.

Trading recommendations

We still hold the view that oil prices will struggle to climb north of 55.50

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DAX

Current situation

DAX was neutral on Wednesday being unable to choose its direction. The index kept moving back and forth between 12240 and 12300. The benchmark had a negative start and dropped to the lower limit of the range right after the opening. DAX remained under pressure afterwards making attempts to move lower. The 4 hours timeframe showed that the index continued developing well above the moving averages. The 50, 100 and 200 EMAs maintained their bullish slope in the mentioned chart. The resistance exists at 12300, the support stands at 12200.

MACD decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. RSI advanced south which confirms the current downward movement.

Trading recommendations

If we do not see a turnaround in market sentiment bears will keep focusing at the support level of 12200. A break below the handle will open the way towards 12100.

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S&P500

General Overview

Wall Street was flat ahead of opening as investors awaited for ADP jobs report and Fed minutes publication.

Current situation

The Tuesday’s rally was short-lived. Buyers pushed the price to 2360 where the upward momentum lost its legs. The price weakened a bit in the night and stayed around its session lows at 2355 afterwards. The price was sandwiched between the 50 and 100 EMAs in the 4 hours timeframe. The 50 and 100 EMAs turned neutral while the 200-EMA pointed higher in the same chart. The resistance is at 2360, the support comes in at 2340.

MACD indicator was at the centerline. If the histogram enters the negative territory, that will indicate sellers’ growing strength. If MACD returns into the positive area the buyers will take control over the market. RSI remained within neutral territory.

Trading recommendations

In the 4 hours chart, the technical picture favors a downward extension towards 2340.

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*Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

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TradeFort
  • Posts: 793
  • Joined: 14/05/2014
"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

11.04.2017

Euro

General overview

The euro ignored strong Investor Confidence release from Sentix. The single currency remained under pressure amid a broad US dollar recovery. Investors awaited for J. Yellen speech later the day. Economic Sentiment in Germany will be in the spotlight on Tuesday.

Current situation

The pair remained under pressure on Monday. The euro extended its losses in the night and posted a session low at 1.0570. The major stopped its advance after that and recovered a bit. However, a fresh selling interest later the day returned the pair to the opening price. According to 4 hours timeframe the spot continued developing well below the moving averages. The 50 and 100 EMAs pointed lower while the 200-EMA was neutral in the mentioned chart. The resistance is at 1.0600, the support comes in at 1.0550.

The MACD histogram decreased which is a sell signal. The RSI oscillator consolidated within negative area.

Trading recommendations

A pullback is expected in the market in the near term. A breakout of 1.0600 would aim markets for 1.0625. Below 1.0600, EUR/USD will likely target at the 1.0550 support

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Pound

General overview

The pound reversed some losses on Monday and stepped away from 2 week low. Markets focused on J.Yellen's due to later the day. Inflation figures for the month of March will be published tomorrow and will attract our attention.

Current situation

The pound maintained its ask tone in the Asian session on Monday. However, its further advance was limited by the 1.2360 mark. The spot bounced off and moved higher. The positive tone remained in place in the morning. The GBP/USD tested 1.2400 in the late European session but failed to retake the level. The GBP/USD pair remained around the level till the NY session. The 4 hours chart showed that the pair tested the 200-EMA and bounced upwards. The 50-EMA crossed the 100-EMA downwards. The 50-EMA turned downwards while the 100 and 200 EMAs were neutral in the same timeframe. The resistance lies at 1.2400, the support comes in at 1.2300.

MACD remained at the same level which confirms the strength of sellers. RSI indicator was near undervalued territory.

Trading recommendations

While to the upside, 1.2400 resistance will need to be retested for support before a price can rally towards 1.2500. We expect to see renewed bearish pressure in the short-term. Our profit target will be 1.2300.

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Yen

General overview

The US dollar strengthened after the US attack at the Syrian airbase. News about balance sheet reduction supported the US currency as well. Meanwhile, a stronger Japanese Trade Balance limited the US dollar further advance.

Current situation

The US dollar failed to extend its buying momentum beyond 111.50 in the night. The major posted a session high at 111.54 and changed its direction. The spot slightly eased in the night and headed towards 111.00 later in the day. The USD/JPY pair bounced off the 50-EMA and was holding around the 100-EMA in the 4 hours chart. The 100 and 200 EMAs kept heading lower while the 50-EMA was neutral in the same chart. The resistance is highlighted at 112.00, the support comes in at 111.00.

MACD entered the positive area. If MACD remains in the positive territory, buyers’ positions will strengthen. The RSI indicator lost upward strength and moved downwards.

Trading recommendations

110.00 seems the next probable bearish target. At the same time a recovery above the level of 111.50 will favor an advance up to the 112.00 region.

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NZD/USD

Current situation

The NZD/USD slightly weakened in the night and almost reached 0.6900. The spot stopped at 0.6920 and reversed its direction. The price started to grow and reached 0.6950 in the late European session. The pair remained unchanged later the day and stayed around session lows ahead of the NY session. According to 4 hours chart the price remained below the moving averages which were all pointing lower. The resistance is highlighted 0.6950, the support comes in at 0.6900.

The MACD histogram decreased which indicates the sellers’ strength. The RSI oscillator moved upwards.

Trading recommendations

A daily close above 0.6950 would risk 0.7000. The price eyes strong support at 0.6900 loss of which would trigger further weakness towards 0.6850.

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XAU/USD

General overview

Gold prices edged lower amid a stronger dollar on Monday. The speculations about the next U.S. rate hike lent some support to the US currency.

Current situation

Gold prices were neutral on Monday hovering above 1250 the first part of the day. However, a bout of fresh selling pressure emerged after the noon. The yellow metal moved lower struggling hard with the 1250 handle. XAU/USD broke the level at the NY beginning. Gold tested the 50-EMA and remained above it in the 4 hours timeframe. The 50 and 100 EMAs pointed higher while the 200-EMA was neutral in the mentioned chart. The resistance is highlighted 1250, the support comes in at 1240 dollars per ounce.

MACD decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. RSI was neutral.

Trading recommendations

We preserve our bullish outlook in the near term. A cut through the resistance level of 1260 dollars per ounce will turn attention to the 1270 level. However, the precious metal looks overbought and requires some correction. The spot may soften to 1240 in the short-term.

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Brent


Current situation

Brent opened bullish on Monday. The price jumped to 55.50 in the night but was able to break the level only in the European morning. Bulls continued driving the benchmark higher during the day trades. The price reached last week high in the NY session. The 4 hours chart showed that the price continued developing well above the moving averages. The 50-EMA crossed the 200-EMA upwards. The 50 and 100 EMAs maintained their bullish slope while the 200-EMA turned lower in the mentioned timeframe. The resistance lies at 56.50, the support comes in at 55.50 dollars per barrel.

The MACD indicator continued consolidating within overbought levels. The RSI indicator was near overvalued territory, favoring a new move higher.

Trading recommendations

An uptrend will continue as soon, as the prices rises above the resistance level 56.00 dollars per barrel. Bulls aim at 56.50 dollars per barrel.

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DAX

General overview

European stocks stayed neutral on Monday. Mining and Pharmaceuticals & Healthcare sectors added some gains while energy stocks were mostly lower.

Current situation

DAX was neutral on Monday. The price moved in a directionless way orning hanging between 12200 and 12300. According to 4 hours timeframe the benchmark tested the 50-EMA and stayed above the moving averages. The 50, 100 and 200 EMAs maintained their bullish slope in the same chart. The resistance exists at 12300, the support stands at 12200.

MACD indicator was at the centerline. If the histogram enters the negative territory, that will indicate sellers’ growing strength. If MACD returns into the positive area the buyers will take control over the market. RSI remained within neutral territory.

Trading recommendations

We preserve our bullish views until we see a break below 12000. A rebound from 12200 is possible towards 12300. Alternatively, a break below 12200 would open up the way for a move to 12100.

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NASDAQ

Current situation

NASDAQ was neutral on Monday hovering around 5420. The price remained above the moving averages which were all pointing higher in the 4 hours chart. The resistance is at 5460, the support comes in at 5420.

MACD indicator was at the centerline. If the histogram enters the negative territory, that will indicate sellers’ growing strength. If MACD returns into the positive area the buyers will take control over the market. RSI remained within neutral territory.

Trading recommendations

The immediate risk is still clearly on the downside but we prefer to wait for a daily closing below 5420 before turning bearish.

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*Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

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TradeFort
  • Posts: 793
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"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

12.04.2017

Euro

Current situation

The euro touched 1.0600 on Monday and pulled back a bit in the night afterwards. The major gathered some steam in the night and edged higher at the European session open. Thus, buyers returned the price to 1.0600 reversing all the night losses. The pair broke the level in the mid European session. The 4 hours chart showed that the pair EUR/USD stayed below the moving averages. The resistance is at 1.0650, the support comes in at 1.0600.
MACD grew which indicates the sellers’ positions weakening. The RSI indicator was holding near oversold levels, favoring a move higher.

Trading recommendations

A recovery above the level 1.0600 will favor an advance up to the 1.0650 region.

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Pound

Current situation

The pound had a positive day on Tuesday. The major extended its buying bias in the morning after the neutral night. The GBP/USD pair pushed away from 1.2400 and headed north ahead of London open. Buyers reached 1.2450 at the noon but failed to advance beyond the mark. The spot was hovering between the 200 and 50 EMAs in the 4 hours chart. The resistance lies at 1.2500, the support comes in at 1.2400.
MACD grew which indicates the sellers’ positions weakening. The RSI indicator lost upward strength and moved downwards.

Trading recommendations


The recovery seems to be in the progress. Bulls keep focus at the resistance level of 1.2500.

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Yen

Current situation

The bearish momentum persisted in the night session on Tuesday. After breaking 111.00 the pair moved lower and reached 110.40 by the morning. Having posted the session low the price stopped in the night and spent the late European session around the mark. According to 4 hours chart the 50, 100 and 200 moving averages pointed lower. The resistance is highlighted at 111.00, the support comes in at 110.00.
MACD indicator was at the centerline. If the histogram enters the negative territory, that will indicate sellers’ growing strength. If MACD returns into the positive area the buyers will take control over the market. RSI remained within neutral territory.

Trading recommendations

Should the US dollar recover ground and advance beyond the resistance level of 111.00, the rally can extend in the short term up to 112.00. Otherwise, sellers will push the major to 110.00.

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USD/CAD

Current situation

Sellers reached a strong support at 1.3330 on Monday. Bears failed to retake the level in the night and met the morning in its region. The spot maintained its neutral bias during the European session. The major broke all the moving averages downwards and remained below them in the 4 hours timeframe. The resistance is highlighted 1.3330, the support comes in at 1.3260.
The MACD histogram decreased which is a sell signal. The RSI indicator continued consolidating near oversold levels.

Trading recommendations

A sharp breakout above 1.3330 could spark a further incline towards 1.3400.

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XAU/USD

Current situation

Gold prices extended their consolidation phase trading between 1260-1250 on Tuesday. Sellers tried to break below the lower limit of the range on Monday but failed. The spot ran through fresh bids around the level and reversed its direction. Buyers were driving the price upwards the whole Monday and extended their upward trajectory on Tuesday. The XAU/USD pair approached 1260 (the upper limit of the range) in the European morning. According to 4 hours chart the gold priced bounced off the 100-EMA, broke the 50-EMA upwards and continued developing above the moving averages. The resistance is highlighted 1260, the support comes in at 1250 dollars per ounce.
MACD indicator was at the centerline. If the histogram enters the negative territory, that will indicate sellers’ growing strength. If MACD returns into the positive area the buyers will take control over the market. RSI moved north which confirms the current upward momentum.

Trading recommendations

If the spot stays above 1250 dollars per ounce a further extension to 1260 is not ruled out.

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Brent

Current situation

Brent buying momentum lost its strength on Tuesday. Buyers failed to post fresh gains above 56.00 and moved back. The benchmark was losing ground the whole night and morning and approached 55.50 by the noon. The price continued developing well above the moving averages in the 4 hours timeframe. The resistance lies at 56.50, the support comes in at 55.50 dollars per barrel.
MACD remained at the same level which confirms the strength of buyers. RSI oscillator stayed near overbought levels.

