MT4: Is It Possible to Earn a Million on Subscription?
Deposit Growth, "Reverse Martingale" and Other Interesting Parameters Opening the tab "Signals" in the bottom of the MT4 terminal, the trader is able to become... an investor. That is, having ceased trading on his own and having subscribed to the signals of another trader, you go into a passive state, and only watch your deposit increase or, alas, dry.
So after all whom and how do you choose out of more than 4,000 suppliers of signals in order to enjoy stable profit? Of course, the opinion of colleagues can help with this. It will therefore be interesting to analyze in more detail which signals subscribers prefer. And most importantly - why they are so popular with them and what the subscribers are is facing.
As of January 2016, top-10 most popular among subscribers signals are as follows:
I. Joker (increase of 14 228%, 377 subscribers)
II. MenjadiTrader PAMM 144842 (increase of 45%, 265 subscribers)
III. LidziyaForex (increase of 43227% 166 subscribers)
IV. Xedj BG (increase of 610%, 136 subscribers)
V. Blitzkrieg (increase of 771%, 128 subscribers)
The first step of the podium went to signal Joker. It is understandable - an increase of 14228% in the 23 weeks will drive anyone crazy (all the data given for 01/31/16). Just think - more than fourteen thousand percent! And with a quite tolerable drawdown of 36%! This is a living answer to those who say that it is impossible to become a millionaire in half a year!
I have been watching the preferences of subscribers for several years and you do not have to be a rocket scientist to figure out which one is the main criteria in the selection of a signal - of course, it is increase in the deposit. The Joker increases your deposit on average of 2 or even 3 times each month.
At the same time I would like to draw attention to the fact that during over 23 weeks of its work the Joker has made more than 15,500 transactions, i.e. about 700 transactions per week, or 135 per day. Apparently, we are talking about an active Scalping of just several pips with averaging the position. The fact that the signal does not have stop-losses speaks for this too. Therefore, before risking 1000, 2000, or 10,000 dollars, I would strongly advise you not to be greedy and spend $100 (this is the cost of a monthly subscription) in order to test the functionality of the signal on a demo account with your broker.
For example, in January, the most frequent with the Joker were deals on EUR/USD with 0.01 lot size and profit $ 0.33, i.e., just 3p. (The broker from whose account the signal is broadcast, the average spread for the pair is 0.75p.). Hence it is clear that the spread and slippage here will play a dominant role here.
It is clear that for investors with small deposits such subscription does not make sense. The reason for this is not even 'biting' subscription cost of $100/month, but the drawdown, which, taken by equity in absolute terms, reached $ 1100 (35.80% of the deposit).
Therefore, I personally think the place that the signal occupies in the ranking of MetaQuotes - 37th - is fairer.
In stark contrast to the Joker is the silver medalist of the rankings - the signal MenjadiTrader PAMM 144842. Compared to the rest of its "colleagues" from the "magnificent five" it looks an "ugly duckling" - where others show an increase in the hundreds or thousands of percent, the signal in almost 2 years showed a profit of 45% - some months 3-4% plus, some - minus 2-3%.And at the same time it turns out to be in the second place in the popularity rating! The reasons for this, apparently, are two:
1. The life span of the signal is 96 weeks on the market with a drawdown of less than 19%
and
2. Free subscription to the signal, which allows to use it even for small deposits, the average size of which, according to statistics, in this case, does not exceed $350.
As for the MetaQuotes rating, the MenjadiTrader PAMM 144842 occupies not the most prestigious 390th place there. But I'm almost certain that this rating does not in any way take into account the impact of such a strong factor as free subscription.
In the third place is a signal LidziyaForex. I can explain its place in the top 5 only by a 4500% increase in deposit in less than 3 months.
To be as "politically correct" as possible, I would not hurry with a subscription to this signal. Firstly, despite the "new-born" age, it has already demonstrated a rather high drawdown of 57%. Secondly, the lack of stops and 95% profitable trades say that in the case of loss-making position the author is inclined to wait for the trend to turn into the desirable direction and make minus into a plus.
And what if it does not turn?
Well, there is another aspect, which I dubbed "reverse martingale effect." It is the fact that a trader, first with a high degree of risk "speeds up" the deposit, and then begins to reduce the risk and, and, consequently, the profit. The presence of this effect is evident in LidziyaForex: November - increase + 1327% December - +107% January - +55%. I do not undertake to predict what the increase will be in February. Apparently, the MetaQuotes ranking system doubts its prospects as well - I have not found the LidziyaForex at least among the top 500 ranking signals.
The fourth place is occupied by the Xedj BG. This is a signal something like a LidziyaForex, with the difference that it is not 3 months old but 20, i.e., almost 2 years. At the same time here we have an impressive maximum drawdown of 72%, and a "reverse martingale": December 2014. - + 95%, January-February 2015 - from +23 to +29%, followed by two months at + 13%, and then an average of 3 - 4%.
Here, once again I want to stress the importance of the time of subscription to the signal. For example, if you had subscribed to the Xedj BG in November 2014, it would be one story, if you subscribe now, it is quite different.
Finishing the review of the Xedj BG, I decided to be patient and find the place that the signal occupies in the MetaQuotes ranking. But I didn't have enough patience and gave up after the eighth hundred. To be honest, out of the obvious advantages, I only found one - the subscription to the signal is free of charge.
Finally, the last signal of our Top 5 is Blitzkrieg. In this signal I found more pros than cons - it’s quite long lifespan (over a year), and a low maximum drawdown - 16% (despite the presence of stop-losses!), and quite a stable income - the average for the I quarter of 2015 was + 27.6%, in the II quarter. - + 24.2%, in the III quarter - +16.3%, in the IV - + 11.7%. (Although the "reverse Martingale" is also present).
And there is another plus - in the MetaQuotes ranking the Blitzkrieg ... occupies the second place! And this is the rare case when the opinions of subscribers, MT4 / 5 developers and my humble one are practically the same.
I'll be sure to keep track of what happens to these signals in the future and, of course, will not hold the information in confidence and will make it public. In the meantime, let me repeat what I said at the beginning of this review - if you select a subscription, of course, you can be guided only by the percentage of deposit growth. But it would be wise to glance at other options of online monitoring. Especially when the MetaQuotes have over fifty of them.