Trading recommendations

In the 4 hours chart, the technical picture favors a downward extension towards 55.50 dollars per barrel.

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DAX

Current situation

DAX had a negative start to the day. The index moved below 12200 but after reaching 12140 changed its direction and jumped upwards. The benchmark returned to the opening price in the mid European session. The 4 hours chart showed that the moving averages maintained their bullish slope. The resistance exists at 12300, the support stands at 12200.
MACD entered the negative area. If MACD remains in the negative territory, sellers’ positions will strengthen. RSI remained within neutral territory.

Trading recommendations

If the price manages to hold above the 12200 mark the next target for this index is the resistance level of 12300.

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S&P500

Current situation

S&P500 remained in a tight range on Tuesday trading neutral-to-negative between 2355 and 2350. According to 4 hours chart the benchmark crossed the 100-EMA downwards and continued developing below the moving averages. The 50 and 100 EMAs kept heading lower while the 200-EMA was neutral in the same timeframe. The resistance is at 2360, the support comes in at 2340.
MACD indicator was at the centerline. If the histogram enters the positive territory, that will indicate buyers’ growing strength. If MACD returns into the negative area the sellers will take control over the market. RSI remained in neutral territory.

Trading recommendations

The next level to focus on is 2360.

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*Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

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TradeFort
  • Posts: 793
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"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

13.04.2017

Euro

Current situation

The euro maintained its recovery pace on Wednesday. Having spent the night in a tight range above 1.0600 the spot edged higher at the European session open. The resistance is at 1.0650, the support comes in at 1.0600.

Trading recommendations

In order to recover some strength, EUR/USD needs to rise back and hold above 1.0650. Until then, there is a chance for bears to return control. The last will strive to test 1.0550.

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Pound

Current situation

The GBP/USD pair spent the night around its fresh high at 1.2500. The pound tried to maintain its control struggling with 1.2500 in the European session. The resistance lies at 1.2500, the support comes in at 1.2400.

Trading recommendations

Sustained break above the 1.2500 region is seen as minimum requirement needed to confirm bullish resumption. In this scenario, buyers may lead prices towards 1.2600. Alternatively, a rebound here may revive the bearish momentum towards 1.2400 – 1.2370.

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Yen

Current situation

Sellers were unable to drive the US dollar below 109.50. The major reached the handle in the Asian session and immediately bounced from the level upwards. The resistance is highlighted at 110.00, the support comes in at 109.00.

Trading recommendations

Our next short-term objective for the USD/JPY is 110.30. However, the trend is bearish and a return to a downside is not ruled out. A close below 109.30 would put the 109.00 handle back on the agenda.

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AUD/USD

Current situation

The AUD/USD continued sideways trades on Wednesday. The level 0.7500 is in focus now. The price keeps moving back and forth around the mentioned handle. The resistance is highlighted 0.7500, the support comes in at 0.7450.

Trading recommendations

The pair looks oversold now. As the most probable scenario, we consider moving upwards towards the level at 0.7525. The spot may reach 0.7550 based on profit-taking.

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XAU/USD

Current situation

Buying pressure lacked momentum after approaching 1280 dollars per ounce. Bears are attempting to control the market now. Sellers pushed the price away from the recent high and moved the spot to 1270. The resistance is highlighted 1280, the support comes in at 1270 dollars per ounce.

Trading recommendations

A daily close below 1270 would risk 1265 dollars per ounce. If selling pressure persists the spot may reach 1260 in the coming sessions.

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Brent


Current situation

Brent maintained trading in the green zone on Wednesday. Buyers kept pushing the benchmark upwards the whole night and reached 56.50 in the morning. After a brief pause buyers moved the price higher and broke the level. The resistance lies at 56.50, the support comes in at 55.50 dollars per barrel.

Trading recommendations


The overall picture is the same. Black gold is in a near-term ascending channel. The trend is clear bearish for now. However, Brent oil prices are overbought. That’s why a pullback or consolidation is expected in the near term. The main goal for a correction is the level at 55.50 (the lower limit of the channel).

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DAX

Current situation

DAX maintained its neutral stance on Wednesday. The index was choosing direction the first part of the day. Bulls and bears were fighting for 12200 pushing the price up and down. The resistance is at 12200, the support comes in at 12100.

Trading recommendations

All eyes are right now at the support level 12100. As an alternative, DAX may remain range bound around 12200 searching for new direction.

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S&P500

Current situation

After a sell-off on Tuesday the index recovered some ground overnight. Buyers returned S&P500 in the familiar range. The benchmark traded between 2345 and 2357 the whole day. The resistance is at 2360, the support comes in at 2340.

Trading recommendations

A firm break below 2340 handle could trigger fresh weakness for attack at 2320.

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*Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

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TradeFort
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"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

17.04.2017

Euro

Current situation

After a sell-off on Thursday the single currency was trying to build a recovery on Friday. Sellers failed to break below 1.0600. As a result the price bounced off the level in the night and headed north during the day trades. EUR/USD reached 1.0625 in the late European session. The resistance is at 1.0650, the support comes in at 1.0600.

Trading recommendations

We expect to see renewed bearish pressure in the near term. A breakout of 1.0600 would aim for 1.0550. Meanwhile, the major is correcting heading towards 1.0650. A break here may prolong recovery up to 1.0675. A rebound here will return bearishness to the market.

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Pound

Current situation

The level 1.2500 stopped sellers on Thursday. The price bounced off the level in the Asian session on Friday and edged higher. The pound was growing the whole night and reached 1.2515 in the morning. The spot remained almost unmoved staying around recent highs later the day. The resistance lies at 1.2600, the support comes in at 1.2500.

Trading recommendations

As the most probable scenario, we consider further moving downwards towards the level at 1.2400.

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Yen

Current situation

The level 109.00 stopped sellers' further advance on Thursday. After a night flat around the handle sellers made another attempt to reclaim 109.00. They intensified pressure in the morning battling with the level the first part of the day. The resistance is highlighted at 110.00, the support comes in at 109.00.

Trading recommendations

The bearish momentum is likely to be regained. A downtrend will start as soon, as the pair gets below the support level 109.00.

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USD/CAD

Current situation

The upmove lacked momentum after touching 1.3330. The level rejected the price in the night. USD/CAD slightly eased in the Asian session and continued its slide during the day. The resistance is highlighted 1.3330, the support comes in at 1.3260.

Trading recommendations

The price eyes strong support at 1.3260 loss of which would trigger further weakness towards 1.3225.

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XAU/USD

Current situation

As the market was closed on Friday gold prices remained in a tight range around 1285. The resistance is highlighted 1290, the support comes in at 1280 dollars per ounce.

Trading recommendations

Once we break below the 1280 level, we think that the 1270 level will be next.

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Brent

Current situation

Oil market was closed amid Easter holidays. The price closed the week under pressure staying close to the lower limit of the ascending channel at 55.50 dollars per barrel. The resistance lies at 56.50, the support comes in at 55.50 dollars per barrel.

Trading recommendations

A break below 55.50 will suggest a further weakness towards 54.50 dollars per barrel.

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DAX

Current situation

European market was light on Friday amid Good Friday. DAX remained neutral-to-bearish staying in a tight range around 12100. The resistance is at 12200, the support comes in at 12100.

Trading recommendations

Firm break below 12100 handle would open 12000.

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S&P500

Current situation

Wall Street was closed amid Easter holidays. S&P500 preserved its undertone. After staying around 2340 the index moved lower and closed the week a few pips above 2320. The resistance is at 2340, the support comes in at 2320.

Trading recommendations

All eyes are right now at the support level 2320.

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*Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

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TradeFort
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"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

19.04.2017

Euro

Current situation

The EUR/USD pair remained confined within a 15-pips narrow range during the first part of the day. The euro was trying to gather an upside momentum. However, the level 1.0650 did not let buyers further. The spot was flirting with the level the whole night and the European session. The resistance is at 1.0650, the support comes in at 1.0600.

Trading recommendations

We believe the pair will remain in red figures. A move below 1.0600 would revive bearishness towards 1.0570.

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Pound

Current situation

GBP/USD maintained the bid tone in the Asian trade on Tuesday. The price started its rise from 1.2550 in the night and was able to reach 1.2600 by the morning. The pair found fresh offers around the hurdle. The pound bounced off the level post London open and moved downwards. The pair almost reached 1.2500 when the market turned bullish again. The pound rallied upwards, reversed its fresh losses and broke above 1.2600. The resistance lies at 1.2700, the support comes in at 1.2600.

Trading recommendations

If the major remains above 1.2600 buyers will lead the GBP/USD pair towards 1.2700.

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Yen

Current situation

Monday’s recovery stalled at 109.00. Buyers failed to reclaim the level. The price faced a downward rejection around the level and moved lower. The resistance is highlighted at 109.00, the support comes in at 108.00.

Trading recommendations

We still hold the view that the pair USD/JPY will remain offered in the short-term. Sellers will strive to return the major to 108.00.

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NZD/USD

Current situation

The NZD/USD pair remained neutral on Tuesday. The price stayed in a narrow range of 20 pips around 0.7000 during the first part of the day. Sellers pushed the price to the lower band in the night. Buyers made another attempt to continue recovery during the European hours. The resistance is highlighted 0.7050, the support comes in at 0.7000.

Trading recommendations

We cannot rule out the chance that the pair would try to get to the level at 0.7050 in the upcoming sessions.

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XAU/USD

Current situation

The bullish trend remained intact on Tuesday. The price bounced from the upper limit of an ascending channel around 1290 in the Asian session. The spot reached the lower limit at 1280 during the night. The downward impetus lost its leg around the handle. The yellow metal turned around and reversed the half of its losses by noon. The resistance is highlighted 1290, the support comes in at 1280 dollars per ounce.

Trading recommendations

As the most probable scenario, we consider further moving upwards towards the level at 1290 dollars per ounce.

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Brent

Current situation

Brent oil prices maintained its ask tone on Tuesday. The benchmark was neutral in the night. Traders became more active in the morning. The price moved from 55.50 and softened to 55.00 in the late European session. Sellers kept pushing the price lower afterwards and reached 54.50 ahead of the NY opening. The resistance lies at 55.50, the support comes in at 54.50 dollars per barrel.

Trading recommendations

Once we break below the 54.50 level, we think that the 53.50 level will be next.

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DAX

Current situation

A bearish tone prevailed on Tuesday. The price gapped higher at the open. The index jumped from 12100 to 12200 where the buying momentum faded. DAX turned bearish immediately after that and started to lose its positions. The benchmark was weakening the whole morning and reached 12000 at noon. The resistance lies at 12100, the support comes in at 12000 dollars per barrel.

Trading recommendations

The immediate risk is still clearly on the downside. All eyes are right now at the support level 12000. A break below the level will open the way towards 11900.

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S&P500

Current situation

Monday’s recovery stalled at 2347. The market turned bearish sending S&P500 to the downside. Sellers were gathering steam the whole night and regained control in the mornings. Bears moved the price lower in the European morning and broke the level 2340 in the late European session. Sellers did not stop after that and continued driving the benchmark south afterwards. The resistance is at 2340, the support comes in at 2320.

Trading recommendations

If S&P500 remains below 2340 the price may fall further that should send this market looking for the 2320 level.

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*Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

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TradeFort
  • Posts: 793
  • Joined: 14/05/2014
"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

20.04.2017

Euro

Current situation

The EUR/USD eased-off during the night trades amid the US dollar recovery. The recovery, however, was short-lived and ended in the morning when buyers returned. The price slightly grew and reversed all its night losses by the morning. The upward momentum disappeared in the mid European session. The price reversed its direction and moved towards 1.0700. The resistance is at 1.0750, the support comes in at 1.0700.

Trading recommendations

A growth above the 1.0750 level will favor an advance up to the 1.0800 region. However, inability to move higher may cause some profit-taking towards 1.0680.

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Pound

Current situation

After posting fresh highs the pound stepped back giving the way to the US dollar. The pair was declining the whole night and reached 1.2800 by noon. The resistance lies at 1.2900, the support comes in at 1.2800.

Trading recommendations

A sharp breakout above 1.2900 could spark a further incline towards 1.3000. However, the major is overbought and we expect a pull back and return to 1.2700.

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Yen

Current situation

The USD/JPY pair caught fresh bids in overnight markets. The spot bounced off 108.30 in the Asian session and headed upwards erasing all the night losses. The US dollar bulls continued pushing the major higher during the day trades and approached 109.00 in the late European session. The resistance is highlighted at 109.00, the support comes in at 108.00.

Trading recommendations

We will place buy orders if USDJPY does a breakout at the resistance level of 109.00. A rebound here will return the spot to its lows.

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USD/CAD

Current situation

The US dollar opened green against its Canadian peer. The US dollar was strengthening on Wednesday, sending USD/CAD to fresh 9-day highs. Buyers broke 1.3400 in the morning and led the major higher afterwards. The price reached 1.3420 in the late European session. The resistance is highlighted 1.3470, the support comes in at 1.3400.

Trading recommendations

We still hold the view that the pair USD/CAD will struggle to climb north of 1.3470. Buyers aimed at 1.3450 first and at 1.3470 secondly.

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XAU/USD

Current situation

Gold prices remained in a wide range between 1290 and 1280 dollars per ounce. The price reached the upper band of the channel on Tuesday. However, buyers failed to retake the level. Bears regained control on Wednesday sending the price to 1280, thus erasing all Tuesday’s gains. The resistance is highlighted 1290, the support comes in at 1280 dollars per ounce.

Trading recommendations

In order to recover some strength, XAU/USD needs to rise back and hold above 1290 dollars per ounce.

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Brent

Current situation

Brent oil prices opened in red figures and extended its downward bias a bit. Oil prices turned bullish in the mid-Asian session. The benchmark started to grow and reached 55.00 later the day. The resistance lies at 55.50, the support comes in at 54.50 dollars per barrel.

Trading recommendations

A close below the support at 54.50 could send oil price down to 53.50 dollars per barrel.

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DAX

Current situation

DAX was trying to recover on Wednesday. The index opened at 12000 and grew up to 12047 by noon. The resistance lies at 12100, the support comes in at 12000 dollars per barrel.

Trading recommendations

We believe the bearish trend will remain intact. When we break the level of 12000 the support 11900 will come back into play.

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NASDAQ

Current situation

NASDAQ gapped higher at the open on Wednesday. The index held a bullish tone afterwards. The benchmark continued moving higher the whole night and the morning and reached 5406 in the late European session. The resistance is at 5420, the support comes in at 5380.

Trading recommendations

If the upward pressure persists buyers will return NASDAQ above 5420.

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*Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

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TradeFort
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"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

24.04.2017

Euro

Current situation

After the recent sell-off the EUR/USD pair started a phase of downside consolidation. The spot found a decent support at 1.0700 and stayed around the level. Sellers seem to have started gathering steam for more downside action struggling with the handle. The resistance is at 1.0750, the support comes in at 1.0700.

Trading recommendations

We do not believe in a growth right now. The pair is likely to move downside. A breakout of 1.0700 would aim sellers for 1.0650.

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Pound

Current situation

The pound continued its neutral stance on Friday. The major traded around 1.2800 during the day which was well defended by buyers. Any sellers attempt to break below was neutralized for now. The resistance lies at 1.2900, the support comes in at 1.2800.

Trading recommendations

We cannot rule out the chance that sellers will break below 1.2800 any way. Bears will move the major to 1.2700 in this case.

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Yen

Current situation

The USD/JPY pair came under selling pressure after breaking above 109.00 and posting a weekly high at 109.47. The spot was weakening the whole night and the first part of the European session. Sellers moved the pair to 109.00 by noon. The resistance is highlighted at 110.00, the support comes in at 109.00.

Trading recommendations

A move below 109.00 would revive bearishness towards 108.00.

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NZD/USD

Current situation

Sellers managed to break 0.7000 and advanced to 0.6980 where USD/CAD found fresh bids. A fresh buying interest helped buyers to reverse a minor portion of their losses. The price returned above 0.7000 and reached 0.7012 in the mid-European session. The resistance is highlighted 0.7050, the support comes in at 0.7000.

Trading recommendations

We are bullish until 0.7000 stands. As the most probable scenario, we consider further moving upwards towards the level at 0.7050.

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XAU/USD

Current situation

Gold prices kept moving sideways on Friday. The price moved back and forth within a 30-pips narrow range. The resistance is highlighted 1290, the support comes in at 1280 dollars per ounce.

Trading recommendations

The bullish market structure remained intact any way. If the bullish tone persists we expect a growth to the level 1290 dollars per ounce.

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Brent

Current situation

Brent traded mostly sideways and the outlook for the day was mixed. The price was confined in a narrow range between 52.80 and 53.20 fluctuating up and down. The resistance lies at 53.50, the support comes in at 52.50 dollars per barrel.

Trading recommendations

We believe bears will remain in control. A fresh bout of selling pressure might force the price to resume its downward trajectory towards 51.50.

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DAX

Current situation

DAX had a negative start to the day. The price dropped to 12000 first which limited its further decline. The index turned around after testing the level and edged higher reversing its morning losses in the mid European session. DAX almost reached the opening price by noon. The resistance lies at 12100, the support comes in at 12000.

Trading recommendations

If the index manages to make a breakout of the 12100 mark the next target for this benchmark is the resistance level of 12200.

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NASDAQ

Current situation

NASDAQ maintained its positive bias on Friday. The index extended its gains in the Asian session and approached 5460 in the morning. Buyers failed to advance further and stopped. The resistance is at 5460, the support comes in at 5420.

Trading recommendations

The 5460 hurdle seems to be unbreakable barrier for the index. A break above the level will open the way for further advance. Above 5460, NASDAQ will likely target 5500 resistance. On the other hand, a failure here will make the price fall to 5420.

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*Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

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TradeFort
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"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

25.04.2017

Euro

Current situation

EUR/USD gapped higher to fresh 2017 highs at the open on Monday. The upward impetus lasted up to 1.0900 where it lost its legs. The spot weakened immediately after that and dropped to 1.0850. Sellers made an attempt to reclaim the level but failed as the handle was well defended by buyers. Sellers kept struggling for the level the first part of the day. The resistance is at 1.0900, the support comes in at 1.0850.

Trading recommendations

As the most probable scenario, we consider further moving downwards towards the level at 1.0800. We believe the euro may strive to fill the gap in the coming sessions. However, should buyers stay in a driver’s seat they will lead EUR/USD to 1.0900.

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Pound

Current situation

Despite a positive start the pound turned bearish afterwards. The major jumped higher at the open and reached 1.2835. However, the upward momentum faded after that. Sellers started to push the price lower in the Asian session and returned the pair to 1.2800. The Cable found fresh bids around the level and managed to reverse some night losses by noon. However, the overall picture remained the same in the first part of the day, the GBP/USD pair kept sideways trades. The resistance lies at 1.2900, the support comes in at 1.2800.

Trading recommendations

If sellers succeed to break the level 1.2800 the 1.2700 support seems the next probable bearish target.

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XAU/USD

Current situation

Gold prices had a negative start to the day. The price fell from 1284 to 1266 dollars per ounce. Sellers failed to maintain the ask tone and had to retreat. Buyers used that chance to erase some losses. However, they did not succeed pretty much. Sellers regained control in the mid-Asian session and returned the spot to 1270. The resistance is highlighted 1280, the support comes in at 1270 dollars per ounce.

Trading recommendations

After breaking 1270 the level of 1260 will come back to the radar.

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DAX

Current situation

DAX gapped higher at the open. The index maintained its bid tone afterwards and reached 12350. Buyers maintained control afterwards and reached 12400 by noon. The resistance lies at 12400, the support comes in at 12300.

Trading recommendations

All eyes are right now at the resistance level 12400.

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*Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

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TradeFort
  • Posts: 793
  • Joined: 14/05/2014
"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

01.05.2017

Euro

Current situation

After a night decline buyers seemed to have regained control in the morning. The pair found fresh bids around 1.0850 and quickly reversed the majority of its early losses. The spot was growing the whole morning and broke 1.0900 in the mid-European session. Buyers advanced further afterwards and tested 1.0950 in the late European session. All technical indicators were positive. The resistance is at 1.0950, the support comes in at 1.0900.

Trading recommendations

Bulls are back in town. Once we break above the 1.0900 level, we think that the 1.0950 level will be next.

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Pound

Current situation

Buyers took a pause during the night trades gathering steam for a new move higher. The morning brought fresh volatility to the market. Buyers continued their winning streak driving the pound higher. The major left 1.2900 and advanced to 1.2950. All technical indicators were positive. The resistance lies at 1.3000, the support comes in at 1.2900.

Trading recommendations

The pair may grow above the resistance level 1.3000 in the coming sessions. However, the hurdle may become an obstacle for the major. There is a possibility that the pair will bounce off the resistance after touching it.

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USD/JPY

Current situation

The USD/JPY pair was in a side-trend the first part of the day. The price was moving back and forth between 111.00 and 111.40. The technical indicators were mixed. The resistance lies at 112.00, the support comes in at 111.00.

Trading recommendations

Any move above 111.50 would increase chances of testing the 112.00 level. However, a weak US docket may send the price back to 110.00.

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AUD/USD


Current situation

AUD/USD remained flat on Friday. The price was fluctuating between 0.7450 and 0.7480 the first part of the day. The technical indicators were mixed. The resistance lies at 0.7500, the support comes in at 0.7450.

Trading recommendations

We believe the pair will remain in red figures. We await a break below 0.7450 to trigger another leg lower.

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XAU/USD

Current situation

Gold was flat on Friday. The spot was neutral-to-bullish the first part of the day. The technical indicators were mixed. The resistance is highlighted 1270, the support comes in at 1260 dollars per ounce.

Trading recommendations

A close above 1270 will generate fresh bullish signal for further advance, which could extend to 1280 barrier.

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Brent

Current situation

Brent bullish spike faded after the benchmark touched 52.00. The price reversed its direction after that and headed towards 51.50. All technical indicators were negative. The resistance is highlighted 52.50, the support comes in at 51.50 dollars per barrel.

Trading recommendations

A daily close below 51.50 would risk 50.50 dollars per barrel.

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DAX

Current situation

DAX continued its trades between 12500 and 12400. The price continued its slide after opening and reached 12400. The benchmark pulled back and returned to the opening prices after that. All technical indicators were mixed. MACD and RSI showed a correction while the EMAs gave us a buy signal. The resistance lies at 12500, the support comes in at 12400.

Trading recommendations

The price eyes strong support at 12400 loss of which would trigger further weakness towards 12350.

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NASDAQ

Current situation

NASDAQ was flat hovering above 5580 the first part of the day. The price was almost unmoved staying around 5590. All technical indicators were positive. The resistance lies at 5620, the support comes in at 5580.

Trading recommendations

We still hold the view that the price will struggle to climb north towards 5620.

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*Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

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TradeFort
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"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

02.05.2017

Euro

Current situation

The EUR/USD pair stayed around its local lows on Monday. The spot slightly weakened during the night trades. Sellers broke the 1.0900 support but failed to leave its region. The technical indicators were mixed. The EMAs gave us a buy signal while MACD and RSI pointed to a pull back. The resistance is at 1.0900, the support comes in at 1.0850.

Trading recommendations

The immediate risk is still clearly on the downside but we prefer to wait for a daily closing below 1.0850 before we continue selling.

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Pound


Current situation

The pound eased off from last week high as traders decided to book some profits. The major weakened to 1.2900 where the decline stalled. The technical indicators were mixed. The EMAs gave us a buy signal while MACD and RSI moved to the downside. The resistance lies at 1.3000, the support comes in at 1.2900.

Trading recommendations

A break below 1.2900 will show room for further downside. In this potential scenario sellers will push the spot to 1.2800.

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USD/JPY

Current situation

The pair held a bullish tone on Monday. A rebound from 111.20 lifted the spot out of the red. USD/JPY was growing the whole night and the morning. The pair approached 112.00 by noon. The technical indicators were positive. The 50-EMA crossed the 100-EMA upwards. MACD and RSI grew north. The resistance lies at 112.00, the support comes in at 111.00.

Trading recommendations

If the upward pressure persists a breakout of 112.00 would aim traders for 113.00.

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USD/CAD

Current situation

USD/CAD opened on a positive note on Monday. Buyers were driving the US dollar upwards the whole night and broke 1.3660 in the mid-Asian session. Buyers extended their gains up to 1.3686 afterwards where they lost steam. The spot stopped its advance and slightly eased. The technical indicators were positive. The resistance lies at 1.3680, the support comes in at 1.3610.

Trading recommendations

Above 1.3680, USD/CAD will likely target 1.3750 resistance.

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XAU/USD

Current situation

Gold failed to sustain Friday's recovery. The spot just tested 1270 and reversed its direction. The pair pulled back in the Asian night and reached 1260 in the mid-Asian session. The level limited sellers' advance who stopped at the level struggling hard to break it through afterwards. The technical indicators were mixed. The resistance is highlighted 1270, the support comes in at 1260 dollars per ounce.

Trading recommendations

A break below 1260 would open up the way for a move to 1250 dollars per ounce.

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Brent

Current situation

Brent gapped higher at the open on Monday. However, bulls failed to maintain the bid tone. Brent oil prices remained in a tight range between 51.50 – 51.70. The EMAs pointed to the downside while MACD and RSI were neutral. The resistance is highlighted 52.50, the support comes in at 51.50 dollars per barrel.

Trading recommendations

We expect to see renewed bearish pressure. After breaking 51.50 the level of 50.50 will come back to the radar.

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NASDAQ

Current situation

NASADQ remained in an upward channel on Monday. The price bounced from its lower limit at the open and reversed all its Friday’s losses. The technical indicators were positive. The resistance lies at 5620, the support comes in at 5580.

Trading recommendations

We preserve our bullish views. We believe the next level to focus on is 5620.

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*Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

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TradeFort
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"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

03.05.2017

Euro

Current situation

The EUR/USD pair feels comfortable around 1.0900. The price has been trading in the current range (1.0900 – 1.0920) about a week and seems to have no intentions to leave it. The spot grew to the upper limit of the sideways channel in the night. Buyers reached 1.0924 but failed to extend their gains afterwards. Buyers had to step away allowing the major to erase some night gains during the day trades. The resistance is at 1.0950, the support comes in at 1.0900.

Trading recommendations

As the most probable scenario, we expect range trading to be continued.

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Pound

Current situation

After posting fresh multi-month peaks on Friday the pound started the current week on the defensive. The US dollar weakness did not help the cable to extend its gains. The major stopped around 1.2900 and traded in a tight range around the handle during the day. Sellers attempted to leave the range in the morning. However, buyers stopped them and returned the price into the range. Technical indicators were mixed with the EMAs giving a positive signal while MACD and RSI gave a negative one. The resistance lies at 1.2900, the support comes in at 1.2800.

Trading recommendations

Buyers seem to be powerless and we do not see any chance they could push the price upwards. We believe the pair will keep losing ground and may reach 1.2800 soon. However, a further extension to 1.3000 is not ruled out, especially if we get strong UK data.

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USD/JPY

Current situation

USD/JPY had another positive day. Buyers broke 112.00 in the morning and advanced up to 112.50 by noon. The technical indicators showed a positive signal. The resistance lies at 113.00, the support comes in at 112.00.

Trading recommendations

The pair now has the potential to post more gains. The level of 113.00 is the next resistance and probable bullish target.

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AUD/USD

Current situation

The Aussie failed to continue its recovery on Tuesday. The major just tested 0.7550 in the Asians session and pulled back afterwards. The pair eased to 0.7530 in the European morning and stayed around the mark after that. A fresh bout of selling pressure emerged in the late European session. The price continued its weakness afterwards. The technical indicators were negative in the 4 hours chart. The resistance lies at 0.7550, the support comes in at 0.7500.

Trading recommendations

A renewed weakness below the 0.7500 handle is likely to accelerate the slide back towards 0.7450.

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XAU/USD

Current situation

The precious metal was neutral on Tuesday after Monday’s sell-off. The price stayed in a tight range around 1255 the first part of the day. The technical indicators gave unclear signals. The resistance is highlighted 1260, the support comes in at 1250 dollars per ounce.

Trading recommendations

We expect a breakout of the support level 1250 dollars per ounce and a move towards 1240 soon.

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Brent

Current situation

Brent was flat in its familiar range during Thursday. The benchmark spent the whole night at 51.50. Buyers regained control in the morning. The price jumped to the upper limit of the sideways channel late European session. Brent continued its growth ahead of the NY opening. The indicators gave mixed signals. The EMAs were negative while MACD and RSI gave us a buy signal. The resistance is highlighted 52.50, the support comes in at 51.50 dollars per barrel.

Trading recommendations

A move above 52.00 would indicate that immediate downward pressure eased. After a daily close above the mark we could see the benchmark extending up to the 52.50 region during the next days.

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DAX

Current situation

DAX gapped higher at the open. The index tested 12500 but failed to reclaim the hurdle. The price bounced from the level and eased to 12430 in the late European session. The benchmark spent the rest of the day around the mentioned mark. The indicators gave mixed signals.The resistance lies at 12500, the support comes in at 12400.

Trading recommendations

We believe the index will continue its side trades in the upcoming days.

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S&P500

Current situation

S&P500 traded in its side-trend on Tuesday. After reaching the upper boundary of the range the price stayed at fresh highs around 2385 before NY opening. The indicators gave mixed signals.The resistance lies at 2400, the support comes in at 2380.

Trading recommendations

All eyes are right now at the support level 2380. We believe the price will test the level in the short-term

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*Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

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TradeFort
  • Posts: 793
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"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

05.05.2017

Euro

Current situation

The upbeat tone after the FOMC meeting on Wednesday helped the US dollar to recover some ground. However, its winning streak did not last long. Sellers were stopped at 1.0880 where the major found fresh bids. A soft tone around the US dollar helped the single currency to regain 1.0900 on Thursday. The euro reversed all its early losses by noon setting European session high at 1.0940. The technical indicators were positive in the 4 hours chart. The resistance is at 1.0950, the support comes in at 1.0900.

Trading recommendations

An uptrend will be revived as soon, as the EUR/USD pair rises above the resistance level 1.0950.

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Pound

Current situation

Sellers’ attack was stopped at 1.2824 post-European open. The pound reversed its direction afterwards and returned to 1.2900 post London open. The level stopped buyers who stayed below the level till the NY opening. The technical indicators were positive in the 4 hours chart. The resistance lies at 1.2900, the support comes in at 1.2800.

Trading recommendations

A cut through 1.2900 will turn our attention to the 1.2950 mark.

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USD/JPY

Current situation

The pressure around the yen lifted the USD/JPY pair to fresh multi-week tops on Thursday. The upward trajectory stopped at 112.75 where the major spent the whole night and the morning. Buyers managed tp test the 113.00 ahead of the NY opening. According to the 4 hours chart the technical indicators were positive. The resistance lies at 113.00, the support comes in at 112.00.

Trading recommendations

If bulls retain control the USD/JPY pair may break above 113.00 in the coming sessions. The next level to focus on is 113.50.

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USD/CAD

Current situation

The US dollar momentum began to fade around 1.3750. Buyers did not find any reason to move the spot higher. Bulls have tried to reclaim the level several times this week. However, all their attempts have been unsuccessful. The price bounced off the upper limit of the upward channel in the early European trades and eased to its lower one by noon. Buyers reversed all early losses in the late European session. The indicators gave mixed data. The moving averages continued their bullish slope while MACD and RSI moved lower. The resistance lies at 1.3750, the support comes in at 1.3680.

Trading recommendations

The bullish momentum is likely to be regained. Our profit targets will be 1.3750 and 1.3820 in this scenario.

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XAU/USD

Current situation

Bulls failed to sustain a night recovery. Buyers managed to return the price to 1240 where the spot ran through fresh offers. A bout of fresh selling pressure emerged in the morning dragging the XAU/USD pair downwards. The yellow metal softened and posted a session low at 1232. The indicators gave negative signals in the 4 hours timeframe. The resistance is highlighted 1240, the support comes in at 1230 dollars per ounce.

Trading recommendations

A clear break below 1230 would indicate that the bearish phase has resumed. The level 1220 is the next sellers’ target.

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Brent

Current situation

Brent remained under heavy selling pressure on Thursday. Sellers finally reclaimed 50.50 after a week of fight. The benchmark extended its decline after that heading towards 50.00 dollars per barrel. The indicators gave negative signals in the 4 hours chart. The resistance is highlighted 50.50, the support comes in at 49.50 dollars per barrel.

Trading recommendations

The level of 49.50 as the next intraday support and probable bearish target.

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DAX

Current situation

DAX opened bullish on Thursday. The index jumped to fresh weekly high in the morning. Buyers tested the level 12600 and broke the resistance immediately after that. The benchmark continued its growth during the European session. The technical indicators were positive. The resistance lies at 12700, the support comes in at 12600.

Trading recommendations

We still hold the view that the index will struggle to climb north of 12600. We believe buyers aim at 12700 now.

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S&P500

Current situation

S&P500 remained in a familiar trading range on Thursday. The index has been staying between 2380 and 2390 for a week. The price bounced off the lower limit of the side-trend on Wednesday and rallied to its upper one during the night and morning trades. Buyers were struggling hard to break above 2390 during the late European hours. The technical indicators were positive in the 4 hours chart. The resistance lies at 2400, the support comes in at 2380.

Trading recommendations

If a bullish tone persists we expect a breakout of the level 2400 in the upcoming hours.

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*Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

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TradeFort
  • Posts: 793
  • Joined: 14/05/2014
"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

09.05.2017

Euro

Current situation

The positive news from the Euroland failed to sustain a bid tone in the market. The pair gapped upwards at the open and set a daily high at 1.1020 when the market changed its sentiment. The major started losing ground and broke 1.1000 immediately after the gap. Sellers were pushing the price lower the first part of the day and reached 1.0950 by noon. The moving averages gave us a buy signal while MACD and RSI showed buyers’ strength weakening in the4 hours chart. The resistance is at 1.1000, the support comes in at 1.0950.

Trading recommendations

The trend is still bullish. We wait to buy on a dip now. A sustained break above the 1.1000 region is seen as minimum requirement needed to confirm bullish resumption. In this scenario, buyers may lead prices towards 1.1050.

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Pound

Current situation

The GBP/USD remained in bulls' hands on Monday. Buyers held the pair around its fresh high close to 1.3000 in the Asian and European sessions. The technical indicators remained positive in the 4 hours chart. The resistance lies at 1.3000, the support comes in at 1.2900.

Trading recommendations

Buyers seem to be unable to drive the Forex pair higher. We expect some side-trend or a brief softening before bulls gather enough steam for a new leg higher. A breakout of 1.3000 would aim us for 1.3100.

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USD/JPY

Current situation

The pair extended its upward trajectory in the night trades. Buyers reached last week peaks and lost their strength. The pair was pulling back the whole night and met the morning at 112.50. Sellers stopped there and waited for fresh drivers. The technical indicators were mixed. The resistance lies at 113.00, the support comes in at 112.00.

Trading recommendations

If the bullish tone persists we expect a breakout of the level 113.00 soon.

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NZD/USD

Current situation

After a short-lived drop sub-0.6900 level at the open the market turned positive. The price returned above 0.6900 in the early Asian session and rallied towards 0.6950 afterwards. The buying momentum faded in the morning when the major almost reached 0.6950. The price remained around the hurdle till the NY opening. According to the 4 hours chart the technical indicators were mixed. The resistance lies at 0.6950, the support comes in at 0.6900.

Trading recommendations

Any move above the immediate resistance would increase chances of testing the 0.7000 mark.

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XAU/USD

Current situation

The bullish spike in the Asian session lost its legs at 1234. Bears regained control after that and returned gold prices to 1230. The precious metal spent the day struggling with the handle. All the indicators remained in the red in the 4 hours chart. The resistance is highlighted 1240, the support comes in at 1230 dollars per ounce.

Trading recommendations

In view of the oversold conditions a move above 1235 is not ruled out. A failure here will weigh on the metal sending the price to 1220 dollars per ounce.

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Brent

Current situation

Brent oil prices gave up their recent gains in the Asian session. Sellers dragged the price below 49.50 and kept on pushing the benchmark lower the whole night. Brent continued to trade in the negative ground during the European session. The price reached 49.00 by noon. The technical indicators remained negative in the 4 hours chart. The resistance is highlighted 49.50, the support comes in at 48.50 dollars per barrel.

Trading recommendations

The oil prices might extend their losses towards 48.50 dollars per barrel.

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DAX

Current situation

DAX gapped lower at the open and extended its bearishness afterwards. Sellers led the index to 12700 which limited their advance. The moving averages maintained their bullish slope while MACD and RSI moved to the downside. The indicators were mixed in the 4 hours chart. The resistance lies at 12700, the support comes in at 12600.

Trading recommendations

The nearest target remains the resistance level of 12800.

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S&P500

Current situation

S&P500 had a positive start to the day. Buyers pierced 2400 at the open. The index reversed its direction right after that. The price returned below the just broken level and headed lower in the Asian session. The benchmark extended its losses during the European hours. The index found a decent support at 2390 where it stayed before the NY opening. The technical indicators gave us mixed signals. The resistance lies at 2400, the support comes in at 2380.

Trading recommendations

We maintain our bullish outlook. A break above 2400 would open the way to 2420.

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*Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

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TradeFort
  • Posts: 793
  • Joined: 14/05/2014
"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

22.05.2017

Euro

Current situation

The single currency returned to a growth again. The pair bounced from 1.1100 in the morning and reversed the majority of its losses by noon. The pair touched 1.1150 in the mid-European session and was trying to retake the level the rest of the session. The resistance is at 1.1150, the support comes in at 1.1100.

Trading recommendations

As the most probable scenario, we consider further moving upwards towards the level at 1.1200.

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Pound

Current situation

The pound opened green against the dollar on Friday. The major negated Thursday’s losses heading towards 1.3000. The cable broke the level in the mid-European session but failed to advance further. The resistance lies at 1.3000, the support comes in at 1.2900.

Trading recommendations

If bulls remain in the driver’s seat we cannot rule out the chance that the pair would try to get to the level at 1.3100.

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USD/JPY

Current situation

The recovery from 111.00 stalled at 111.70 and USD/JPY turned neutral on Friday. The price stayed in a narrow flat between 111.15 – 111.70 the Asian and the European sessions. The resistance lies at 112.00, the support comes in at 111.00.

Trading recommendations

If the pair manages to make a breakout of the 112.00 mark the next target for this pair is the resistance level of 113.00.

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NZD/USD

Current situation

Buyers managed to stop decline when the downward pressure lost steam at 0.6800. Bulls made a weak attempt to regain control in the morning pushing the spot to 0.6900. However, sellers were strong enough to return the price below the level. The resistance lies at 0.6900, the support comes in at 0.6850.

Trading recommendation

A consolidation below 0.6900 will confirm sellers’ strength. Our profit target will be 0.6850 in this case.

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XAU/USD

Current situation

The pair sharply dropped on Thursday. However, the spot remained in a near-term upward channel. Gold prices just tested the lower limit of the channel. Buyers were struggling to build a recovery on Friday and managed to reverse a minor portion of their fresh losses by the late European session. The resistance is highlighted 1260, the support comes in at 1250 dollars per ounce.

Trading recommendations

A clear break above 1255 would indicate that the bullish phase has resumed. Bulls will try to regain 1260 first to lead the price to 1270 afterwards.

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Brent

Current situation

Brent maintained its bid tone on Friday. The price grew to 53.30 where the benchmark faced some downward rejection. The resistance is highlighted 53.50, the support comes in at 52.50 dollars per barrel.

Trading recommendations

The oil price now has the potential to post more gains. The next probable bullish target is 53.50.

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DAX

Current situation

DAX was neutral on Friday. The price stayed in a tight range 12600 – 12630 the first part of the day. The resistance lies at 12700, the support comes in at 12600.

Trading recommendations

A break above 12650 will show room for further upside. The index may reclaim the 12700 level in the coming sessions.

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NASDAQ

Current situation

NASDAQ had a positive start to the day. The price pushed away from 5620 and edged higher. Bulls managed to lead the index to 5640 where they lost strength. The resistance lies at 5660, the support comes in at 5620.

Trading recommendations

If the index stays below 5660 sellers may lead the price to 5620.

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*Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

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TradeFort
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"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

25.05.2017

XAUUSD.

Within the yesterday session the gold price were rapidly changing and then finally reached the level of 1255. By this gold made influence on the velocity making a good sign after the recent impulse. Resistance is hold at 1265, support comes in at - 1245.

Trading recommendations.

Long term goal is set at 1300. If the price goes down, the target point would be at 1265 level.

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Brent.

During the day Brent lose its positions but then formed a good supportive candle. It's quiet hard to follow up Brent now since everyone awaits for general OPEC announcement. Resistance saves at 54.60, support comes in at 54.30

Trading recommendations.

There's uncertainty for the forecasts due to OPEC forthcoming decision. Friday will show us the direction.

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DAX

DAX faced strange influences due to initial gap lowering, filling these gaps and then bouncing to the higher rates. Resistance is hold at 12650, support comes in at 12500.

Trading recommendations.

Due to this tendency we could meet the price growth up to the 12750 level.

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NASDAQ.

NASDAQ continues to doing better rather than the other US indexes. Buying remains to the best decision concerning the index. Resistance is hold at 5715, support comes in at 5700.

Trading recommendations.


If the price gets over 5720 mark, it would be a good tendency for getting higher and higher.

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EURUSD.

EURUSD has corrected its position within 24 hours and got below 1.1200 level. We've seen an attempt to get to higher ranges but it went downwards. Resistance saves at 1.1180, support comes in at 1.1120.

Trading recommendations.

Due to the dollar strengthen the price could be going lower to 1.1120 point.

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USDJPY.

USDJPY met the unexpected issues on Tuesday since traders reproached the confidence in US ability to achieve its economical agenda. Resistance is hold at 112.788, support comes in at 112.300.

Trading recommendations.

Current situation placed Yen in between area of 112.3 and 112.8 hence it could encourage buying opportunity

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NZDUSD.

New Zealand rose higher than US dollar earlier but then moved downwards hence making the traders willing to earn. Resistance is hold at 0.7020, support comes in at 0.7000.

Trading recommendations.

NZDUSD seems to fall under pressure on Wednesday by the news around China that could stimulate further selling of the currency.

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GBPUSD.

Great Britain pound follows up its lowering trend manner and making a hard time for bullish traders by such tendencies. Resistance is hold at 1.2980, support comes in at 1.2950.

Trading recommendations.

Recent Manchester's terrorist attack influenced on the pound too besides other news. Some price lowering could expected in near time.

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*Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

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TradeFort
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"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

29.05.2017

EURUSD

EURUSD kept its positions despite both the dollar raising and other currencies fallings during the last session recovering its economic strength. Resistance is hold at 1.1230, support comes in at 1.1210.

Trading recommendations

As there's a lack of important news to come due to the month end it's expected to keep the current pair volatility in short term.

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GBPUSD

GBPUSD faced the volatility in previous session as it rushed straight to 1.300 range and then got lower within the day. UK leaving from EU still goes on and spreads it influence on the pair. Resistance is hold at 1.2940, support comes in at 1.2900.

Trading recommendations

Current volatility seems to continue follow its direction. Due to the tendency of going to high ranges it's good to trade on long-terms

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USDJPY

Japanese Yen was crawling to the high top within most part of Thursday as the bullish moods were prevailing that day. Resistances saves at 111.8, support comes in at 111.2.

Trading recommendations

If the breakout will be lower than 111 level, the bulls are good to go. Don’t forget to monitor the other Jen-connected markets.

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NZDUSD

As the US-dollar-based investors gave the positive feedback on FED's cutting down its budget New Zealand dollar ended session at lower range against US one. Resistance is hold at 0.7040, support comes in at 0.7010.

Trading recommendations

If the price gets over the 0.698 level the market could get lower up to 0.695. Short-term trades seem to be good ones here.

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Brent

After OPEC disappointing announcement on Thursday on further production cuts Brent slightly moved lower at the end of session. Resistance is hold at 51.8, support comes in at 51.00

Trading recommendations

It's most likely that Brent contract is in its short-term and might move its range at 51 or even go below its range.

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XAUUSD

Gold seemed to surprise everyone by its yesterday's closing despite the dollar strengthen and oil prices lowering. Resistance is hold at 1265, support comes in at 1249.

Trading recommendations

Going below 1260 level shows the prevailing of the bulls while going over 1268 range will indicate the strengthening of bears positions.

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DAX

DAX at beginning of Thursday's session reached the level of 12700 and during the session moved backwards to 12550. Resistance is hold at 12600, support comes in at 12500.

Trading recommendations

As for today no important news looms on the horizon today therefore we could expect some further consolidation and range widening on DAX.

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NASDAQ

NASDAQ rose straight to the top and continues to keep the leadership amongst other US indexes. It seems that the next goal is achieving of 5800 range. Resistance is hold at 5785, support comes in at 5760.

Trading recommendations

Short-term trading seems to continue prevailing here, so the bullish mood is still in majority here.

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*Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

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TradeFort
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"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

30.05.2017

EURUSD

EURUSD is going to be in consolidative mode due to China, USA and UK holidays today as well as both liquidity and volatility lowering is expected. Resistance is at 1.1200, support is at 1.1160.

Trading recommendations.

This week seems to be interesting due to the end current and beginning of a new moth. As for today there’s no important news to come.

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GBPUSD

Last week was pretty varying for the pound but even though the 1.3030 wasn't achieved. Big influence on pair is having the end of the month and it's not clear yet whether it going to last for the next few days or not. Resistance is hold at 1.2840, support comes in at 1.2800

Trading recommendations.

Since US and UK both having holidays today there isn't that much to expect on the market.

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USDJPY

No big movement is expected due to holidays in US, Britain and China on Japanese Yen today. It's also could be considered as a silent pause before the upcoming blizzard of number of important announcements and news in USA. Resistance is hold at 111.4, support comes in at 111.2.

Trading recommendations.

Yen could continue following its vector if the number of issues around Trump will continue to grow

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NZDUSD

New Zealand used to be the last week top currency due to the number of local developments and global environment the pair gained the current position. Resistance is hold at 0.7075, support comes in at 0.7040

Trading recommendations.

As well as the rest of US dollar dependent currency the volatility and liquidity could be lower than usually by NZDUSD

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DAX

DAX keeps holding near 12550 as the buying support level. There was a number of sellers' attempts to come over that range but without success yet. Resistance is hold at 12600, support comes in at 12570.

Trading recommendations.

As the US and England are having holiday today the lower volatility and liquidity is expected here.

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NASDAQ

NASDAQ didn't change its ranges cardinally during last session. Looks like the market wills to follow up the upwards direction. Resistance saves at 5800, support comes in at 5795.

Trading recommendations.

Currently there's no big need in selling due to the unchanged ranges of the index.

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BRENT

Last week OPEC's and others giants' announcement was met as the disappointing one as the bulls wanted the deeper cuts than just an extension. Resistance is hold at 52.3, support comes in at 51.9.

Trading recommendations.

For Brent oil the key area to look for is amongst from 51.1 to even up to 50.2.

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XAUUSD

Right after the number of floating sessions during the last week the traders finally moved gold price right to the highest level since May. Resistance is hold at 1268.8, support comes in at 1265.2

Trading recommendations.

Due to the vocation of US, UK and China traders there could be a major move as well as volatility growth.

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*Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

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TradeFort
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"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

31.05.2017

EURUSD

EURUSD had pretty calm session yesterday except for Draghi's speech that took place at evening and didn't have that much influence on pair. Resistance is hold at 1.1165, support comes in at 1.1115.

Trading recommendations.

As for today there is the important news coming from Germany and US that could add volatility to the market.

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GBPUSD

GBPUSD is likely the only one pair that has some volatility yesterday. Despite all holidays the pair moved straight and crossed the 40 pips upwards. Resistance is hold at 1.2865, support comes in at 1.2800.

Trading recommendations.

In case the price goes over 1.290 level that would be the sign of the bullish mood prevailing in the market.

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USDJPY

USDJPY is going to be under the pressure due to the rumors around another Greek bailout, speech of Draghi and forthcoming Italian elections. Resistance is hold at 111.3, support comes in at 110.9

Trading recommendations.

Today the US dollar investors will set the further vector for Japanese Yen due the number of upcoming USA economical announcements.

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NZDUSD

After reaching the most high point since March yesterday New Zealand dollar moved downwards. Due to this it's needed to point out that selling is more preferable here rather than buying. Resistance is hold at 0.7055, support comes in at 0.7040

Trading recommendations.

NZD/USD is currently showing its reaction on EU Central Bank President Draghi and awaiting for the investors' reaction on the upcoming US reports

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DAX

On Monday DAX was having pretty quiet session initially moving lower but then back to previously achieved range. Previously started consolidation seems to continue. Resistance is hold at 12640, support comes in at 12570.

Trading recommendations.

In case the current consolidation remains the price easily could move over 12700 level.

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BRENT

Brent has moved upwards as well yesterday reaching out the 52.5 level. Now it seems that the price is going to move further to the top ranges. Resistance is hold at 52.2, support comes in at 51.8

Trading recommendations.


First key target look like 53 point and if it'll be reached the price could continue going even up to 54.5 level.

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NASDAQ

NASDAQ was off trading yesterday due to the holidays as well. As for today it looks like if the price breaks through 5800 level the index will just continue going higher. Resistance is hold at 5790, support comes in at 5785.

Trading recommendations.

Market seems to reach and come over 6000 range hence it's good opportunity for long-term trading.

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XAUUSD

Despite the getting stronger american dollar Gold continues to enhance and strengthen its positions. It's connected to the Monday's revealing on Greece loan issues. Resistance is hold at 1270, support comes in at 1263

Trading recommendations.

As the gold holds the range above 1265 gold will follow the heightening tendency, if the price gets lower 1259 that'll be the start of weakening.

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*Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

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TradeFort
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"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

01.06.2017

EURUSD

Due to the dollar setback because of recent PCE date that was weaker than expected as a result Euro moved straight upwards reaching 1.12 range. Resistance is hold at 1.119, support comes in at 1.117.

Trading recommendations.

Today is last day of the month and FED's members speeches are to be announced therefore the market volatility growth is expected.

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GBPUSD

On Tuesday after revealing the fact that US inflation continues in soft mode moving the dollar positions backwards the British pound rose to 1.288 and then went lower at end of session. Resistance is hold at 1.286, support comes in at 1.280

Trading recommendations.

Since today we have no upcoming UK-based news and it is the last day of the month so the end month money flows might hold GBPUSD under the pressure

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USDJPY

Yesterday the investors didn't react that much on US economic news. Japanese Yen has strengthened its positions as there were no general changes in Bank of Japan policy. Resistance is hold at 111.2, support comes in at 110.8

Trading recommendations

As for today there's a number of minor announcements is expected only. The investors seem to wait for the major US Non-Farm Payrolls reports set on Friday

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NZDUSD

New Zealand dollar was boosted by the comments of Graeme Wheeler of Reserve Bank of New Zealand as the positive reaction followed due to the domestic monetary system's risks receding. Resistance is hold at 0.7115, support comes in at 0.7090.

Trading recommendations.

Wheeler announcements could continue pulling NZDUSD through US session, especially in case the range of 0.7118 will be reached that could lead to the breakout.

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BRENT

Brent felt during Tuesday's session reaching the range of 52.5 prior to this. Then it continued going downwards. Resistance is hold at 51.8 , support comes in at 50.3

Trading recommendations.

Further price direction will be defined depending on the markets reaction on both weekly and monthly supplies. In case the price gets over 52.2 level that could be defined as the bullish sign setting the price to the higher level.

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DAX

Right after correction and lowering down to 12550 DAX rushed straight upwards to the range of 12800. Currently DAX continues to consolidate without any pointable changes. Resistance is hold at 12690, support comes in at 12600.

Trading recommendations.

In case the break over 12700 level happens and continue going to 13000 level that shows that the bulls are good to go.

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XAUUSD

Yesterday's reports seem to continue having influence on Gold but what could stop current losses is the forthcoming news such as the US payrolls repots planned on Friday. Resistance is hold at 1265, support comes in at 1259.

Trading recommendations.

Since there is no any kind of major and important news set for today, everyone is waiting for Friday to come giving some clarification on further plans.
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*Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

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TradeFort
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"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

15.06.2017

EURUSD

EURUSD spent last day in a pretty quiet mode awaiting for the today's Federal Reserve meeting results. Due to this that market could be silent within the next session. Resistance is hold at 1.122, support comes in at 1.119.

Trading recommendations.

In case the current consolidation is over the further move above the 1.15 range that used be to the massive resistive level previously.

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GBPUSD

GBPUSD was making a rally on the last session meeting the barrier closer to of 1.275 that used to be the resistive one and now became the supportive level. Resistance is hold at 1.2755, support comes in at 1.2650.

Trading recommendations.

In case the price goes over the 1.276 that will show us the sing for the buying. If take a look at the other scenario in case the price won't get through that range that gives us the opportunity for selling.

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USDJPY

US dollar tried to chase the Japanese Yen during the last day but without much success as everyone waits for Federal Reserve meeting planned for today. Taking into account that fact that gap is filled then further upward move is possible. Resistance is hold at 110.2, support comes in at 109.8.

Trading recommendations.

Looks as tomorrow the price might start going upwards breaking through the 111 range. For long-terms despite the current volatility the target point seems to be the 114 range.

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NZDUSD

NZDUSD did grow on the last session reaching the new ranges leaving its previous supportive level at the 0.72. This pair seems to be able to easily going upwards more soon. Resistance is hold at 0.7225, support comes in at 0.721.

Trading recommendations.

For long-terms the next stop point looks as the 0.75. Keeping in mind the fact of New Zealand dollar direct dependence on the commodities it's required to follow both markets in case of own trading safety.

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DAX

DAX was moving tomorrow under the pressure of bulls that's here for the few past months getting to its top range that is at the 12800. Resistance is hold at 12800, support comes in at 12760.

Trading recommendations.

In the matter of time the price looks like to be aimed for move towards the 13000 range due to that the bulls are the one to go that market currently.

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BRENT

On Tuesday Brent oil moved lower at opening found the support at the 48 and then reached the range of 49 after the bouncing at the end of the day. Resistance is hold at 48.8, support comes in at 47.9.

Trading recommendations.

In case the price gets over the 49 the further move up to the 50 is possible giving the opportunities for the bears. For short-terms the market looks to be aimed for the uptrend move.

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XAUUSD

Gold opened last day by lowering and then receiving the support at range of 1260, bounced a bit clearly showing that the bulls are here to stay. Resistance comes in at 1268, support comes in at 1260.

Trading recommendations.

Looks like XAUUSD tends to be bullish-mostly hence the price could run upwards the range 1290 and above. The one that used to be the resistive range previously.

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NASDAQ

NASDAQ did the break up to the tops on last session demonstrating its intention of the further growth. Resistance is hold at 5765, support comes in at 5745.

Trading recommendations.

In case the uptrend spike appears suddenly on next session then short positions will be more suitable here. Next target looks like to be set at the range of 6000.

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*Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

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TradeFort
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"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

20.06.2017


EURUSD

EURUSD spent last week in varying modes, reached the range of 1.13 and then moved lower than 1.11. Resistance is hold at 1.20, support comes in at 1.14.

Trading recommendations.

If the break lower than 1.11 happens the next target seems to be at 1.10. Otherwise if the price gets up to 1.13 then the potential growth to the 1.15 is possible.

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GBPUSD

GBPUSD got lower on last week getting under the range of 1.27 but then bounced upside and ended last day at the 1.3050. Resistance is hold at 1.280, support comes in at 1.275.

Trading recommendations.

The potential target in case of upside movements looks as the 1.345 breaking through which might send the price up further. In case of fall the price could get lower the 1.3050.

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NZDUSD

NZDUSD moved straight upwards on last week reaching the range of 0.73 and stopped there found that range too resistive. Resistance is hold at 0.725 , support comes in at 0.72.

Trading recommendations.

If the fall takes place the further move below the 0.7 is quite possible soon sending the market to its floor rates.

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USDJPY

USDJPY spent most part of last week going lower then met the supportive range at 110. Getting through that level will definitely show the intention of upward move. Resistance is hold at 111.4,support comes in at 110.7.

Trading recommendations.

After reaching the first point set at 112 the next one looks as to be set near the 115 or a bit higher.

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DAX

DAX continued going the same direction as well demonstrating its volatility. 12500 seems to offer good support level being the resistance previously. Resistance is hold at 12760, support comes in at 12710.

Trading recommendations.

Look as that market builds the way for the further upward move sending itself to the higher ranges. If the break over the 13000 happens the price will definitely go higher giving the way for long-terms to go.

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XAUUSD

XAUUSD made attempts of going higher finding the level of 1275 hard to get through and ended weak at negative candle. Looks as that market is under control of buyers mostly currently. Resistance is hold at 1256, support comes in at 1252.

Trading recommendations.

If fall over the 1250 takes place then it looks as the price will seek upline under this range. If gold gets over 1300 that gives us the sing of further upwards growth then.

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BRENT

Brent market was trying to get to its top ranges on last week at end moved down to the 47. Resistance is hold at 47.6, support comes in at 46.8.

Trading recommendations.

A break through the 50 looks as possible one. If we'll face it in fact the situation on that market will be completely changed.

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NASDAQ

NASDAQ was going in varying mode testing different ranges and closed last week at the range under 5700. Resistance is hold at 5720, support comes in at 5660.

Trading recommendations.

Market looks as to be aimed on reaching the 5900 once again with the further possible getting up to 6000 as good level for long-terms.

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*Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

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TradeFort
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"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

28.06.2017

EURUSD

The EUR/USD is surging on Tuesday after European Central Bank President Mario Draghi said there are clear signs of a “strengthening and broadening” recovery underway in the Euro Zone. The pair went back and forth initially before finding areas of resistance. After a while, the pair dropped down to support underneath due to the USD gains. Traders can expect a lot of market volatility to continue as the central bank members are scheduled to make more speeches today.
If the market could break above the 1.13 level, the market should then go to the 1.15 level above. That is a massive barrier on the longer-term charts, as we have been consolidating between the 1.05 level on the bottom and the 1.15 level on the top over the last 3 years.

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GBPUSD

The pair initially went higher before settling down to support areas. The market continues to be under immense pressure and shows a lot of volatility as the dollar has gained from last evening on some strong durable goods data. Traders should also pay close attention to the Brexit negotiations, as it will decide the course of the pound in the time ahead.
The market will find plenty of reasons to be volatile. If the market can break to the upside, that should send this market towards the 1.28 handle, and perhaps a break above there. A break above there should send this market to the 1.30 level.

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USDJPY

The pair dropped down to areas of support underneath and is expected to rally further in the time ahead. The dollar looks positive with the US durable goods strong data, Fed Reserve’s interest rates outlook for this year and the US Stock indices performance. Traders can expect a bullish trend of the market in the longer term.
The market looks likely to go looking for the 112-level given enough time, but it of course will be very choppy as this market is volatile in general. Federal Reserve raising interest rates over the longer term will of course keep this market positive, and it is risk sensitive.

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AUDUSD

The pair continued to rally further and remained quite firm. With the Chinese Industrial Profits coming in steady, the Australian dollar gained momentum. The transport and petrochemical industrial sectors performed the best, with profits coming in at 16.7 percent and going above expectations. In the long term, the market might continue to move higher and remain bullish.

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*Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

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TradeFort
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"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

04.07.2017


EUR/USD


After finding an obstacle at 1.1450 last week EUR/USD turned bearish. The pair extended its weakness on Monday. Sellers broke 1.1400 in the night and headed towards 1.1350. The resistance is at 1.1400, the support comes in at 1.1350.

The pair is still in an upward channel. The current decline we consider corrective. The spot may reach 1.1350-1.1330 where we expect it to bounce upwards.

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GBP/USD

The pound traded mixed the recent days. Inability to break above 1.3000 made buyers give up their gains to take some profit. The pair started the day above 1.3000 and went down immediately after opening. The cable broke the level 1.3000 during European morning trade and moved lower after that. The resistance lies at 1.3000, the support comes in at 1.2900.

The bullish momentum is likely to be regained. However, we believe the pound needs to gather some steam before keep growing. The pair may decline to 1.2940-1.2900 in the coming sessions.

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USD/JPY

The pair managed to reverse all last week losses on Monday. Buyers found support at 112.00 where they found strength to grow again. USD/JPY was positive the first part of the day and was able to reach 113.00 by noon. The resistance lies at 113.00, the support comes in at 112.00.

We believe the pair will remain in bulls' hands. If buyers break above 113.00 the way towards 113.50 will be open.

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GBP/JPY

The GBP/JPY remained in a near-term upward channel on Monday. Buyers advanced to 147.00 in the morning session but lost strength and turned to the downside. After posting the session high at 146.82 the price stepped back to 146.50 where bulls regained control pushing the pair to 147.00. The resistance lies at 147.00, the support is at 146.00.

We believe the pair will remain positive. A move above 147.00 would revive bullishness towards 148.00.

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EUR/JPY

The pair found strong resistance at the level of 128.50. The spot failed to advance beyond the level and stayed around it. The resistance lies at 128.50, the support lies in at 128.00.

EUR/JPY is having difficulties to go any higher right now. However, the trend is bullish. A break above the current resistance will suggest further strengthening towards 129.00.

Уровень 128.50 стал на пути покупателей. Выше него цена не смогла пойти и оставалась в районе отметки в течение дня. Сопротивление расположено на 128.50, поддержкой выступает уровень 128.00.

Несмотря на трудности, тренд остается восходящим. Считаем, что уровень 128.50 будет пройдет и актив двинется к 129.00.

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NZD/USD

Buyers failed to extend their gains on Monday. The pair just retested 0.7350 in the Asian session and reversed its direction afterwards. Sellers seized control and were pushing the price lower the first part of the day. NZD/USD reached 0.7300 in the mid-European session. The resistance exists at 0.7350, the support stands at 0.7300.

The pair is still in an upward channel. The spot touched the lower limit of the ascending channel. If the pressure persists the price may reclaim 0.7300 and test 0.7250. Anyway, we are bullish near term and do not believe the current weakness will last long.

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XAU/USD

The tone is still negative in the market. Bears broke 1240 in the Asian session and pushed the spot lower after that. The yellow metal continued going down the night and the morning and reached 1235 by noon. The resistance exists at 1240, the support stands at 1230 dollars per ounce.

The precious metal broke a strong support 1240. That means the current bearishness will last for a while. Sellers aim at 1230 now. A successful break below the level could spark a further decline to 1220 dollars per ounce.

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Brent

Brent gapped higher at the daily open on Monday. The price jumped from 47.86 to 48.93 dollars per barrel. Buyers managed to extend their gains up to 49.14 when they lost steam. Sellers returned to the market after that. The benchmark started to lose ground and reached 48.50 ahead of the NY opening. The resistance lies at 49.50, the support lies in at 48.50.

Brent oil prices may try to fill the gap. We do not rule out a decline below 48.50 dollars per barrel. Anyway, the current market sentiment is positive. The price may turn bullish any moment now.

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DAX

DAX traded mixed on Monday. The price gapped downwards at the daily open. The index spent the night at 12320 and jumped to 12400 in the morning. The benchmark stayed at the level the first part of the day. The resistance lies at 12400, the support lies in at 12300.

If bulls remain in control DAX may retake the 12350 mark soon. However, the current price action shows negative tendency. The index may retest 12300 in this scenario.

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SP500

S&P500 had a positive start to the week. The index bounced from 2420 at the daily open. Buyers pushed the benchmark higher and reached 2429 in the late European session. The resistance lies at 2440, the support lies in at 2420.

Despite the recent grows the index is under pressure. We believe sellers will get control soon and will return S&P500 to 2420. After retaking the level sellers may lead the price to 2400.

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14.07.2017

Euro

The upward channel remained intact on Thursday. The price just moved from its upper boundary to its lower one. The level 1.1400 rejected the pair upwards and the euro returned to 1.1450 afterwards. A fresh downward impetus emerged in the mid-European session. EUR/USD decline to 1.1400, trying to break below the handle. The resistance resides at 1.1450, the support comes in at 1.1400.

We are still bullish and prefer to wait when the current correction is over. Buyers are likely to attack 1.1500 in the short-term.

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Pound

The pound found fresh bids at 1.2800. New buy orders helped the major to recover recent losses. The spot bounced from 1.2800 and returned to 1.2900. The major spent the Asian session around the level and continued its growth in the morning. GBP/USD reclaimed 1.2900 and headed towards 1.2950. The resistance lies at 1.3000, the support comes in at 1.2900.

The pair stays in a near-term downward channel. The GBP/USD pair needs to consolidate above 1.2950 to leave the channel. If sellers regain control the major may retest the 1.2800 handle.

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USD/JPY

The US dollar remains under heavy selling pressure. Bears broke the lower limit of the upward channel (113.40) the other day. Sellers had a temporary stop at 113.00 and are trying to break lower on Thursday. The resistance lies at 114.00, the support comes in at 113.00.

A break below 113.00 will neutralize the upward pressure further. In this scenario sellers will lead the major to 112.50. Should the level 113.00 hold USD/JPY will recover back to 114.00.

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GBP/JPY

GBP/JPY is neutral on Thursday. The 145.00 level appeared to be a strong obstacle to retake. The price bounced from the level and returned to 146.00. After reaching the level the upward momentum lost steam. The pound spent the Asian and the European sessions around the level. The resistance lies at 147.00, the support is at 146.00.

If sellers retake 145.00 the spot may face a further downside pressure. After reclaiming 145.00 sellers will aim at 144.00. Alternatively, the pair may return to the upward channel. Buyers need to reclaim 147.00 to regain control.

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EUR/JPY

The euro remained under pressure due to the bid sentiment around the yen. After a continuous decline the pair finally stopped at 129.00. The pair bounced from the level in the Asian session and recovered to 129.50. The resistance lies at 129.50, the support lies in at 129.00.

A break below 129.00 will signal about a fresh decline to 128.00.

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USD/CAD

USD/CAD traded mixed on Wednesday. The spot was neutral the first part of the day. The pair stayed in a narrow channel around 1.2900. A New York session brought fresh bearishness to the market. The US dollar sharply dropped and broke 1.2800. Sellers continued to grind lower afterwards and stopped at 1.2700. After posting fresh lows at 1.2700 the US dollar grew to 1.2750. The resistance exists at 1.2800, the support stands at 1.2700.

A broad based US Dollar weakness helped CAD to regain some traction. We believe sellers will remain in the driver's seat. After a short pull back the major will decline to 1.2700.

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XAU/USD

Gold prices continued their recovery and reached 1225. After reaching the mark gold prices faced some selling pressure. As a result, the spot had to retreat to 1220. Bulls, however, returned in the morning on Thursday. Gold prices grew and approached 1225 by noon. The resistance exists at 1230, the support stands at 1220 dollars per ounce.

A move below 1220 would revive bearishness towards 1210 dollars per ounce.

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Brent

The buying interest faded after touching 48.50 dollars per barrel. Brent just pierced the level and turned around. The benchmark erased the half of buyers' fresh gains by the end of Wednesday. Brent spent the first part of Thursday at 47.50. The decline was continued in the late European session. The resistance lies at 47.50, the support lies in at 46.50 dollars per barrel.

If the bearish tone persists we expect a breakout of the level 47.50 and advance to 46.50 dollars per barrel.

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DAX

DAX was neutral on Thursday after Wednesday’s rally. Buyers retook 12600 and stayed above the level afterwards. The resistance lies at 12700, the support lies in at 12600.

If DAX stayed above 12600 the upward momentum will send the market to 12650.

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S&P500


S&P500 had a positive day on Wednesday. The index pulled away from 2420 and rallied to 2440. The index momentum began to fade when S&P500 touched the level. The index spent the night and day sessions at 2440. The resistance lies at 2440, the support lies in at 2420.

The 2440 hurdle is a strong level. The index is likely to rebound from the level. The price may return to 2420 in this case.

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07.08.2017

Euro

The single currency kept the upbeat tone unchanged vs. its US peer on Friday. The major stuck in an upward channel hanging between 1.1900 and 1.1850. The resistance resides at 1.1900, the support comes in at 1.1850.
If the euro maintains its bullish bias the pair may retake 1.1900. A break above the hurdle will show room for further upside towards 1.2000.

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Pound


Fresh selling pressure around the British pound sent GBP/USD to fresh lows. The Cable sharply dropped to 1.3100 and stayed around the level afterwards. Despite the unexpected weakness the major is still in an upward channel and is trying to build on a correction. The resistance lies at 1.3200, the support comes in at 1.3100.
A pullback or consolidation is expected in the market in the near term.

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XAU/USD

Buyers stopped bears’ attack at 1260 dollars per ounce. Fresh bids around the handle helped gold prices to reverse some previous losses and returned the spot to 1270. The resistance exists at 1270, the support stands at 1260 dollars per ounce.
It is hard to predict the further direction which gold prices may choose. The tendency is still positive, however, bulls are too exhausted to advance further. If sellers get the ball XAU/USD may correct to 1250 dollars per ounce. If 1270 falls that will indicate that the bulls phase has resumed.

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08.08.2017

Euro

The euro sharply dropped on Friday. The major broke 1.1850, 1.1800 and tested 1.1750. Despite the decline the spot remained in an upward channel. The euro tried to build a recovery on Monday. The single currency strengthened to 1.1800. The resistance resides at 1.1800, the support comes in at 1.1750.
The single currency is likely to continue its negative slide. Sellers may lead the price to 1.1650.

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Pound

The pound continued its negative trajectory last week. Sellers broke 1.3100 and almost reached 1.3000. The pound found a strong resistance at 1.3030 and spent Monday around the mark. The resistance lies at 1.3100, the support comes in at 1.3000.
The pound is about to leave the upward channel. A move below 1.3000 will extend sellers’ gains down to 1.2900.

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XAU/USD

Bulls gave up control on Friday giving the way to sellers. The market moved down, broke 1260 and stopped at 1255. After testing 1255 the yellow metal pulled back and returned to 1260 where the spot spent the whole Monday. The resistance exists at 1260, the support stands at 1250 dollars per ounce.
To maintain control sellers need to fixate below 1250. A daily close below the handle may open the way for further decline to 1245 dollars per ounce.

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Brent

Brent continued its trades between 52.50 and 51.50 on Monday. The benchmark started the day around the upper boundary of the range and reached 51.50 by noon. The resistance lies at 52.50, the support lies in at 51.50 dollars per barrel.
We prefer to stay neutral for now. We expect further sideways trades in the coming days.

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DAX

DAX opened in the green on Monday. Buyers made an attempt to retake 12300 and even pierced the level. However, bulls failed to fixate above the handle. The fresh selling interest returned the index below 12300. Sellers pushed the price to 12250 by noon. The resistance lies at 12300, the support lies in at 12200.
If the pressure persists the price will touch 12200 in the coming sessions.

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S&P500

S&P500 is still neutral staying in a tight range 2470-2475. The resistance lies at 2480, the support exists in at 2460.
We prefer to stay neutral for now. We expect further sideways trades in the coming days.

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16.08.2017

Euro

Sellers managed to reclaim 1.1800 and moved the price towards 1.1750. The level did not stop sellers who reached 1.1700 afterwards. However, fresh bids around the level rejected the spot upwards. The pair returned to 1.1750 and spent there the first part of the day. The euro continued its slide targeting at 1.1700 in the late European session. The resistance resides at 1.1750, the support comes in at 1.1700.
A move below 1.1750 will confirm sellers' strength. Below 1.1750 EUR/USD will likely target at 1.1700 and 1.1650.

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Pound

The pound remained under pressure due to the bid sentiment around the dollar. Sellers pushed the price to the lower limit of the current range during the Asian trades. The pound left the range in the morning. Sellers were able to regain 1.2900 in the mid-European session. The major advanced to 1.2850 in the NY session. The resistance lies at 1.2900, the support comes in at 1.2800.
The pound is likely to reach 1.2850 soon and will advance to 1.2800 after that.

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USD/JPY

The US dollar stalled its recovery on Tuesday. After breaking 110.00 the spot advanced up to 110.50 where the major lost momentum. The resistance lies at 111.00, the support comes in at 110.00.
The USD/JPY pair is approaching the upper boundary of the downward structure. A move beyond the downward channel will neutralize the downward pressure. The next target for this pair is 111.00.

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XAU/USD

The bid tone around the US dollar pushed gold to the 1270 handle. The metal failed to retake the level and pulled back. The resistance exists at 1280, the support stands at 1270 dollars per ounce.
If a downward pressure persists the pair may reclaim 1270 dollars per ounce.

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Brent

The short term picture favors the downside. Brent stopped losing ground when the benchmark touched 50.50. After touching the level oil prices started a consolidation phase which lasted the night and the morning. A bout of fresh selling pressure emerged in the late European session. Brent oil prices attacked 50.50 again and reclaimed the handle this time. The resistance lies at 50.50, the support lies in at 49.50 dollars per barrel.
Technical readings favor another leg lower. We believe Brent may reach 49.50 in the short-term.

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DAX

Bulls tried to extend their gains on Tuesday. They attacked 12200 and even advanced to 12240. However, the index lost momentum after that. The price moved back and returned below 12200. The resistance lies at 12200, the support exists at 12100.
If buyers fail to retake 12200 the index may turn around and soften to 12000.

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S&P500

S&P500 continued its rally and was able to retake 2460. The index was growing upwards after that and posted fresh highs at 2466. Buyers did not find any reason to move the price higher and retreated. The resistance lies at 2480, the support exists in at 2460.
We expect a pull back or consolidation now. The benchmark may ease to the 2460 region.

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17.08.2017


Euro

The euro continues to trade in negative ground. Sellers managed to lead the price to 1.1700 where they lost momentum for a while. After touching the level the single currency turned to the upside and recovered to 1.1750. As of writing, sellers are trying to return control now. They returned the spot to 1.1700 and are struggling with the level. The resistance resides at 1.1750, the support comes in at 1.1700.
Sellers broke the ascendant trend line. They need to consolidate below it now. If the spot stays below 1.1750 the price will continue its downward momentum towards 1.1650.

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Pound

The pound finally set its course after a week of directionless trades. The major left the range and headed south. Sellers reclaimed 1.2900 and posted a fresh low at 1.2844. The pound is likely to continue its slide today. The resistance lies at 1.2900, the support comes in at 1.2800.
The GBP/USD pair now seems to be heading towards its immediate support near 1.2800.

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USD/JPY

The upward trajectory lost steam around 111.00. Sellers seem to be guarding the level not allowing buyers to approach. The price stopped a few pips below the hurdle. The resistance lies at 111.00, the support comes in at 110.00.
The technical picture presents a bullish tone. Once we break above 111.00, we think that the 112.00 level will be next.

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XAU/USD

Gold continues to suffer the persistent weakness. The 1270 handle stopped sellers who are trying hard to reclaim the level now. The resistance exists at 1280, the support stands at 1270 dollars per ounce.
If the 1270 level stands the price will recover to 1280-1285. If it falls the pair will extend its losses to 1260 dollars per ounce.
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Brent

The downward momentum lost legs around 52.00 dollars per barrel. Fresh bids around the mark helped Brent to build on a correction. The price reclaimed 50.50 first and advanced to 51.22 after that. The resistance lies at 51.50, the support lies in at 50.50 dollars per barrel.
Sellers broke the ascendant trend line and are trying to take some profit now. We do not believe in the current growth. It is most likely corrective. The benchmark is likely to return to 50.50 soon.

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DAX

DAX had a positive morning on Wednesday. The index gapped upwards at the open and continued its rally afterwards. The benchmark broke 12200 and extended its gains up to 12300 during the first part of the day. The resistance lies at 12300, the support exists at 12200.
The 12300 hurdle is the last sellers’ defense line. If it falls buyers may regain control and push DAX to 12450-12500.

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20.10.2017

Euro

The euro extended its winning streak and grew to 1.1850 on Thursday. The major, however, failed to reclaim the level and bounced off fresh highs right after testing the hurdle. If buyers do not break above 1.1850 the spot may soften to 1.1800-1.1780.

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Pound

The pound is heavily offered and continues its negative slide. Sellers pushed the spot from 1.3150 to 1.3100 during the night trades and tried to retake the level in the morning. A break below the handle shall open the way towards 1.3050.

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Yen

USD/JPY managed to retake 113.00 and advanced beyond it. The pair posted a fresh high at 113.25 in the Asian session and remained above the handle afterwards. We expect to see a renewed buying pressure and move towards 113.50.

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Gold

Buyers managed to neutralize selling pressure and pushed the spot to 1290. However, they did not regain the level and stepped away. Sellers used this chance and regained control. They pushed the price to 1280 and took a pause to gather more steam for the next leg lower. A move below 1280 will generate more negative signals and risks further weakening to 1270.

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Brent

Brent oil prices left the short-term upward channel and edged lower. Sellers broke below 57.50 and pushed the benchmark to the 57-th figure. A firm break below the 57.00 handle could trigger fresh weakness for attack at 56.50.

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23.10.2017

Euro

Buyers lost control over the market after touching 1.1850. The pair turned around after that and declined to 1.1750. A decisive break below 1.1750 could open the door towards 1.1700.

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Pound

The overall picture remained negative. However, buyers could win some time when pushed the pound to the upper limit of the downward channel and broke the line. We do not believe in buyers’ strength and consider this growth corrective. The buying momentum will lose steam soon and sellers will regain control. Their primary target will be the 1.3100 level.

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Yen

Buyers extended the upward trajectory and pushed the pair to 113.50 on Friday and continued their advance on Monday. The US dollar gapped upwards through the level and headed towards 114.00. To resume the uptrend, the spot has to break the resistance level at 114.00.

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Gold

Gold recovery stalled at 1290 where the pair faced some selling rejection. The yellow metal eased after that and declined to 1280 dollars per barrel. A bout of fresh selling interest emerged at the open. Gold gapped downwards and made a leg lower to 1275. If the selling pressure remains intact the XAU/USD pair may continue its slide to 1270.

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Brent

Fresh bids around 56.50 helped Brent to get some traction. The benchmark bounced from the handle and rallied towards 57.50 which broke right after testing it. Buyers continued their advance after that and reached 57.90 where they spent the night and the morning on Monday. Brent could reverse more losses if it moves above 58.00 dollars per barrel.

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24.10.2017

Euro

Sellers’ attempt to regain 1.1750 failed on Monday. The euro just tested the level and stayed around it afterwards. If sellers fail to retake the level today the pair may roll back to 1.1770 – 1.1800.

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Pound

The pound remained inactive staying in a tight range between 1.3200-1.3150. We believe traders will keep the price in a directionless mode today.

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Yen

Buyers spent the whole Monday trying to get through 114.00. When they exhausted they gave up fresh highs and retreated. Sellers filled the gap and led the spot below 113.50. A firm break below 113.50 handle could trigger fresh weakness for attack at 113.00.

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Gold

The bullish spike faded when gold broke the level 1280. The spot posted a high at 1283 and retreated to the nearest handle after that. If gold prices fail to leave 1280 upwards sellers may drove the pair towards 1275.

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Brent

Buyers lost control when they tried to leave the 58-th figure. Brent turned bearish after this unsuccessful attempt and dropped to 57.50. A daily close below 57.50 will trigger losses towards 56.50.

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27.10.2017

Euro

Renewed selling interest did not leave a chance to buyer to keep their gains. The euro pushed away from 1.1830 and sharply dropped to 1.1635. We expect a further decline and a move below 1.1600.

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Pound


The pro-dollar sentiment prevails in the market. The pound lost a lot on Thursday. The major fell from 1.3250 to the 1.3100 handle where the spot spent the night. The pound may extend its losses to 1.3050 today.

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Yen

Buyers returned on Thursday and pushed the pair to 114.00. They finally regained the level and posted a fresh high at 114.27. The US dollar remained above the 114.00 handle during the night and morning. We do not rule out a pull back to 114.00-113.70, but consider this decline as a good chance to buy the US dollar. Otherwise, the pair will keep its upbeat tone unchanged and may test 114.50.

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Gold

Gold holds firmly in red, sellers always stopped any buyers' attempts to build on a correction. Sellers tightened their grip on Thursday and sent the spot downwards. Gold prices fell to 1270, broke the level and stopped at 1266 where the pair spent the night and the morning. We expect a move towards 1260 today.

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Brent

Brent remains on strong bullish footing, thus the benchmark caught a fresh bid-wave on Thursday and rallied to 59.50 where buyers lost momentum. If the price succeeds and fixes above 59.50, the market may continue its growth towards the 60-th figure.

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28.05.2018

Euro

The negative sentiment prevails in the market. However, sellers lost steam when they reached the 1.1700 handle. The price bounced off the level and recovered up to 1.1750 where the recovery move stalled and the price pulled back. The technical readings suggest the further softening. The price continues developing well below the moving averages. MACD is in the negative ground and is moving downwards. RSI is neutral. The resistance resides at 1.1700, the support comes in at 1.1650.
If the euro declines further, the tone would favor further losses towards 1.1650, en route to 1.1600.

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GBP/USD

The downward structure remained intact on Friday. The pound continues fluctuating in the downward range posting fresh lows. The sterling lost downward strength at the 1.3300 level and reversed its direction. The major bounced to 1.3400 where the buying interest weakened. Sellers regained control after that and sent prices downwards. The technical indicators hold within bearish territory. MACD is heading south right now. RSI is hovering above the oversold area. The resistance lies at 1.3400, the support comes in at 1.3300.
Prices may fall back below the 1.3200 mark if the US dollar returns to a growth.

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USD/JPY

The US dollar had another negative day on Thursday. The risk aversion drove the US dollar to the 109.00 level, however, the EMA200 defended this mark and rejected the major to 109.70 where the EMA100 limited pair's recovery. MACD indicator is in negative territory. RSI is neutral while the moving averages mostly continued their vertical rise, however, the 50 and 100 EMAs started to change their direction. The resistance resides at 109.50, the support comes in at 109.00.

If sellers regain the 109.00 level, they will get a good chance to extend their gains down to 108.00. If bears fail to move lower, the US dollar may recover to 110.00.

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S&P500

Buyers continued struggling with 2730 which appeared to be well defended by sellers. Bulls reached the level last week, but did not regain it despite the numerous attempts. They attacked the level this morning, however, offers at the handle rejected the benchmark downwards. The resistance lies at 2730, the support exists at 2700.

The divergence between the chart and MACD points to a possible sell-off. If buyers do not regain the 2730 hurdle in the short-term, sellers could seize control and send the index towards 2700 where it could find a decent support from the 100 and 200EMAs.

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DAX

DAX had a positive start to the day. The price gapped from 12850 to the 12900 level. The upward impulse continued afterwards and the benchmark was able to test the 13000 region when suddenly buyers lost momentum and DAX dropped towards 12900. The resistance lies at 13000, the support exists at 12900.

If the selling pressure persists, the DAX index may return below 12900 and move towards 12800 afterwards. The EMA100 is located in this region and may save buyers and reject the price upwards.

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29.05.2018

Euro

A fresh wave of the US dollar buying interest emerged on Monday and sent the euro to fresh lows. As a result, the spot dropped to 1.1600. If the price consolidates below this support, it may continue the downward trend in the short term. The potential sellers' targets are 1.1570 and 1.1550.

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Pound

The pound continued moving downwards in the descending channel. The major bounced from the upper limit of the range on Monday and dropped to its lower one which is located in the 1.3300 area. If the price keeps going down it will test 1.3250 soon.

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Yen

The US dollar remained under pressure and is tending to move lower. Sellers pressured the 109.30 support and spent the whole Monday trying to regain the handle. They got lucky to retake the level in the night when a bout of fresh selling pressure sent the spot to 109.00. If they overcome this barrier, they may probe the 108.70 area soon.

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Gold

Gold looks flat and is trading in a narrow channel staying between 1299 and 1297. The yellow metal may extend its consolidative pattern on Tuesday.

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Brent

Brent is trying to build a recovery. Buyers pushed the benchmark away from 74.50 towards 75.50 where the recovery move stalled on Monday. Bulls made another attempt to reclaim the level in the US session and failed again. If the positive bias remains intact, the benchmark may advance to 76.00 later the day.

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*Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman
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